Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano 		14.1%
65.3%		20.5%
+440
-141
+440
-150
0.80
2.00		2.80
o2¼-110
u2¼-102
o2½+115
u2½-135
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Osasuna		63.8%
15.2%		21.0%
-136
+420
-135
+352
1
2		-1.66829-1.54736-1.88493
Rayo Vallecano
Betis		24.5%
50.2%		25.3%
+335
-104
+332
-110
1
1		-1.27787-1.29088-1.37385
Oviedo
Real Sociedad		12.1%
67.8%		20.1%
+600
-175
+700
-185
3
3		-1.41506-1.39489-1.60207
Elche
Athletic Club		9.6%
72.4%		18.0%
+425
-137
+405
-135
1
2		-0.57928-0.59618-0.32295
Villarreal
Levante		51.4%
23.7%		24.9%
-109
+340
-120
+335
1
0		-0.66988-0.65285-0.66582
Barcelona
Girona		71.6%
11.0%		17.5%
-294
+780
-315
+725
1
2		-2.19562-2.15606-2.21101
Betis
Mallorca		38.8%
32.6%		28.6%
+156
+217
+155
+200
2
1		-0.95368-0.97623-0.94631
Valencia
Levante		34.9%
37.8%		27.3%
+175
+176
+172
+172
2
0		-1.04015-1.04270-1.05154
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		47.5%
24.9%		27.6%
-130
+410
-120
+345
0
3		-1.65611-1.54047-1.39211
Athletic Club
Oviedo		52.6%
22.0%		25.3%
+158
+236
+150
+265
2
1		-0.97283-0.91285-0.64194
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		9.3%
74.2%		16.4%
+700
-256
+700
-275
1
4		-0.35599-0.34953-0.29797
Alaves
Sevilla		26.2%
45.0%		28.8%
+325
+118
+300
+116
1
1		-1.13678-1.16187-1.24552
Villarreal
Getafe		44.9%
27.7%		27.4%
+168
+216
+165
+210
1
2		-1.17762-1.17519-1.28464
Celta Vigo
Espanyol		34.5%
37.2%		28.3%
+198
+174
+210
+167
2
2		-1.14313-1.17273-1.26263
Osasuna
Elche		33.8%
37.5%		28.7%
+162
+205
+155
+200
0
0		-1.18061-1.18945-1.24845
Espanyol
Villarreal		17.8%
61.1%		21.1%
+405
-137
+375
-140
1
4		-0.57261-0.58805-0.49326
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.