Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Norrkoping
Goteborg 		21.0%
55.7%		23.3%
+311
-110

1.00
1.77		2.77
o2½-115
u2½+100

Games for Apr 19, 2024
Games for Apr 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Djurgarden
Kalmar		42.9%
29.1%		28.0%
+116
+233
+115
+230
1
2		-1.24244-1.24258-1.23392
Norrkoping
Sirius		32.1%
42.2%		25.8%
+366
-150
+280
-120
0
2		-0.53520-0.65732-0.86318
Hacken
Brommapojkarna		33.4%
38.3%		28.3%
+185
+125
+180
+120
1
2		-0.83584-0.83977-0.96071
AIK Stockholm
Goteborg		43.4%
28.5%		28.1%
+240
+136
+235
+135
1
1		-1.17548-1.16575-1.27075
Varberg
Norrkoping		12.9%
68.8%		18.2%
+625
-223
+655
-260
3
4		-0.38912-0.37493-0.37330
Brommapojkarna
Mjallby		21.4%
53.4%		25.2%
+175
+155
+175
+150
2
1		-1.04092-1.05976-1.54328
Degerfors
Elfsborg		8.2%
78.2%		13.6%
+965
-345
+950
-375
2
2		-1.88803-1.84187-1.99414
Malmo
Hacken		34.5%
37.7%		27.8%
+107
+230
-110
+245
2
4		-1.23244-1.28884-0.97633
Kalmar
Halmstad		25.7%
45.0%		29.3%
+199
+148
+270
+110
0
3		-0.94814-0.79025-0.79811
Sirius
Djurgarden		15.1%
64.8%		20.0%
+434
-169
+475
-190
4
2		-1.71225-1.79927-1.89048
Hammarby
Varnamo		44.9%
28.5%		26.6%
+194
+126
+190
+135
0
0		-1.33960-1.31770-1.32505
Elfsborg
Goteborg		44.3%
29.5%		26.3%
+136
+215
+125
+220
2
1		-0.89336-0.86074-0.81491
Sirius
Hammarby		14.3%
67.8%		17.9%
+250
+107
+285
-115
2
2		-1.36842-1.41075-1.72177
Halmstad
AIK Stockholm		12.5%
65.2%		22.3%
+480
-144
+405
-130
1
1		-1.36043-1.29011-1.50215
Hacken
Mjallby		40.9%
31.3%		27.7%
-125
+330
-135
+335
1
2		-1.49544-1.52015-1.15999
Varnamo
Kalmar		22.1%
51.0%		26.9%
+230
+113
+210
+130
3
1		-1.25208-1.18159-1.51036
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76256 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.78512 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.69852
0.06404
0.08661

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.