Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 18, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor 		26.4%
49.4%		24.1%
+177
+138
+180
+135
1.16
1.68		2.84
o3¼-105
u3½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Konyaspor
Kayserispor 		26.0%
49.0%		25.0%
+215
+201
+235
+205
1.08
1.59		2.67
o2½+102
u2½-118

Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor 		26.4%
48.7%		24.9%
+164
+167
+165
+165
1.11
1.60		2.71
o2¾+104
u2¾-115

Hatayspor
Besiktas 		10.3%
74.3%		15.4%
+494
-187
+525
-205
0.87
2.59		3.46
o3-112
u3+100

Alanyaspor
Samsunspor 		25.3%
49.7%		25.0%
+243
+120
+240
+115
1.07
1.59		2.66
o2½-115
u2½+104

Karagumruk
Gaziantep FK 		33.0%
41.4%		25.5%
+179
+150
+195
+145
1.27
1.46		2.73
o2½-120
u2½+102

Pendikspor
Ankaragucu 		23.9%
50.2%		25.9%
+285
-105
+280
-105
0.96
1.51		2.47
o2¾-131
u3-118

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kayserispor
Adana Demirspor		27.0%
48.8%		24.2%
+336
-101
+300
-105
0
0		-1.29854-1.28910-1.41940
Gaziantep FK
Ankaragucu		25.2%
49.7%		25.0%
+347
-120
+375
-125
1
3		-0.65956-0.63828-0.69826
Konyaspor
Kasımpaşa		30.4%
43.7%		25.8%
+299
-105
+280
-105
2
0		-1.42064-1.38677-1.18968
Sivasspor
Trabzonspor		21.2%
55.6%		23.1%
+666
-229
+620
-230
1
0		-2.07545-2.02374-1.55013
Besiktas
Trabzonspor		31.6%
42.6%		25.8%
+160
+175
+150
+180
1
1		-1.26528-1.27379-1.35650
Pendikspor
Samsunspor		17.4%
59.3%		23.2%
+262
+119
+275
+100
0
0		-1.25037-1.30383-1.45921
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor		34.6%
37.9%		27.5%
+127
+236
+125
+230
3
1		-0.85407-0.86022-1.06100
Adana Demirspor
Fenerbahce		6.4%
82.1%		11.4%
+913
-343
+950
-390
2
4		-0.28325-0.27938-0.19677
Kasımpaşa
Kayserispor		22.4%
54.9%		22.7%
+257
+105
+265
-105
2
0		-1.29660-1.34289-1.49696
Karagumruk
Sivasspor		30.0%
44.6%		25.3%
+195
+151
+195
+145
0
1		-0.97083-0.94505-0.80638
Hatayspor
Galatasaray		6.9%
80.3%		12.7%
+1272
-515
+1475
-625
0
1		-0.21666-0.19924-0.21929
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK		30.7%
44.0%		25.3%
+220
+125
+240
+120
3
0		-1.21797-1.27418-1.18087
Ankaragucu
Antalyaspor		15.6%
63.6%		20.8%
+276
+100
+325
-110
1
1		-1.30313-1.28616-1.57079
Rizespor
Istanbulspor		43.3%
31.0%		25.7%
-131
+355
-145
+380
4
0		-0.60647-0.57346-0.83750
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		53.8%
22.9%		23.2%
+105
+260
-105
+270
3
2		-0.75307-0.71701-0.61992
Galatasaray
Kasımpaşa		64.3%
15.8%		19.8%
-185
+490
-215
+500
4
3		-0.46215-0.43385-0.44094
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79438 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83826 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.79260
0.00179
0.04566

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.