Jesus Aguilar vs Rafael Estevam

Updated

Jesus Aguilar

28.5%71.5%
Jesus Aguilar WinRafael Estevam Win
LossFinal Result Win

Rafael Estevam

Last Fights

Jesus Aguilar
Money Line
Win vs Stewart Nicoll+180
Win vs Mateus Mendonca+115
Win vs Shannon Ross-130
Loss vs Tatsuro Taira+850
Rafael Estevam
Money Line
Win vs Charles Johnson-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jesus Aguilar+270-+450+475+480+475+480+498.3
Rafael Estevam-330--615-650-630-650-615-498.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jesus Aguilar+265+450+480+450+375+500+500+498.3
Rafael Estevam-320-600-640-600-550-700-550-498.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Jesus Aguilar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rafael Estevam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Jesus Aguilar: 40.0%
Rafael Estevam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Jesus Aguilar: 0.0%
Rafael Estevam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Jesus Aguilar ML moved from +370 to +355
Rafael Estevam ML moved from -615 to -630

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Jesus Aguilar: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rafael Estevam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Jesus Aguilar: 40.0%
Rafael Estevam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Jesus Aguilar: 10.0%
Rafael Estevam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Jesus Aguilar ML moved from +550 to +480
Rafael Estevam ML moved from -550 to -600