Justin Gaethje vs Ilia Topuria

Updated

Justin Gaethje

25.4%74.6%
Justin Gaethje WinIlia Topuria Win

Ilia Topuria

Last 5 Fights

Justin Gaethje
Money Line
Win vs Paddy Pimblett+210
Win vs Rafael Fiziev+140
Loss vs Max Holloway-165
Win vs Dustin Poirier+140
Win vs Rafael Fiziev+240
Ilia Topuria
Money Line
Win vs Charles Oliveira-410
Win vs Max Holloway-255
Win vs Alexander Volkanovski+130
Win vs Josh Emmett-350
Win vs Bryce Mitchell-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Justin Gaethje+375-+460+450+450+450+460+471.4
Ilia Topuria-525--675-600-600-600-600-471.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Justin Gaethje+425-+425+475+450+475+475+471.4
Ilia Topuria-560--550-650-600-650-550-471.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Justin Gaethje: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ilia Topuria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Justin Gaethje: 30.0%
Ilia Topuria: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Justin Gaethje: 20.0%
Ilia Topuria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Justin Gaethje ML moved from +475 to +450
Ilia Topuria ML moved from -650 to -675

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Justin Gaethje: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ilia Topuria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Justin Gaethje: 30.0%
Ilia Topuria: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Justin Gaethje: 30.0%
Ilia Topuria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Justin Gaethje ML moved from +500 to +450
Ilia Topuria ML moved from -600 to -650