Instituto at Newell's OB

Updated

Instituto

38.2%27.2%34.6%
Instituto WinDrawNewell's OB Win
1.27Projected Goals 1.20
1Final Score 1

Newell's OB

Last 5 Games

Instituto
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Estudiantes
W 1-0 at Deportivo Riestra
W 0-2 vs Defensa y Just
L 0-2 at Boca Juniors
W 1-2 vs Independiente
Newell's OB
Money Line
W 3-2 at CA Union
W 3-1 at CC Cordoba
W 0-1 vs Gimnasia Mendoza
L 0-5 at Lanus
T 1-1 vs Platense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Instituto+165-+150+154+154+154+154+166.5
Newell's OB+175-+205+223+223+223+223+238.9
Draw+205-+195+189+189+189+195+203.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Instituto-----+166.5
Newell's OB-----+238.9
Draw-----+203.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Instituto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newell's OB: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Instituto: 0.0%
Newell's OB: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Instituto: 0.0%
Newell's OB: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Instituto ML
No Steam Moves On Newell's OB ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-120-o2-110o2-112o2-112o2-112o2-110o2-102
Underu2+100-u2-110u2-108u2-108u2-108u2-108u2+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-102
Under-----u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.48%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 413.10%
Exactly 62.66%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.92%
Exactly 321.23%
Exactly 56.47%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Instituto
Exactly 028.06%
Exactly 135.66%
Exactly 222.66%
Exactly 39.60%
Exactly 43.05%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Newell's OB
Exactly 030.20%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 221.65%
Exactly 38.64%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.90%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Instituto
Exactly 055.52%
Exactly 132.67%
Exactly 29.61%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newell's OB
Exactly 057.44%
Exactly 131.84%
Exactly 28.83%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Instituto
Wins by 2+ goals16.81%
Wins by 3+ goals5.76%
Wins by 4+ goals1.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%
Newell's OB
Wins by 2+ goals14.53%
Wins by 3+ goals4.73%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Instituto
Newell's OB
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Instituto
Wins by 1 goal21.32%
Wins by 2 goals11.04%
Wins by 3 goals4.18%
Wins by 4 goals1.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Newell's OB
Wins by 1 goal20.09%
Wins by 2 goals9.80%
Wins by 3 goals3.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.52%8.48%
1.570.61%29.39%
2.544.80%55.20%
3.523.56%76.44%
4.510.46%89.54%
5.53.99%96.01%
6.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Instituto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.94%28.06%
1.536.28%63.72%
2.513.62%86.38%
3.54.02%95.98%

Total Goals Newell's OB Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.80%30.20%
1.533.64%66.36%
2.511.99%88.01%
3.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.10%31.90%
1.531.66%68.34%
2.510.83%89.17%
3.52.90%97.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Instituto
Newell's OB
Score012345
0
8.48%
10.15%
6.07%
2.42%
0.73%
0.17%
1
10.77%
12.89%
7.72%
3.08%
0.92%
0.22%
2
6.84%
8.19%
4.90%
1.96%
0.59%
0.14%
3
2.90%
3.47%
2.08%
0.83%
0.25%
0.06%
4
0.92%
1.10%
0.66%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.23%
0.28%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Instituto
1-010.77%
2-06.84%
2-18.19%
3-02.90%
3-13.47%
3-22.08%
4-00.92%
4-11.10%
4-20.66%
4-30.26%
5-00.23%
5-10.28%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-08.48%
1-112.89%
2-24.90%
3-30.83%
Newell's OB
0-110.15%
0-26.07%
1-27.72%
0-32.42%
1-33.08%
2-31.96%
0-40.73%
1-40.92%
2-40.59%
3-40.25%
0-50.17%
1-50.22%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Instituto
Newell's OB
Score01234
0
31.90%
17.68%
4.90%
0.91%
0.13%
1
18.77%
10.40%
2.88%
0.53%
0.07%
2
5.52%
3.06%
0.85%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.08%
0.60%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Instituto
1-018.77%
2-05.52%
2-13.06%
3-01.08%
3-10.60%
3-20.17%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-031.90%
1-110.40%
2-20.85%
Newell's OB
0-117.68%
0-24.90%
1-22.88%
0-30.91%
1-30.53%
2-30.16%
0-40.13%