Patronato at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Patronato

17.5%18.9%63.6%
WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.02
0Final Score 0

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Patronato
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Godoy Cruz
L 0-1 at CA Huracan
W 2-3 vs Lanus
L 0-5 at River Plate
W 0-2 vs Colon
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
L 0-1 at Estudiantes
W 0-2 vs Argentinos Jun
T 1-1 at Talleres
W 1-2 vs San Lorenzo
L 1-2 at Banfield

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato+455+575+620+580+435+620+620+688.2
Velez Sarsf-166-210-208-201-148-208-148-174.3
Draw+290+290+285+298+263+285+298+320.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato-----+688.2
Velez Sarsf------174.3
Draw-----+320.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Velez Sarsf: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Patronato: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Patronato: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Patronato ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-101o2¼-112o2¼-110o2½+117-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-102
Underu2½-119u2¼-108u2¼-110u2½-132-u2¼-110u2½-132u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-102
Under-----u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.0%
 
No63.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.60%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 413.97%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.59%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.20%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Patronato
Exactly 057.29%
Exactly 131.91%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 013.27%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.22%
Exactly 49.20%
Exactly 53.72%
Exactly 61.25%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.33%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Patronato
Exactly 077.26%
Exactly 119.93%
Exactly 22.57%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 039.25%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.16%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Patronato
Wins by 2+ goals2.00%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals46.10%
Wins by 3+ goals23.90%
Wins by 4+ goals10.17%
Wins by 5+ goals3.60%
Wins by 6+ goals1.04%
Wins by 7+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Patronato
Velez Sarsf
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Patronato
Wins by 1 goal7.11%
Wins by 2 goals1.68%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal25.77%
Wins by 2 goals22.20%
Wins by 3 goals13.73%
Wins by 4 goals6.57%
Wins by 5 goals2.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.40%7.60%
1.572.81%27.19%
2.547.58%52.42%
3.525.90%74.10%
4.511.93%88.07%
5.54.74%95.26%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Patronato Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.71%57.29%
1.510.80%89.20%
2.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.73%13.27%
1.559.93%40.07%
2.532.87%67.13%
3.514.65%85.35%
4.55.45%94.55%
5.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.67%30.33%
1.533.49%66.51%
2.511.90%88.10%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Patronato
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
7.60%
15.35%
15.50%
10.44%
5.27%
2.13%
1
4.23%
8.55%
8.64%
5.82%
2.94%
1.19%
2
1.18%
2.38%
2.41%
1.62%
0.82%
0.33%
3
0.22%
0.44%
0.45%
0.30%
0.15%
0.06%
Patronato
1-04.23%
2-01.18%
2-12.38%
3-00.22%
3-10.44%
3-20.45%
Draw
0-07.60%
1-18.55%
2-22.41%
3-30.30%
Velez Sarsf
0-115.35%
0-215.50%
1-28.64%
0-310.44%
1-35.82%
2-31.62%
0-45.27%
1-42.94%
2-40.82%
3-40.15%
0-52.13%
1-51.19%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Patronato
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
30.33%
28.36%
13.26%
4.13%
0.97%
0.18%
1
7.82%
7.32%
3.42%
1.07%
0.25%
0.05%
2
1.01%
0.94%
0.44%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Patronato
1-07.82%
2-01.01%
2-10.94%
Draw
0-030.33%
1-17.32%
2-20.44%
Velez Sarsf
0-128.36%
0-213.26%
1-23.42%
0-34.13%
1-31.07%
2-30.14%
0-40.97%
1-40.25%
0-50.18%