Independiente at River Plate

Updated

Independiente

15.4%22.8%61.8%
WinDrawRiver Plate Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.77
0Final Score 2

River Plate

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Gimnasia ELP
W 3-2 at Talleres
W 1-2 vs Sarmiento
T 0-0 at Boca Juniors
W 1-2 vs Tucuman
River Plate
Money Line
T 0-0 at San Lorenzo
W 0-1 vs Instituto
T 1-1 at Platense
L 0-1 at Racing Club
W 0-4 vs Rosario Cent

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+350-+390+400+392+400+400+425.3
River Plate-135--130-132-132-132-130-118.1
Draw+265-+230+255+257+255+257+273.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+425.3
River Plate------118.1
Draw-----+273.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
River Plate: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
River Plate: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
River Plate: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On River Plate ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120-o2¼+102o2¼+104o2¼+101o2¼+104o2¼+104o2¼+113
Underu2¼+100-u2¼-122u2¼-124u2¼-123u2¼-124u2¼-122u2¼-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+113
Under-----u2¼-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.7%
 
No56.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.07%
Exactly 225.57%
Exactly 413.49%
Exactly 62.85%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.32%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 56.79%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 047.34%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 213.24%
Exactly 33.30%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - River Plate
Exactly 017.06%
Exactly 130.17%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 315.73%
Exactly 46.95%
Exactly 52.46%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.19%
Exactly 221.17%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 38.22%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 070.73%
Exactly 124.49%
Exactly 24.24%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - River Plate
Exactly 044.09%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.78%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals4.27%
Wins by 3+ goals0.85%
Wins by 4+ goals0.11%
River Plate
Wins by 2+ goals35.66%
Wins by 3+ goals16.46%
Wins by 4+ goals6.20%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
River Plate
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal11.01%
Wins by 2 goals3.42%
Wins by 3 goals0.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.11%
River Plate
Wins by 1 goal26.05%
Wins by 2 goals19.20%
Wins by 3 goals10.26%
Wins by 4 goals4.26%
Wins by 5 goals1.45%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.93%8.07%
1.571.61%28.39%
2.546.04%53.96%
3.524.59%75.41%
4.511.10%88.90%
5.54.31%95.69%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.66%47.34%
1.517.26%82.74%
2.54.02%95.98%

Total Goals River Plate Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.94%17.06%
1.552.78%47.22%
2.526.10%73.90%
3.510.37%89.63%
4.53.42%96.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.81%31.19%
1.532.47%67.53%
2.511.30%88.70%
3.53.08%96.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
River Plate
Score012345
0
8.07%
14.28%
12.63%
7.44%
3.29%
1.16%
1
6.04%
10.68%
9.44%
5.57%
2.46%
0.87%
2
2.26%
3.99%
3.53%
2.08%
0.92%
0.33%
3
0.56%
1.00%
0.88%
0.52%
0.23%
0.08%
4
0.11%
0.19%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.02%
Independiente
1-06.04%
2-02.26%
2-13.99%
3-00.56%
3-11.00%
3-20.88%
4-00.11%
4-10.19%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-08.07%
1-110.68%
2-23.53%
3-30.52%
River Plate
0-114.28%
0-212.63%
1-29.44%
0-37.44%
1-35.57%
2-32.08%
0-43.29%
1-42.46%
2-40.92%
3-40.23%
0-51.16%
1-50.87%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
River Plate
Score01234
0
31.19%
25.54%
10.46%
2.85%
0.58%
1
10.80%
8.84%
3.62%
0.99%
0.20%
2
1.87%
1.53%
0.63%
0.17%
0.04%
3
0.22%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-010.80%
2-01.87%
2-11.53%
3-00.22%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-031.19%
1-18.84%
2-20.63%
River Plate
0-125.54%
0-210.46%
1-23.62%
0-32.85%
1-30.99%
2-30.17%
0-40.58%
1-40.20%