Independiente at Boca Juniors

Updated

Independiente

23.0%29.1%47.9%
Independiente WinDrawBoca Juniors Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.27
1Final Score 0

Boca Juniors

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Independiente Rivadavia
L 0-1 at Rosario Cent
L 0-2 at Tucuman
T 0-0 vs Deportivo Riestra
W 0-2 vs San Martin SJ
Boca Juniors
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Lanus
T 1-1 at Tigre
L 1-2 at River Plate
W 0-2 vs Estudiantes
W 3-1 at Belgrano

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+305-+245+260+260+260+260+278.0
Boca Juniors+112-+135+136+136+136+136+147.8
Draw+202-+180+187+187+187+187+201.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+278.0
Boca Juniors-----+147.8
Draw-----+201.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2+105-o1¾-118o1¾-110o1¾-110o1¾-110o1¾-110o1¾+100
Underu2-125-u1¾-102u1¾-110u1¾-110u1¾-110u1¾-102u1¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾+100
Under-----u1¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.2%
 
No60.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.75%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 49.56%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.26%
Exactly 318.57%
Exactly 53.94%
Exactly 70.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 045.52%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 214.10%
Exactly 33.70%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 028.00%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.53%
Exactly 217.52%
Exactly 41.33%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 35.57%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 069.46%
Exactly 125.31%
Exactly 24.61%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 055.47%
Exactly 132.69%
Exactly 29.63%
Exactly 31.89%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals7.04%
Wins by 3+ goals1.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals22.02%
Wins by 3+ goals7.78%
Wins by 4+ goals2.19%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Boca Juniors
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal15.97%
Wins by 2 goals5.44%
Wins by 3 goals1.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal25.83%
Wins by 2 goals14.24%
Wins by 3 goals5.60%
Wins by 4 goals1.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.25%12.75%
1.561.00%39.00%
2.533.95%66.05%
3.515.38%84.62%
4.55.82%94.18%
5.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.48%45.52%
1.518.65%81.35%
2.54.56%95.44%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.00%28.00%
1.536.36%63.64%
2.513.67%86.33%
3.54.04%95.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.47%38.53%
1.524.72%75.28%
2.57.20%92.80%
3.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Boca Juniors
Score012345
0
12.75%
16.23%
10.33%
4.38%
1.39%
0.36%
1
10.03%
12.77%
8.13%
3.45%
1.10%
0.28%
2
3.95%
5.02%
3.20%
1.36%
0.43%
0.11%
3
1.04%
1.32%
0.84%
0.36%
0.11%
0.03%
4
0.20%
0.26%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Independiente
1-010.03%
2-03.95%
2-15.02%
3-01.04%
3-11.32%
3-20.84%
4-00.20%
4-10.26%
4-20.17%
Draw
0-012.75%
1-112.77%
2-23.20%
3-30.36%
Boca Juniors
0-116.23%
0-210.33%
1-28.13%
0-34.38%
1-33.45%
2-31.36%
0-41.39%
1-41.10%
2-40.43%
3-40.11%
0-50.36%
1-50.28%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Boca Juniors
Score01234
0
38.53%
22.71%
6.69%
1.31%
0.19%
1
14.04%
8.27%
2.44%
0.48%
0.07%
2
2.56%
1.51%
0.44%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.31%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-014.04%
2-02.56%
2-11.51%
3-00.31%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-038.53%
1-18.27%
2-20.44%
Boca Juniors
0-122.71%
0-26.69%
1-22.44%
0-31.31%
1-30.48%
0-40.19%
San Lorenzo at Argentinos Jun
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