Arsenal at Independiente

Updated

Arsenal

20.5%19.7%59.7%
Arsenal WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.02
0Final Score 3

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sarmiento
L 1-2 at Aldosivi
L 1-0 vs Gimnasia ELP
T 0-0 at Velez Sarsf
T 0-0 vs Godoy Cruz
Independiente
Money Line
L 0-1 at Newell's OB
W 0-1 vs CA Union
T 1-1 vs Sarmiento
L 0-1 at Aldosivi
T 1-1 vs Gimnasia ELP

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+380+425+400+460+450+400+460+481.0
Independiente-140-150-139-143-148-139-139-131.9
Draw+245+240+235+272+256+235+272+286.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-----+481.0
Independiente------131.9
Draw-----+286.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Independiente: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arsenal ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2-125o2-125o2-123-o2-125o2-123o2-115
Underu2¼-118u2+105u2+105u2+107-u2+105u2+107u2+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-115
Under-----u2+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.4%
 
No56.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.64%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 414.96%
Exactly 63.67%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.01%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 58.11%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 049.98%
Exactly 134.66%
Exactly 212.02%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 013.29%
Exactly 126.82%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.21%
Exactly 49.18%
Exactly 53.71%
Exactly 61.25%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.50%
Exactly 222.46%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 39.40%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 072.53%
Exactly 123.29%
Exactly 23.74%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 039.29%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.15%
Exactly 35.34%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals3.04%
Wins by 3+ goals0.56%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals43.11%
Wins by 3+ goals22.05%
Wins by 4+ goals9.29%
Wins by 5+ goals3.26%
Wins by 6+ goals0.93%
Wins by 7+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Independiente
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal8.67%
Wins by 2 goals2.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal25.25%
Wins by 2 goals21.05%
Wins by 3 goals12.76%
Wins by 4 goals6.04%
Wins by 5 goals2.33%
Wins by 6 goals0.75%
Wins by 7 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.36%6.64%
1.575.34%24.66%
2.550.92%49.08%
3.528.84%71.16%
4.513.88%86.12%
5.55.77%94.23%
6.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.02%49.98%
1.515.36%84.64%
2.53.34%96.66%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.71%13.29%
1.559.88%40.12%
2.532.82%67.18%
3.514.61%85.39%
4.55.43%94.57%
5.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.50%28.50%
1.535.73%64.27%
2.513.28%86.72%
3.53.88%96.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Independiente
Score012345
0
6.64%
13.41%
13.53%
9.10%
4.59%
1.85%
1
4.61%
9.30%
9.38%
6.31%
3.18%
1.28%
2
1.60%
3.22%
3.25%
2.19%
1.10%
0.45%
3
0.37%
0.75%
0.75%
0.51%
0.26%
0.10%
Arsenal
1-04.61%
2-01.60%
2-13.22%
3-00.37%
3-10.75%
3-20.75%
Draw
0-06.64%
1-19.30%
2-23.25%
3-30.51%
Independiente
0-113.41%
0-213.53%
1-29.38%
0-39.10%
1-36.31%
2-32.19%
0-44.59%
1-43.18%
2-41.10%
3-40.26%
0-51.85%
1-51.28%
2-50.45%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Independiente
Score012345
0
28.50%
26.62%
12.44%
3.87%
0.90%
0.17%
1
9.15%
8.55%
3.99%
1.24%
0.29%
0.05%
2
1.47%
1.37%
0.64%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-09.15%
2-01.47%
2-11.37%
3-00.16%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-028.50%
1-18.55%
2-20.64%
Independiente
0-126.62%
0-212.44%
1-23.99%
0-33.87%
1-31.24%
2-30.20%
0-40.90%
1-40.29%
0-50.17%