Estudiantes at Sarmiento

Updated

Estudiantes

36.3%30.1%33.6%
Estudiantes WinDrawSarmiento Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.01
1Final Score 3

Sarmiento

Last 5 Games

Estudiantes
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Platense
W 2-1 at Godoy Cruz
T 0-0 at Gimnasia ELP
W 0-2 vs Newell's OB
T 1-1 at San Lorenzo
Sarmiento
Money Line
W 1-0 at Racing Club
L 2-1 vs CA Union
T 0-0 vs Barracas Central
L 1-4 at Belgrano
L 1-0 vs Lanus

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes-115-+145+145-+145+145+157.3
Sarmiento+350-+210+230-+230+230+246.6
Draw+220-+200+195-+195+200+209.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes-----+157.3
Sarmiento-----+246.6
Draw-----+209.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estudiantes: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sarmiento: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estudiantes ML
No Steam Moves On Sarmiento ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-120-o2+100o2+102-o2+102o2+102o2+111
Underu2+100-u2-120u2-122-u2-122u2-120u2-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+111
Under-----u2-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.50%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.74%
Exactly 61.40%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.99%
Exactly 318.74%
Exactly 54.05%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Estudiantes
Exactly 034.42%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.58%
Exactly 36.96%
Exactly 41.86%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarmiento
Exactly 036.31%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.63%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.18%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 41.37%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.68%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estudiantes
Exactly 061.03%
Exactly 130.14%
Exactly 27.44%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarmiento
Exactly 062.56%
Exactly 129.35%
Exactly 26.88%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estudiantes
Wins by 2+ goals14.28%
Wins by 3+ goals4.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Sarmiento
Wins by 2+ goals12.65%
Wins by 3+ goals3.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Estudiantes
Sarmiento
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estudiantes
Wins by 1 goal21.95%
Wins by 2 goals10.04%
Wins by 3 goals3.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Sarmiento
Wins by 1 goal20.85%
Wins by 2 goals9.06%
Wins by 3 goals2.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.50%12.50%
1.561.51%38.49%
2.534.49%65.51%
3.515.75%84.25%
4.56.01%93.99%
5.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Estudiantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.58%34.42%
1.528.87%71.13%
2.59.29%90.71%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Sarmiento Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.69%36.31%
1.526.91%73.09%
2.58.27%91.73%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.82%38.18%
1.525.06%74.94%
2.57.36%92.64%
3.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estudiantes
Sarmiento
Score012345
0
12.50%
12.66%
6.41%
2.17%
0.55%
0.11%
1
13.33%
13.50%
6.84%
2.31%
0.59%
0.12%
2
7.11%
7.20%
3.65%
1.23%
0.31%
0.06%
3
2.53%
2.56%
1.30%
0.44%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.67%
0.68%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Estudiantes
1-013.33%
2-07.11%
2-17.20%
3-02.53%
3-12.56%
3-21.30%
4-00.67%
4-10.68%
4-20.35%
4-30.12%
5-00.14%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-012.50%
1-113.50%
2-23.65%
3-30.44%
Sarmiento
0-112.66%
0-26.41%
1-26.84%
0-32.17%
1-32.31%
2-31.23%
0-40.55%
1-40.59%
2-40.31%
3-40.11%
0-50.11%
1-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Estudiantes
Sarmiento
Score0123
0
38.18%
17.91%
4.20%
0.66%
1
18.85%
8.84%
2.07%
0.32%
2
4.65%
2.18%
0.51%
0.08%
3
0.77%
0.36%
0.08%
0.01%
Estudiantes
1-018.85%
2-04.65%
2-12.18%
3-00.77%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-038.18%
1-18.84%
2-20.51%
Sarmiento
0-117.91%
0-24.20%
1-22.07%
0-30.66%
1-30.32%