Independiente at Boca Juniors

Updated

Independiente

26.0%28.6%45.4%
Independiente WinDrawBoca Juniors Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.28
1Final Score 1

Boca Juniors

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Racing Club
L 2-1 vs Talleres
L 1-2 at Instituto
T 4-4 vs CA Union
W 0-2 vs CC Cordoba
Boca Juniors
Money Line
W 1-0 at Talleres
W 0-2 vs Instituto
T 1-1 at CA Union
T 1-1 vs San Lorenzo
W 3-0 at Lanus

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+255-+230+234+234+234+234+250.9
Boca Juniors+110-+145+146+146+146+146+158.5
Draw+215-+185+190+190+190+190+204.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+250.9
Boca Juniors-----+158.5
Draw-----+204.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122-o2+122o1¾-118o1¾-118o1¾-118o2+122o1¾-107
Underu2+102-u2-148u1¾-102u1¾-102u1¾-102u1¾-102u1¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-107
Under-----u1¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.7%
 
No57.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.36%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 410.59%
Exactly 61.67%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.71%
Exactly 319.48%
Exactly 54.61%
Exactly 70.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 040.87%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.36%
Exactly 34.88%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 027.80%
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 39.72%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.53%
Exactly 218.52%
Exactly 41.56%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.22%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 066.08%
Exactly 127.38%
Exactly 25.67%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 055.29%
Exactly 132.77%
Exactly 29.71%
Exactly 31.92%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals8.77%
Wins by 3+ goals2.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals20.71%
Wins by 3+ goals7.29%
Wins by 4+ goals2.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Boca Juniors
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal17.21%
Wins by 2 goals6.55%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal24.63%
Wins by 2 goals13.41%
Wins by 3 goals5.25%
Wins by 4 goals1.59%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.64%11.36%
1.563.92%36.08%
2.537.05%62.95%
3.517.57%82.43%
4.56.98%93.02%
5.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.13%40.87%
1.522.56%77.44%
2.56.20%93.80%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.20%27.80%
1.536.61%63.39%
2.513.83%86.17%
3.54.11%95.89%
4.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.47%36.53%
1.526.68%73.32%
2.58.16%91.84%
3.51.94%98.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Boca Juniors
Score012345
0
11.36%
14.54%
9.31%
3.97%
1.27%
0.33%
1
10.17%
13.01%
8.33%
3.55%
1.14%
0.29%
2
4.55%
5.82%
3.73%
1.59%
0.51%
0.13%
3
1.36%
1.74%
1.11%
0.47%
0.15%
0.04%
4
0.30%
0.39%
0.25%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Independiente
1-010.17%
2-04.55%
2-15.82%
3-01.36%
3-11.74%
3-21.11%
4-00.30%
4-10.39%
4-20.25%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-011.36%
1-113.01%
2-23.73%
3-30.47%
Boca Juniors
0-114.54%
0-29.31%
1-28.33%
0-33.97%
1-33.55%
2-31.59%
0-41.27%
1-41.14%
2-40.51%
3-40.15%
0-50.33%
1-50.29%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Boca Juniors
Score01234
0
36.53%
21.65%
6.42%
1.27%
0.19%
1
15.14%
8.97%
2.66%
0.53%
0.08%
2
3.14%
1.86%
0.55%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.43%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-015.14%
2-03.14%
2-11.86%
3-00.43%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-036.53%
1-18.97%
2-20.55%
Boca Juniors
0-121.65%
0-26.42%
1-22.66%
0-31.27%
1-30.53%
2-30.11%
0-40.19%
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