Estudiantes at Sarmiento

Updated

Estudiantes

40.9%29.7%29.5%
Estudiantes WinDrawSarmiento Win
1.16Projected Goals 0.94

Sarmiento

Last 5 Games

Estudiantes
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Gimnasia ELP
L 0-2 at Deportivo Riestra
L 0-1 at Boca Juniors
W 0-3 vs Defensa y Just
L 2-0 vs Independiente
Sarmiento
Money Line
W 0-2 vs CA Huracan
W 2-1 at Tucuman
W 1-2 vs Independiente Rivadavia
L 2-3 at Banfield
L 3-2 vs Argentinos Jun

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes+125-+135+144+137+144+144+152.6
Sarmiento+250-+225+240+238+240+240+251.9
Draw+195-+200+202+202+202+202+212.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes-----+152.6
Sarmiento-----+251.9
Draw-----+212.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estudiantes: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sarmiento: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estudiantes ML
No Steam Moves On Sarmiento ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-102-o2-110o2-106o2-106o2-106o2-106o2+104
Underu2-118-u2-110u2-114u2-112u2-114u2-110u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.20%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 49.96%
Exactly 61.47%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.66%
Exactly 318.93%
Exactly 54.19%
Exactly 70.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Estudiantes
Exactly 031.25%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 38.20%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarmiento
Exactly 039.04%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.27%
Exactly 35.42%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.75%
Exactly 217.91%
Exactly 41.42%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.82%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estudiantes
Exactly 058.36%
Exactly 131.43%
Exactly 28.46%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarmiento
Exactly 064.69%
Exactly 128.18%
Exactly 26.14%
Exactly 30.89%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estudiantes
Wins by 2+ goals17.33%
Wins by 3+ goals5.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Sarmiento
Wins by 2+ goals10.42%
Wins by 3+ goals2.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Estudiantes
Sarmiento
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Estudiantes
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals11.71%
Wins by 3 goals4.18%
Wins by 4 goals1.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Sarmiento
Wins by 1 goal19.01%
Wins by 2 goals7.65%
Wins by 3 goals2.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.80%12.20%
1.562.14%37.86%
2.535.14%64.86%
3.516.21%83.79%
4.56.25%93.75%
5.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Estudiantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.75%31.25%
1.532.40%67.60%
2.511.26%88.74%
3.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Sarmiento Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.96%39.04%
1.524.24%75.76%
2.56.97%93.03%
3.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.25%37.75%
1.525.47%74.53%
2.57.56%92.44%
3.51.74%98.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estudiantes
Sarmiento
Score01234
0
12.20%
11.47%
5.40%
1.69%
0.40%
1
14.19%
13.35%
6.28%
1.97%
0.46%
2
8.25%
7.76%
3.65%
1.14%
0.27%
3
3.20%
3.01%
1.42%
0.44%
0.10%
4
0.93%
0.88%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.22%
0.20%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Estudiantes
1-014.19%
2-08.25%
2-17.76%
3-03.20%
3-13.01%
3-21.42%
4-00.93%
4-10.88%
4-20.41%
4-30.13%
5-00.22%
5-10.20%
Draw
0-012.20%
1-113.35%
2-23.65%
3-30.44%
Sarmiento
0-111.47%
0-25.40%
1-26.28%
0-31.69%
1-31.97%
2-31.14%
0-40.40%
1-40.46%
2-40.27%
3-40.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Estudiantes
Sarmiento
Score0123
0
37.75%
16.44%
3.58%
0.52%
1
20.33%
8.86%
1.93%
0.28%
2
5.48%
2.38%
0.52%
0.08%
3
0.98%
0.43%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Estudiantes
1-020.33%
2-05.48%
2-12.38%
3-00.98%
3-10.43%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-037.75%
1-18.86%
2-20.52%
Sarmiento
0-116.44%
0-23.58%
1-21.93%
0-30.52%
1-30.28%