Sturm Graz at Atalanta

Updated

Sturm Graz

5.5%10.6%83.9%
WinDrawAtalanta Win
0.71Projected Goals 3.10
0Final Score 5

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Sturm Graz
Money Line
L 2-3 at Lille+575
W 0-1 vs Girona+275
L 0-1 at Dortmund+1175
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+740
L 1-0 vs Club Brugge+350
Atalanta
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+160
W 6-1 at Young Boys-188
W 2-0 at VfB Stuttgart+170
T 0-0 vs Celtic-250
W 3-0 at Shakhtar-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sturm Graz+1100+1171+1000+1250+1231+1250+1250+1297.2
Atalanta-500-408-400-415-464-415-400-351.7
Draw+600+532+525+545+536+545+545+567.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sturm Graz+1200-+1375--+1325+1375+1297.2
Atalanta-510--495---500-495-351.7
Draw+625-+580--+585+585+567.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Atalanta: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sturm Graz: 10.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sturm Graz ML moved from +1058 to +1032
Atalanta ML moved from -447 to -464

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Atalanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sturm Graz: 20.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sturm Graz ML moved from +1325 to +1275
Atalanta ML moved from -475 to -500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-112o3-118o3-112o3-113o3-117o3-113o3-112o3-103
Underu3¼-108u3+100u3-108u3-107u3-103u3-107u3+100u3+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3-125o3-110o3-110o3-125o3-110o3-110o3-103
Underu3½-140u3+105u3-110u3-110u3-105u3-110u3+105u3+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-125 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.21%
Exactly 216.05%
Exactly 419.45%
Exactly 69.43%
Exactly 82.45%
Exactly 100.40%
 
Exactly 18.41%
Exactly 320.40%
Exactly 514.84%
Exactly 75.14%
Exactly 91.04%
Exactly 110.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Sturm Graz
Exactly 048.88%
Exactly 134.99%
Exactly 212.52%
Exactly 32.99%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 04.51%
Exactly 113.98%
Exactly 221.66%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 417.33%
Exactly 510.73%
Exactly 65.54%
Exactly 72.45%
Exactly 80.95%
Exactly 90.33%
Exactly 100.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.10%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 46.93%
Exactly 60.72%
 
Exactly 130.20%
Exactly 315.70%
Exactly 52.45%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sturm Graz
Exactly 071.79%
Exactly 123.79%
Exactly 23.94%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 023.83%
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 224.51%
Exactly 311.72%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 51.21%
Exactly 60.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sturm Graz
Wins by 2+ goals1.33%
Wins by 3+ goals0.23%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals66.08%
Wins by 3+ goals45.15%
Wins by 4+ goals26.63%
Wins by 5+ goals13.63%
Wins by 6+ goals6.11%
Wins by 7+ goals2.41%
Wins by 8+ goals0.84%
Wins by 9+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Sturm Graz
Atalanta
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Sturm Graz
Wins by 1 goal4.10%
Wins by 2 goals1.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal17.79%
Wins by 2 goals20.93%
Wins by 3 goals18.52%
Wins by 4 goals13.00%
Wins by 5 goals7.52%
Wins by 6 goals3.70%
Wins by 7 goals1.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.59%
Wins by 9 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.79%2.21%
1.589.38%10.62%
2.573.33%26.67%
3.552.94%47.06%
4.533.49%66.51%
5.518.65%81.35%
6.59.22%90.78%
7.54.08%95.92%
8.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Sturm Graz Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.12%48.88%
1.516.13%83.87%
2.53.61%96.39%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.49%4.51%
1.581.50%18.50%
2.559.84%40.16%
3.537.47%62.53%
4.520.15%79.85%
5.59.41%90.59%
6.53.87%96.13%
7.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.90%17.10%
1.552.69%47.31%
2.526.02%73.98%
3.510.33%89.67%
4.53.40%96.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sturm Graz
Atalanta
Score012345
0
2.21%
6.83%
10.59%
10.93%
8.47%
5.25%
1
1.58%
4.89%
7.58%
7.83%
6.06%
3.76%
2
0.57%
1.75%
2.71%
2.80%
2.17%
1.34%
3
0.13%
0.42%
0.65%
0.67%
0.52%
0.32%
Sturm Graz
1-01.58%
2-00.57%
2-11.75%
3-00.13%
3-10.42%
3-20.65%
Draw
0-02.21%
1-14.89%
2-22.71%
3-30.67%
Atalanta
0-16.83%
0-210.59%
1-27.58%
0-310.93%
1-37.83%
2-32.80%
0-48.47%
1-46.06%
2-42.17%
3-40.52%
0-55.25%
1-53.76%
2-51.34%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Sturm Graz
Atalanta
Score0123456
0
17.10%
24.53%
17.60%
8.41%
3.02%
0.87%
0.21%
1
5.67%
8.13%
5.83%
2.79%
1.00%
0.29%
0.07%
2
0.94%
1.35%
0.97%
0.46%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.10%
0.15%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Sturm Graz
1-05.67%
2-00.94%
2-11.35%
3-00.10%
3-10.15%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-017.10%
1-18.13%
2-20.97%
Atalanta
0-124.53%
0-217.60%
1-25.83%
0-38.41%
1-32.79%
2-30.46%
0-43.02%
1-41.00%
2-40.17%
0-50.87%
1-50.29%
0-60.21%