Monaco at Real Madrid

Updated

Monaco

11.0%16.5%72.4%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.43
1Final Score 6

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Monaco
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Galatasaray+110
W 1-0 at Bodo/Glimt+192
T 0-0 vs Tottenham+206
T 2-2 vs Manchester City+725
L 1-4 at Club Brugge+215
Real Madrid
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+240
W 4-3 at Olympiacos-165
L 0-1 at Liverpool+180
W 0-1 vs Juventus-230
W 1-2 vs Marseille-295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monaco+807+780+750+805+805+805+805+836.9
Real Madrid-381-333-335-325-325-325-325-282.7
Draw+528+520+500+525+525+525+525+547.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monaco+800-+825--+800+825+836.9
Real Madrid-355--360---350-350-282.7
Draw+525-+540--+525+540+547.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monaco: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monaco: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monaco: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monaco ML moved from +860 to +780
Real Madrid ML moved from -325 to -340

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monaco: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monaco: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monaco: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monaco ML moved from +800 to +775
Real Madrid ML moved from -340 to -358

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3¾-106o3¾+100o3¾-104o3¾-104o3¾-104o3¾+100o3¾+105
Underu3½-110u3¾-105u3¾-120u3¾-116u3¾-116u3¾-116u3¾-105u3¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o3½-130o3½-132o3½-125o3½-115o3½-130o3½-115o3¾+105
Underu3½-105u3½+110u3½+112u3½+105u3½-115u3½+110u3½+112u3¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-114 to o3¾-104
The Under moved from u3¾-116 to u3½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-110 to o3½-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.81%
Exactly 220.35%
Exactly 418.09%
Exactly 66.43%
Exactly 81.23%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.46%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 511.82%
Exactly 73.00%
Exactly 90.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Monaco
Exactly 043.26%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.19%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 08.82%
Exactly 121.41%
Exactly 226.00%
Exactly 321.05%
Exactly 412.78%
Exactly 56.21%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 70.87%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.04%
Exactly 225.20%
Exactly 44.80%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.33%
Exactly 312.71%
Exactly 51.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monaco
Exactly 067.84%
Exactly 126.32%
Exactly 25.11%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 032.48%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.53%
Exactly 37.70%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Monaco
Wins by 2+ goals3.24%
Wins by 3+ goals0.73%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals49.86%
Wins by 3+ goals28.76%
Wins by 4+ goals13.97%
Wins by 5+ goals5.77%
Wins by 6+ goals2.03%
Wins by 7+ goals0.59%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Monaco
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Monaco
Wins by 1 goal7.76%
Wins by 2 goals2.51%
Wins by 3 goals0.60%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.48%
Wins by 2 goals21.10%
Wins by 3 goals14.79%
Wins by 4 goals8.20%
Wins by 5 goals3.74%
Wins by 6 goals1.44%
Wins by 7 goals0.47%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.19%3.81%
1.583.73%16.27%
2.563.38%36.62%
3.541.22%58.78%
4.523.13%76.87%
5.511.31%88.69%
6.54.88%95.12%
7.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Monaco Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.74%43.26%
1.520.49%79.51%
2.55.30%94.70%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.18%8.82%
1.569.77%30.23%
2.543.77%56.23%
3.522.73%77.27%
4.59.95%90.05%
5.53.74%96.26%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.96%22.04%
1.544.63%55.37%
2.519.43%80.57%
3.56.72%93.28%
4.51.92%98.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Monaco
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.81%
9.26%
11.25%
9.10%
5.53%
2.68%
1
3.20%
7.76%
9.42%
7.63%
4.63%
2.25%
2
1.34%
3.25%
3.95%
3.20%
1.94%
0.94%
3
0.37%
0.91%
1.10%
0.89%
0.54%
0.26%
Monaco
1-03.20%
2-01.34%
2-13.25%
3-00.37%
3-10.91%
3-21.10%
Draw
0-03.81%
1-17.76%
2-23.95%
3-30.89%
4-40.11%
Real Madrid
0-19.26%
0-211.25%
1-29.42%
0-39.10%
1-37.63%
2-33.20%
0-45.53%
1-44.63%
2-41.94%
3-40.54%
0-52.68%
1-52.25%
2-50.94%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Monaco
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
22.04%
24.78%
13.93%
5.22%
1.47%
0.33%
1
8.55%
9.61%
5.41%
2.03%
0.57%
0.13%
2
1.66%
1.87%
1.05%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.21%
0.24%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Monaco
1-08.55%
2-01.66%
2-11.87%
3-00.21%
3-10.24%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-022.04%
1-19.61%
2-21.05%
Real Madrid
0-124.78%
0-213.93%
1-25.41%
0-35.22%
1-32.03%
2-30.39%
0-41.47%
1-40.57%
2-40.11%
0-50.33%
1-50.13%