Benfica at Real Sociedad

Updated

Benfica

30.8%27.4%41.8%
Benfica WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 3

Real Sociedad

Last Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Real Sociedad+120
L 0-1 at Inter+463
L 2-0 vs RB Salzburg-225
T 3-3 at Inter+255
L 2-0 vs Inter+138
Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 1-0 at Benfica+245
W 2-0 at RB Salzburg+165
T 1-1 vs Inter+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+292+372+370+370+370+370+372+386.8
Real Sociedad-101-123-130-118-118-118-118-109.5
Draw+255+261+265+255+255+255+265+267.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+310-+365-+325+370+370+386.8
Real Sociedad-110--120--140-125-120-109.5
Draw+250-+250-+240+255+255+267.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 40.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +380 to +370
Real Sociedad ML moved from -122 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 40.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +373 to +365
Real Sociedad ML moved from -120 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+112o2¼-115o2¼-113o2¼-113o2¼-113o2¼-113o2¼-103
Underu2½-118u2½-132u2¼-105u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼-107u2½-132u2¼+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+110o2½+120-o2½-105o2½+120o2½+120o2¼-103
Underu2½-130u2½-130u2½-140-u2½-125u2½-140u2½-125u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.01%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 412.60%
Exactly 62.43%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.68%
Exactly 320.94%
Exactly 56.07%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 033.65%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.96%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 026.77%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 223.25%
Exactly 310.21%
Exactly 43.36%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.81%
Exactly 220.38%
Exactly 42.11%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.57%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 060.39%
Exactly 130.46%
Exactly 27.68%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 054.33%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 210.11%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals11.93%
Wins by 3+ goals3.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals19.10%
Wins by 3+ goals6.79%
Wins by 4+ goals1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Real Sociedad
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal18.75%
Wins by 2 goals8.40%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal22.69%
Wins by 2 goals12.30%
Wins by 3 goals4.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.50%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.99%9.01%
1.569.31%30.69%
2.543.21%56.79%
3.522.28%77.72%
4.59.68%90.32%
5.53.61%96.39%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.35%33.65%
1.529.70%70.30%
2.59.74%90.26%
3.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.23%26.77%
1.537.95%62.05%
2.514.70%85.30%
3.54.49%95.51%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.19%32.81%
1.530.63%69.37%
2.510.25%89.75%
3.52.68%97.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
9.01%
11.87%
7.82%
3.44%
1.13%
0.30%
1
9.81%
12.93%
8.52%
3.74%
1.23%
0.33%
2
5.34%
7.04%
4.64%
2.04%
0.67%
0.18%
3
1.94%
2.56%
1.68%
0.74%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.53%
0.70%
0.46%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.15%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-09.81%
2-05.34%
2-17.04%
3-01.94%
3-12.56%
3-21.68%
4-00.53%
4-10.70%
4-20.46%
4-30.20%
5-00.12%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-09.01%
1-112.93%
2-24.64%
3-30.74%
Real Sociedad
0-111.87%
0-27.82%
1-28.52%
0-33.44%
1-33.74%
2-32.04%
0-41.13%
1-41.23%
2-40.67%
3-40.24%
0-50.30%
1-50.33%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
32.81%
20.02%
6.11%
1.24%
0.19%
1
16.55%
10.10%
3.08%
0.63%
0.10%
2
4.17%
2.55%
0.78%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.70%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Benfica
1-016.55%
2-04.17%
2-12.55%
3-00.70%
3-10.43%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.81%
1-110.10%
2-20.78%
Real Sociedad
0-120.02%
0-26.11%
1-23.08%
0-31.24%
1-30.63%
2-30.16%
0-40.19%