Red Star at Lech Poznan

Updated

Red Star

17.8%22.9%59.3%
WinDrawLech Poznan Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.80
3Final Score 1

Lech Poznan

Last Games

Red Star
Money Line
W 1-0 at Young Boys+165
L 3-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+325
L 1-2 at Milan+1025
W 1-5 vs VfB Stuttgart+325
L 5-2 vs Barcelona+1000
Lech Poznan
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Star+144+144+139+155+141+155+155+167.7
Lech Poznan+184+169+165+166+173+166+173+179.2
Draw+224+255+250+255+259+255+259+272.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Star+140---+135+165+165+167.7
Lech Poznan+195---+155+155+155+179.2
Draw+240---+220+255+255+272.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Star: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lech Poznan: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Star: 0.0%
Lech Poznan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Star: 0.0%
Lech Poznan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Star ML moved from +147 to +137
Lech Poznan ML moved from +164 to +158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Star: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lech Poznan: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Star: 0.0%
Lech Poznan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Star: 20.0%
Lech Poznan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Star ML
Lech Poznan ML moved from +180 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+107o3+105o3-102o2¾-128o3+102o2¾-128o2¾-128o2¾-117
Underu2½-130u3-129u3-128u2¾+108u3-124u2¾+108u3-124u2¾+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110---o3+105o3+105o3+105o2¾-117
Underu2½-130---u3-135u3-125u3-125u2¾+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-125 to o2¾-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+105 to o3-110
The Under moved from u3-110 to u3-135

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.96%
Exactly 224.72%
Exactly 414.62%
Exactly 63.46%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.56%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 57.79%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Red Star
Exactly 041.97%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.82%
Exactly 34.58%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Lech Poznan
Exactly 016.60%
Exactly 129.81%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 316.02%
Exactly 47.20%
Exactly 52.58%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.12%
Exactly 222.16%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 39.11%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Red Star
Exactly 066.90%
Exactly 126.89%
Exactly 25.41%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lech Poznan
Exactly 043.54%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 215.05%
Exactly 34.17%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Red Star
Wins by 2+ goals5.63%
Wins by 3+ goals1.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Lech Poznan
Wins by 2+ goals34.10%
Wins by 3+ goals15.76%
Wins by 4+ goals5.97%
Wins by 5+ goals1.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Red Star
Lech Poznan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Red Star
Wins by 1 goal12.16%
Wins by 2 goals4.28%
Wins by 3 goals1.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Lech Poznan
Wins by 1 goal25.15%
Wins by 2 goals18.34%
Wins by 3 goals9.79%
Wins by 4 goals4.09%
Wins by 5 goals1.40%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.04%6.96%
1.574.48%25.52%
2.549.76%50.24%
3.527.81%72.19%
4.513.18%86.82%
5.55.39%94.61%
6.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Red Star Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.03%41.97%
1.521.59%78.41%
2.55.77%94.23%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Lech Poznan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.40%16.60%
1.553.60%46.40%
2.526.83%73.17%
3.510.81%89.19%
4.53.61%96.39%
5.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.88%29.12%
1.534.95%65.05%
2.512.79%87.21%
3.53.68%96.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Red Star
Lech Poznan
Score012345
0
6.96%
12.51%
11.23%
6.72%
3.02%
1.08%
1
6.05%
10.86%
9.75%
5.84%
2.62%
0.94%
2
2.63%
4.72%
4.23%
2.54%
1.14%
0.41%
3
0.76%
1.36%
1.23%
0.73%
0.33%
0.12%
4
0.16%
0.30%
0.27%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
Red Star
1-06.05%
2-02.63%
2-14.72%
3-00.76%
3-11.36%
3-21.23%
4-00.16%
4-10.30%
4-20.27%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.96%
1-110.86%
2-24.23%
3-30.73%
Lech Poznan
0-112.51%
0-211.23%
1-29.75%
0-36.72%
1-35.84%
2-32.54%
0-43.02%
1-42.62%
2-41.14%
3-40.33%
0-51.08%
1-50.94%
2-50.41%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Red Star
Lech Poznan
Score01234
0
29.12%
24.22%
10.07%
2.79%
0.58%
1
11.71%
9.74%
4.05%
1.12%
0.23%
2
2.35%
1.96%
0.81%
0.23%
0.05%
3
0.32%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Red Star
1-011.71%
2-02.35%
2-11.96%
3-00.32%
3-10.26%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.12%
1-19.74%
2-20.81%
Lech Poznan
0-124.22%
0-210.07%
1-24.05%
0-32.79%
1-31.12%
2-30.23%
0-40.58%
1-40.23%