Arsenal at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Arsenal

37.3%28.6%34.0%
Arsenal WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 1

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Sporting CP-185
W 1-0 at Sporting CP-125
W 0-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen-350
T 1-1 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen-195
W 3-1 at Inter+165
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Barcelona+290
W 2-0 at Barcelona+475
L 2-3 at Tottenham+170
W 2-5 vs Tottenham-145
W 1-4 vs Club Brugge-248

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+154+135+130+133+133+133+135+138.9
Atletico Madrid+189+205+210+218+218+218+218+226.1
Draw+239+245+240+255+255+255+255+264.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+155-+132+125+115+130+132+138.9
Atletico Madrid+185-+207+200+210+220+220+226.1
Draw+225-+250+220+220+240+250+264.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +138 to +132
Atletico Madrid ML moved from +212 to +205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +125 to +115
Atletico Madrid ML moved from +227 to +207

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2¼-103o2¼-108o2½+125o2½+125o2½+125o2¼-103o2½+133
Underu2½-145u2¼-108u2¼-112u2½-145u2½-145u2½-145u2½-145u2½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½+120o2-148o2-145o2½+120o2½+140o2-145o2½+133
Underu2½-140u2½-140u2+128u2+125u2½-150u2½-150u2½-140u2½-133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-140 to o2½+120
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.43%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 411.35%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.58%
Exactly 320.08%
Exactly 55.13%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 031.25%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 38.20%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 033.37%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.10%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.11%
Exactly 219.23%
Exactly 41.76%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.71%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 058.36%
Exactly 131.43%
Exactly 28.46%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 060.16%
Exactly 130.57%
Exactly 27.77%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals15.59%
Wins by 3+ goals5.01%
Wins by 4+ goals1.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals13.47%
Wins by 3+ goals4.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal21.71%
Wins by 2 goals10.58%
Wins by 3 goals3.73%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal20.48%
Wins by 2 goals9.41%
Wins by 3 goals3.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.57%10.43%
1.565.99%34.01%
2.539.35%60.65%
3.519.27%80.73%
4.57.92%92.08%
5.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.75%31.25%
1.532.40%67.60%
2.511.26%88.74%
3.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.63%33.37%
1.530.00%70.00%
2.59.91%90.09%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.89%35.11%
1.528.14%71.86%
2.58.91%91.09%
3.52.20%97.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
10.43%
11.45%
6.28%
2.30%
0.63%
0.14%
1
12.13%
13.31%
7.30%
2.67%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.06%
7.74%
4.25%
1.55%
0.43%
0.09%
3
2.74%
3.00%
1.65%
0.60%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.80%
0.87%
0.48%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-012.13%
2-07.06%
2-17.74%
3-02.74%
3-13.00%
3-21.65%
4-00.80%
4-10.87%
4-20.48%
4-30.18%
5-00.19%
5-10.20%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.43%
1-113.31%
2-24.25%
3-30.60%
Atletico Madrid
0-111.45%
0-26.28%
1-27.30%
0-32.30%
1-32.67%
2-31.55%
0-40.63%
1-40.73%
2-40.43%
3-40.17%
0-50.14%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Score0123
0
35.11%
17.84%
4.53%
0.77%
1
18.91%
9.61%
2.44%
0.41%
2
5.09%
2.59%
0.66%
0.11%
3
0.91%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-018.91%
2-05.09%
2-12.59%
3-00.91%
3-10.46%
3-20.12%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-035.11%
1-19.61%
2-20.66%
Atletico Madrid
0-117.84%
0-24.53%
1-22.44%
0-30.77%
1-30.41%
2-30.11%