Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 10, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ajax
Qarabag 		43.9%
31.7%		24.4%
+232
+113
+235
+110
1.60
1.32		2.92
o2¾-122
u3-123
o3+105
u3-125
FC Copenhagen
Villarreal 		11.0%
72.2%		16.8%
+705
-245
+665
-250
0.82
2.38		3.20
o3+102
u3-112
o3-105
u3-115
Paris Saint-Germain
Athletic Club 		35.2%
35.8%		29.0%
-142
+410
-150
+413
1.11
1.11		2.22
o2¾+105
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
Arsenal
Club Brugge 		59.6%
18.2%		22.3%
-255
+700
-275
+690
1.87
0.92		2.79
o3+100
u3-112
o3-105
u3-110
Napoli
Benfica 		36.7%
35.8%		27.5%
+226
+139
+213
+135
1.22
1.20		2.42
o2¼-114
u2¼+103
o2½+110
u2½-130
Bodo/Glimt
Dortmund 		6.6%
82.6%		10.8%
+950
-360
+900
-360
0.89
3.26		4.15
o3½-116
u3½+101
o3½-115
u3½-105
Newcastle United
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		25.9%
49.7%		24.4%
+131
+210
+130
+200
1.12
1.65		2.77
o2¾-114
u2¾+101
o2½-140
u2½+125
Manchester City
Real Madrid 		31.8%
41.0%		27.1%
+135
+185
+137
+190
1.13
1.32		2.45
o3¼-101
u3¼-111
o3-130
u3+115
Games for Dec 9, 2025
Games for Dec 11, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Milan
Real Madrid		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+575
-215
+570
-235
3
1		-1.93337-1.94603-2.19804
RB Leipzig
Celtic		64.1%
16.1%		19.8%
+177
+154
+170
+175
1
3		-0.96045-1.01954-1.82809
Sturm Graz
Dortmund		4.4%
86.6%		8.9%
+1250
-443
+1175
-500
0
1		-0.22828-0.22642-0.14399
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Liverpool		18.3%
60.8%		20.9%
+365
-132
+345
-135
0
4		-0.59146-0.59938-0.49722
Manchester City
Sporting CP		67.6%
13.2%		19.1%
+108
+259
+110
+250
1
4		-1.30037-1.28096-2.02238
Juventus
Lille		33.8%
37.0%		29.2%
+150
+210
+155
+200
1
1		-1.20631-1.18502-1.22963
Monaco
Bologna		35.4%
37.8%		26.7%
+178
+170
+175
+165
1
0		-1.05065-1.05469-1.03730
Girona
PSV Eindhoven		16.4%
63.3%		20.3%
+415
-138
+375
-140
0
4		-0.55704-0.57323-0.45675
Dinamo Zagreb
Slovan Bratislava		51.6%
24.2%		24.3%
-104
+280
-105
+285
4
1		-0.70269-0.70354-0.66244
Liverpool
RB Leipzig		48.4%
27.0%		24.6%
+104
+263
+110
+250
1
0		-0.74137-0.75377-0.72561
Feyenoord
Benfica		19.0%
59.3%		21.7%
+585
-200
+575
-215
3
1		-1.94498-1.95425-1.66168
Inter
Young Boys		73.4%
10.3%		16.3%
-288
+835
-300
+825
1
0		-0.32240-0.32371-0.30921
Bayern Munich
Barcelona		34.2%
39.5%		26.3%
+148
+170
+145
+165
1
4		-1.02282-1.01755-0.92829
Lille
Atletico Madrid		14.2%
64.8%		21.1%
+675
-213
+675
-225
3
1		-2.06546-2.08345-1.95524
Dinamo Zagreb
RB Salzburg		22.1%
54.6%		23.3%
+307
-110
+320
-115
2
0		-1.43054-1.45779-1.50909
Sparta Prague
Manchester City		2.2%
92.2%		5.6%
+2250
-728
+2250
-915
0
5		-0.14558-0.14223-0.08092
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks86-2-0 (0.750)0-0.72261 
Sportsbooks86-2-0 (0.750)0-0.73897 
DRatings86-2-0 (0.750)0-0.71836
0.00424
0.02061

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.