Villarreal at Cartagena

Updated

Villarreal

69.4%17.9%12.6%
Villarreal WinDrawWin
2.29Projected Goals 0.86
5Final Score 1

Cartagena

Last Games

Villarreal
Money Line
Cartagena
Money Line
W 4-2 at Alcorcon+140
L 2-1 vs Valencia+375
W 2-1 at Castellon

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal-140-152-165-179-159-179-152-140.8
Cartagena+350+460+440+420+453+420+453+480.6
Draw+300+288+310+275+292+275+310+311.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal-155----220--220-140.8
Cartagena+345---+475-+475+480.6
Draw+240---+275-+275+311.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cartagena: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 20.0%
Cartagena: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Cartagena: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from -164 to -179
Cartagena ML moved from +469 to +453

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cartagena: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 20.0%
Cartagena: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Cartagena: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from -165 to -220
No Steam Moves On Cartagena ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-109o2½-114o2½-115o2½-119o2½-116o2½-119o2½-114o2½-108
Underu2¾-111u2½-104u2½-105u2½-101u2½+101u2½-101u2½+101u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110---o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-108
Underu2½-120---u2½-110-u2½-110u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-108 to o2¾+105
The Under moved from u2¾-111 to u2½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.28%
Exactly 221.25%
Exactly 417.59%
Exactly 65.82%
Exactly 81.03%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.49%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 511.08%
Exactly 72.62%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 010.15%
Exactly 123.22%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 320.25%
Exactly 411.58%
Exactly 55.30%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 70.66%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Cartagena
Exactly 042.17%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.72%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.25%
Exactly 224.74%
Exactly 44.39%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.92%
Exactly 312.03%
Exactly 51.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 034.67%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cartagena
Exactly 067.05%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 25.36%
Exactly 30.71%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals46.15%
Wins by 3+ goals25.49%
Wins by 4+ goals11.80%
Wins by 5+ goals4.63%
Cartagena
Wins by 2+ goals3.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.89%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Cartagena
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal23.23%
Wins by 2 goals20.66%
Wins by 3 goals13.69%
Wins by 4 goals7.17%
Wins by 5 goals3.08%
Cartagena
Wins by 1 goal8.76%
Wins by 2 goals2.94%
Wins by 3 goals0.73%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.72%4.28%
1.582.23%17.77%
2.560.98%39.02%
3.538.66%61.34%
4.521.08%78.92%
5.59.99%90.01%
6.54.17%95.83%
7.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.85%10.15%
1.566.63%33.37%
2.540.07%59.93%
3.519.82%80.18%
4.58.23%91.77%
5.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Cartagena Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.83%42.17%
1.521.42%78.58%
2.55.70%94.30%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.75%23.25%
1.542.84%57.16%
2.518.09%81.91%
3.56.06%93.94%
4.51.67%98.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Cartagena
Score0123
0
4.28%
3.70%
1.60%
0.46%
1
9.79%
8.45%
3.65%
1.05%
2
11.20%
9.67%
4.18%
1.20%
3
8.54%
7.38%
3.18%
0.92%
4
4.89%
4.22%
1.82%
0.52%
5
2.24%
1.93%
0.83%
0.24%
Villarreal
1-09.79%
2-011.20%
2-19.67%
3-08.54%
3-17.38%
3-23.18%
4-04.89%
4-14.22%
4-21.82%
4-30.52%
5-02.24%
5-11.93%
5-20.83%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-04.28%
1-18.45%
2-24.18%
3-30.92%
4-40.11%
Cartagena
0-13.70%
0-21.60%
1-23.65%
0-30.46%
1-31.05%
2-31.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Cartagena
Score0123
0
23.25%
9.29%
1.86%
0.25%
1
24.62%
9.84%
1.97%
0.26%
2
13.04%
5.21%
1.04%
0.14%
3
4.60%
1.84%
0.37%
0.05%
4
1.22%
0.49%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-024.62%
2-013.04%
2-15.21%
3-04.60%
3-11.84%
3-20.37%
4-01.22%
4-10.49%
5-00.26%
5-10.10%
Draw
0-023.25%
1-19.84%
2-21.04%
Cartagena
0-19.29%
0-21.86%
1-21.97%
0-30.25%
1-30.26%
2-30.14%