Atlético Madrid at Lugo

Updated

Atletico Madrid

77.3%15.6%7.1%
Atlético Madrid WinDrawWin
2.32Projected Goals 0.55
3Final Score 1

Lugo

Last Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+335
W 2-0 at Levante-120
W 2-0 at Oviedo-255
L 0-2 at Real Sociedad+170
Lugo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs CD Mirandes+115
L 2-1 vs CD Mirandes

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid-401-442-480-530-620-530-442-402.1
Lugo+1107+1268+1200+1600+1211+1600+1600+1685.8
Draw+538+561+500+565+534+565+565+598.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid------402.1
Lugo-----+1685.8
Draw-----+598.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lugo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Lugo: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Lugo: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from -444 to -453
Lugo ML moved from +1296 to +1211

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3-104o3-105o3+102o3-110o3+102o3+102o3+111
Underu2½+118u3-114u3-115u3-122u3-118u3-122u3-114u3-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+111
Under-----u3-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.2%
 
No61.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.65%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 416.05%
Exactly 64.41%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.24%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.22%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 09.82%
Exactly 122.78%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 320.46%
Exactly 411.87%
Exactly 55.51%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 70.71%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Lugo
Exactly 057.61%
Exactly 131.77%
Exactly 28.76%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.45%
Exactly 223.39%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 310.37%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 034.14%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 37.06%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lugo
Exactly 077.46%
Exactly 119.78%
Exactly 22.53%
Exactly 30.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals53.71%
Wins by 3+ goals30.85%
Wins by 4+ goals14.77%
Wins by 5+ goals5.98%
Lugo
Wins by 2+ goals1.52%
Wins by 3+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Lugo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.52%
Wins by 2 goals22.87%
Wins by 3 goals16.08%
Wins by 4 goals8.79%
Wins by 5 goals3.92%
Lugo
Wins by 1 goal5.59%
Wins by 2 goals1.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.35%5.65%
1.578.10%21.90%
2.554.77%45.23%
3.532.43%67.57%
4.516.38%83.62%
5.57.16%92.84%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.18%9.82%
1.567.40%32.60%
2.540.96%59.04%
3.520.50%79.50%
4.58.62%91.38%
5.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals Lugo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.39%57.61%
1.510.62%89.38%
2.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.55%26.45%
1.538.38%61.62%
2.514.99%85.01%
3.54.62%95.38%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid
Lugo
Score0123
0
5.65%
3.12%
0.86%
0.16%
1
13.13%
7.24%
2.00%
0.37%
2
15.23%
8.40%
2.32%
0.43%
3
11.79%
6.50%
1.79%
0.33%
4
6.84%
3.77%
1.04%
0.19%
5
3.18%
1.75%
0.48%
0.09%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.13%
2-015.23%
2-18.40%
3-011.79%
3-16.50%
3-21.79%
4-06.84%
4-13.77%
4-21.04%
4-30.19%
5-03.18%
5-11.75%
5-20.48%
Draw
0-05.65%
1-17.24%
2-22.32%
3-30.33%
Lugo
0-13.12%
0-20.86%
1-22.00%
0-30.16%
1-30.37%
2-30.43%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid
Lugo
Score012
0
26.45%
6.75%
0.86%
1
28.42%
7.26%
0.93%
2
15.27%
3.90%
0.50%
3
5.47%
1.40%
0.18%
4
1.47%
0.38%
0.05%
5
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-028.42%
2-015.27%
2-13.90%
3-05.47%
3-11.40%
3-20.18%
4-01.47%
4-10.38%
5-00.32%
Draw
0-026.45%
1-17.26%
2-20.50%
Lugo
0-16.75%
0-20.86%
1-20.93%
CD Mirandés at Lugo
Getafe at Espanyol