Bari at Milan

Updated

Bari

2.8%7.6%89.5%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.49Projected Goals 3.32
0Final Score 2

Milan

Last Games

Bari
Money Line
L 4-5 at Cremonese+285
L 3-0 vs Parma+135
L 0-1 at Parma+225
W 4-1 at Hellas Verona+450
Milan
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Bologna+140
W 3-0 at Inter+245
T 1-1 vs Inter+215
W 1-3 vs Roma+105
W 1-6 vs Sassuolo-350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bari+1200+1808+1500+1250+1668+1250+1808+1382.1
Milan-550-647-675-769-691-769-647-415.5
Draw+550+723+650+620+670+620+723+690.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bari-----+1382.1
Milan------415.5
Draw-----+690.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bari: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bari: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bari: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bari ML moved from +1750 to +1668
Milan ML moved from -633 to -647

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3½+110o3½+105o3¼-114o3¼-113o3¼-114o3¼-113o3¼-104
Underu3-102u3½-129u3½-135u3¼-106u3¼-107u3¼-106u3½-129u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-104
Under-----u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.7%
 
No62.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.21%
Exactly 216.04%
Exactly 419.45%
Exactly 69.43%
Exactly 82.45%
Exactly 100.40%
 
Exactly 18.41%
Exactly 320.40%
Exactly 514.84%
Exactly 75.14%
Exactly 91.04%
Exactly 110.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Bari
Exactly 060.85%
Exactly 130.23%
Exactly 27.51%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 03.62%
Exactly 112.02%
Exactly 219.95%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 418.29%
Exactly 512.14%
Exactly 66.71%
Exactly 73.18%
Exactly 81.32%
Exactly 90.49%
Exactly 100.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.10%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 46.93%
Exactly 60.72%
 
Exactly 130.20%
Exactly 315.70%
Exactly 52.45%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bari
Exactly 079.45%
Exactly 118.28%
Exactly 22.10%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 021.52%
Exactly 133.06%
Exactly 225.39%
Exactly 313.00%
Exactly 44.99%
Exactly 51.53%
Exactly 60.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bari
Wins by 2+ goals0.52%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals74.23%
Wins by 3+ goals53.89%
Wins by 4+ goals33.94%
Wins by 5+ goals18.59%
Wins by 6+ goals8.93%
Wins by 7+ goals3.78%
Wins by 8+ goals1.40%
Wins by 9+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Bari
Milan
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Bari
Wins by 1 goal2.28%
Wins by 2 goals0.45%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal15.25%
Wins by 2 goals20.34%
Wins by 3 goals19.95%
Wins by 4 goals15.34%
Wins by 5 goals9.67%
Wins by 6 goals5.15%
Wins by 7 goals2.37%
Wins by 8 goals0.96%
Wins by 9 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.79%2.21%
1.589.38%10.62%
2.573.34%26.66%
3.552.94%47.06%
4.533.49%66.51%
5.518.66%81.34%
6.59.22%90.78%
7.54.08%95.92%
8.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Bari Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.15%60.85%
1.58.92%91.08%
2.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.38%3.62%
1.584.35%15.65%
2.564.41%35.59%
3.542.35%57.65%
4.524.06%75.94%
5.511.92%88.08%
6.55.21%94.79%
7.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.90%17.10%
1.552.70%47.30%
2.526.03%73.97%
3.510.33%89.67%
4.53.40%96.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bari
Milan
Score012345
0
2.21%
7.32%
12.14%
13.42%
11.13%
7.38%
1
1.10%
3.63%
6.03%
6.67%
5.53%
3.67%
2
0.27%
0.90%
1.50%
1.66%
1.37%
0.91%
Bari
1-01.10%
2-00.27%
2-10.90%
Draw
0-02.21%
1-13.63%
2-21.50%
3-30.27%
Milan
0-17.32%
0-212.14%
1-26.03%
0-313.42%
1-36.67%
2-31.66%
0-411.13%
1-45.53%
2-41.37%
3-40.23%
0-57.38%
1-53.67%
2-50.91%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Bari
Milan
Score0123456
0
17.10%
26.27%
20.17%
10.33%
3.97%
1.22%
0.31%
1
3.93%
6.04%
4.64%
2.38%
0.91%
0.28%
0.07%
2
0.45%
0.69%
0.53%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Bari
1-03.93%
2-00.45%
2-10.69%
Draw
0-017.10%
1-16.04%
2-20.53%
Milan
0-126.27%
0-220.17%
1-24.64%
0-310.33%
1-32.38%
2-30.27%
0-43.97%
1-40.91%
2-40.10%
0-51.22%
1-50.28%
0-60.31%