Lecce at Roma

Updated

Lecce

15.0%8.9%76.1%
WinDrawRoma Win
0.65Projected Goals 3.30
1Final Score 3

Roma

Last Games

Lecce
Money Line
W 2-0 at Spezia+170
W 3-1 at Parma+220
Roma
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+700+725+675+787+751+675+787+786.7
Roma-305-305-270-261-306-270-261-237.1
Draw+400+450+420+412+430+420+450+444.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+775----+700+700+786.7
Roma-315-----290-290-237.1
Draw+460----+440+440+444.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Roma: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 10.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +700 to +675
Roma ML moved from -295 to -305

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Roma: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +770 to +700
Roma ML moved from -315 to -325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o3-112o3-117o3-111-o3-117o3-111o3-101
Underu2¾+102u3-108u3-103u3-104-u3-103u3-103u3+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105---o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-101
Underu3-125---u3-115u3-105u3-105u3+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.92%
Exactly 214.99%
Exactly 419.53%
Exactly 610.18%
Exactly 82.84%
Exactly 100.49%
 
Exactly 17.58%
Exactly 319.76%
Exactly 515.45%
Exactly 75.75%
Exactly 91.25%
Exactly 110.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 052.07%
Exactly 133.98%
Exactly 211.09%
Exactly 32.41%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 03.68%
Exactly 112.16%
Exactly 220.07%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 418.23%
Exactly 512.04%
Exactly 66.62%
Exactly 73.12%
Exactly 81.29%
Exactly 90.47%
Exactly 100.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.03%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 47.50%
Exactly 60.84%
 
Exactly 129.35%
Exactly 316.39%
Exactly 52.75%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 073.92%
Exactly 122.34%
Exactly 23.38%
Exactly 30.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 021.69%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 312.91%
Exactly 44.93%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals0.93%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals70.81%
Wins by 3+ goals50.51%
Wins by 4+ goals31.31%
Wins by 5+ goals16.91%
Wins by 6+ goals8.01%
Wins by 7+ goals3.35%
Wins by 8+ goals1.23%
Wins by 9+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Roma
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal3.17%
Wins by 2 goals0.78%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal16.09%
Wins by 2 goals20.29%
Wins by 3 goals19.20%
Wins by 4 goals14.40%
Wins by 5 goals8.90%
Wins by 6 goals4.66%
Wins by 7 goals2.12%
Wins by 8 goals0.85%
Wins by 9 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.08%1.92%
1.590.50%9.50%
2.575.51%24.49%
3.555.75%44.25%
4.536.22%63.78%
5.520.77%79.23%
6.510.59%89.41%
7.54.84%95.16%
8.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.93%52.07%
1.513.95%86.05%
2.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.32%3.68%
1.584.16%15.84%
2.564.08%35.92%
3.542.00%58.00%
4.523.76%76.24%
5.511.73%88.27%
6.55.11%94.89%
7.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.97%16.03%
1.554.62%45.38%
2.527.76%72.24%
3.511.37%88.63%
4.53.87%96.13%
5.51.12%98.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Roma
Score012345
0
1.92%
6.33%
10.45%
11.50%
9.49%
6.27%
1
1.25%
4.13%
6.82%
7.51%
6.19%
4.09%
2
0.41%
1.35%
2.23%
2.45%
2.02%
1.33%
Lecce
1-01.25%
2-00.41%
2-11.35%
Draw
0-01.92%
1-14.13%
2-22.23%
3-30.53%
Roma
0-16.33%
0-210.45%
1-26.82%
0-311.50%
1-37.51%
2-32.45%
0-49.49%
1-46.19%
2-42.02%
3-40.44%
0-56.27%
1-54.09%
2-51.33%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Roma
Score0123456
0
16.03%
24.50%
18.73%
9.54%
3.65%
1.11%
0.28%
1
4.84%
7.40%
5.66%
2.88%
1.10%
0.34%
0.09%
2
0.73%
1.12%
0.85%
0.44%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Lecce
1-04.84%
2-00.73%
2-11.12%
Draw
0-016.03%
1-17.40%
2-20.85%
Roma
0-124.50%
0-218.73%
1-25.66%
0-39.54%
1-32.88%
2-30.44%
0-43.65%
1-41.10%
2-40.17%
0-51.11%
1-50.34%
0-60.28%