Fiorentina at Atalanta

Updated

Fiorentina

17.5%12.1%70.4%
WinDrawAtalanta Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.88
3Final Score 2

Atalanta

Last Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
W 5-2 at Napoli+240
W 1-2 vs Benevento
W 0-4 vs Cosenza
Atalanta
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Venezia-450
L 2-1 vs Juventus+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+330+260+280+296+278+280+296+333.6
Atalanta-140-105-110-104-113-110-104-112.6
Draw+280+250+280+278+278+280+280+317.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+335---+280+295+295+333.6
Atalanta-140----155-120-120-112.6
Draw+325---+285+295+295+317.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Atalanta: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Atalanta: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Atalanta: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +300 to +280
Atalanta ML moved from -122 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Atalanta: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +310 to +295
No Steam Moves On Atalanta ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o3+105o3-102o3+110-o3-102o3+110o3+112
Underu2¾+102u3-125u3-118u3-125-u3-118u3-118u3-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100---o3-110o3+100o3+100o3+112
Underu3-120---u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.75%
Exactly 217.76%
Exactly 419.11%
Exactly 68.22%
Exactly 81.89%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.89%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 513.73%
Exactly 74.22%
Exactly 90.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 048.85%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 212.54%
Exactly 32.99%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 05.64%
Exactly 116.21%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 416.07%
Exactly 59.24%
Exactly 64.43%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.95%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 46.04%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.52%
Exactly 314.53%
Exactly 52.01%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 071.77%
Exactly 123.81%
Exactly 23.95%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 026.40%
Exactly 135.16%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 310.39%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals1.60%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals61.90%
Wins by 3+ goals40.38%
Wins by 4+ goals22.54%
Wins by 5+ goals10.84%
Wins by 6+ goals4.53%
Wins by 7+ goals1.64%
Wins by 8+ goals0.50%
Wins by 9+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Atalanta
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal4.82%
Wins by 2 goals1.32%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal19.41%
Wins by 2 goals21.52%
Wins by 3 goals17.84%
Wins by 4 goals11.70%
Wins by 5 goals6.31%
Wins by 6 goals2.89%
Wins by 7 goals1.14%
Wins by 8 goals0.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.25%2.75%
1.587.36%12.64%
2.569.59%30.41%
3.548.32%51.68%
4.529.21%70.79%
5.515.49%84.51%
6.57.27%92.73%
7.53.05%96.95%
8.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.15%48.85%
1.516.15%83.85%
2.53.62%96.38%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.36%5.64%
1.578.16%21.84%
2.554.85%45.15%
3.532.50%67.50%
4.516.44%83.56%
5.57.19%92.81%
6.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.05%18.95%
1.549.53%50.47%
2.523.31%76.69%
3.58.78%91.22%
4.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Atalanta
Score012345
0
2.75%
7.92%
11.39%
10.92%
7.85%
4.52%
1
1.97%
5.67%
8.16%
7.82%
5.62%
3.23%
2
0.71%
2.03%
2.92%
2.80%
2.01%
1.16%
3
0.17%
0.49%
0.70%
0.67%
0.48%
0.28%
Fiorentina
1-01.97%
2-00.71%
2-12.03%
3-00.17%
3-10.49%
3-20.70%
Draw
0-02.75%
1-15.67%
2-22.92%
3-30.67%
Atalanta
0-17.92%
0-211.39%
1-28.16%
0-310.92%
1-37.82%
2-32.80%
0-47.85%
1-45.62%
2-42.01%
3-40.48%
0-54.52%
1-53.23%
2-51.16%
3-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Atalanta
Score0123456
0
18.95%
25.24%
16.80%
7.46%
2.48%
0.66%
0.15%
1
6.29%
8.37%
5.57%
2.47%
0.82%
0.22%
0.05%
2
1.04%
1.39%
0.92%
0.41%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.12%
0.15%
0.10%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Fiorentina
1-06.29%
2-01.04%
2-11.39%
3-00.12%
3-10.15%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-018.95%
1-18.37%
2-20.92%
Atalanta
0-125.24%
0-216.80%
1-25.57%
0-37.46%
1-32.47%
2-30.41%
0-42.48%
1-40.82%
2-40.14%
0-50.66%
1-50.22%
0-60.15%