Ascoli at Sampdoria

Updated

Ascoli

21.6%23.4%54.9%
Ascoli WinDrawSampdoria Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.76
8Final Score 9

Sampdoria

Last Games

Ascoli
Money Line
W 3-2 at Venezia-105
L 1-3 at Udinese+700
Sampdoria
Money Line
W 0-1 vs US Reggina-270
L 1-4 at Juventus+850
W 1-2 vs Torino+170
W 2-3 vs Alessandria

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:11.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ascoli+525+321+290+340-+340+340+353.6
Sampdoria-235-105-105-117--117-105-100.5
Draw+330+244+225+260-+260+260+259.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ascoli+425---+365-+365+353.6
Sampdoria-210----175--175-100.5
Draw+285---+260-+260+259.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ascoli: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ascoli: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ascoli: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ascoli: 10.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ascoli ML moved from +325 to +318
Sampdoria ML moved from -130 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ascoli: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ascoli: 10.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ascoli: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ascoli: 40.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ascoli ML moved from +400 to +365
No Steam Moves On Sampdoria ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+110o2¼-122o2½+105-o2½+105o2¼-122o2½+123
Underu2½-105u2½-130u2¼+102u2½-125-u2½-125u2½-125u2½-123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120---o2½-110-o2½-110o2½+123
Underu2½-110---u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.25%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 415.39%
Exactly 63.94%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.33%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 58.53%
Exactly 71.56%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Ascoli
Exactly 036.35%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.62%
Exactly 36.28%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 017.19%
Exactly 130.27%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 315.64%
Exactly 46.88%
Exactly 52.42%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.70%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 39.77%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ascoli
Exactly 062.59%
Exactly 129.33%
Exactly 26.87%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 044.26%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.70%
Exactly 34.00%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ascoli
Wins by 2+ goals7.65%
Wins by 3+ goals2.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals30.70%
Wins by 3+ goals13.82%
Wins by 4+ goals5.10%
Wins by 5+ goals1.57%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Ascoli
Sampdoria
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ascoli
Wins by 1 goal13.90%
Wins by 2 goals5.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal24.19%
Wins by 2 goals16.88%
Wins by 3 goals8.71%
Wins by 4 goals3.54%
Wins by 5 goals1.18%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.75%6.25%
1.576.42%23.58%
2.552.40%47.60%
3.530.20%69.80%
4.514.81%85.19%
5.56.28%93.72%
6.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Ascoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.65%36.35%
1.526.87%73.13%
2.58.25%91.75%
3.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.81%17.19%
1.552.53%47.47%
2.525.88%74.12%
3.510.25%89.75%
4.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.30%27.70%
1.536.74%63.26%
2.513.92%86.08%
3.54.15%95.85%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ascoli
Sampdoria
Score012345
0
6.25%
11.00%
9.69%
5.68%
2.50%
0.88%
1
6.33%
11.14%
9.80%
5.75%
2.53%
0.89%
2
3.20%
5.64%
4.96%
2.91%
1.28%
0.45%
3
1.08%
1.90%
1.67%
0.98%
0.43%
0.15%
4
0.27%
0.48%
0.42%
0.25%
0.11%
0.04%
Ascoli
1-06.33%
2-03.20%
2-15.64%
3-01.08%
3-11.90%
3-21.67%
4-00.27%
4-10.48%
4-20.42%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-06.25%
1-111.14%
2-24.96%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Sampdoria
0-111.00%
0-29.69%
1-29.80%
0-35.68%
1-35.75%
2-32.91%
0-42.50%
1-42.53%
2-41.28%
3-40.43%
0-50.88%
1-50.89%
2-50.45%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Ascoli
Sampdoria
Score01234
0
27.70%
22.58%
9.20%
2.50%
0.51%
1
12.98%
10.58%
4.31%
1.17%
0.24%
2
3.04%
2.48%
1.01%
0.27%
0.06%
3
0.48%
0.39%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Ascoli
1-012.98%
2-03.04%
2-12.48%
3-00.48%
3-10.39%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-027.70%
1-110.58%
2-21.01%
Sampdoria
0-122.58%
0-29.20%
1-24.31%
0-32.50%
1-31.17%
2-30.27%
0-40.51%
1-40.24%
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