Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Randers
FC Copenhagen		13.3%
68.5%		18.2%
+500
-182
+450
-175
2
1		-1.83033-1.75423-2.01808
Brondby
Midtjylland		16.5%
62.1%		21.4%
+500
-198
+455
-185
0
0		-1.61556-1.55433-1.54103
Silkeborg
FC Fredericia		34.1%
38.6%		27.4%
+180
+135
+175
+145
1
2		-0.89275-0.94448-0.95308
Odense
Sonderjyske		26.2%
48.7%		25.0%
+208
+131
+210
+120
0
1		-0.87199-0.83829-0.71875
Nordsjaelland
Viborg		31.2%
42.5%		26.3%
+208
+110
+180
+130
1
2		-0.79764-0.88329-0.85611
Aarhus
Vejle		59.9%
17.8%		22.3%
-179
+475
-185
+480
2
1		-0.47849-0.48229-0.51296
Sonderjyske
Brondby		17.3%
63.2%		19.5%
+340
-111
+315
-110
0
0		-1.31156-1.30203-1.63353
Viborg
Aarhus		15.7%
63.2%		21.0%
+355
-138
+335
-140
2
5		-0.58762-0.58906-0.45808
Midtjylland
Silkeborg		59.2%
19.2%		21.6%
-200
+500
-205
+475
4
0		-0.43826-0.44621-0.52410
FC Fredericia
Randers		13.5%
66.8%		19.7%
+400
-145
+400
-160
2
1		-1.63619-1.65889-2.00426
FC Copenhagen
Odense		61.6%
17.3%		21.2%
-108
+270
-110
+275
2
2		-1.40589-1.39707-1.55197
Vejle
Nordsjaelland		12.8%
69.7%		17.5%
+750
-294
+750
-290
3
3		-1.78629-1.70860-1.74474
Silkeborg
Sonderjyske		25.6%
50.1%		24.2%
+270
-103
+270
-110
1
2		-0.70577-0.69589-0.69041
Brondby
Viborg		36.2%
37.6%		26.2%
+175
+148
+165
+155
0
1		-0.94472-0.98602-0.97851
Midtjylland
Odense		57.7%
19.7%		22.5%
-132
+325
-135
+330
4
1		-0.61096-0.60398-0.54917
Aarhus
FC Fredericia		54.6%
20.7%		24.7%
-196
+475
-250
+600
1
1		-1.64491-1.69696-1.39869
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.