Aarhus at Midtjylland

Updated

Aarhus

15.9%13.4%70.6%
WinDrawMidtjylland Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.58
0Final Score 4

Midtjylland

Last 5 Games

Aarhus
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sonderjyske-140
W 2-0 at Silkeborg+180
W 0-1 vs Vejle-175
T 2-2 vs Odense+130
L 0-2 at Viborg+180
Midtjylland
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Randers-150
W 1-0 at FC Copenhagen+290
W 0-2 vs Nordsjaelland-230
L 0-2 at Brondby+125
W 0-3 vs Silkeborg-190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+350+360+355+385+351+355+385+399.3
Midtjylland-140-125-125-120-128-125-120-112.7
Draw+300+250+265+260+261+265+265+270.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+370----+385+385+399.3
Midtjylland-125-----130-130-112.7
Draw+255----+255+255+270.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +365 to +355
Midtjylland ML moved from -112 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +445 to +360
Midtjylland ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2¼-125o2¼-128o2½+107-o2¼-128o2¼-125o2½+113
Underu2¾-105u2¼+105u2¼+108u2½-120-u2¼+108u2½-120u2½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+113
Under-----u2½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-111 to o2½+107
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.26%
Exactly 221.21%
Exactly 417.61%
Exactly 65.85%
Exactly 81.04%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.44%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 511.12%
Exactly 72.64%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 055.96%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 29.43%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Midtjylland
Exactly 07.61%
Exactly 119.60%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 413.96%
Exactly 57.19%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.19%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 44.41%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.89%
Exactly 312.06%
Exactly 51.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 076.43%
Exactly 120.54%
Exactly 22.76%
Exactly 30.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Midtjylland
Exactly 030.34%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 38.58%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals1.35%
Wins by 3+ goals0.21%
Midtjylland
Wins by 2+ goals58.82%
Wins by 3+ goals36.19%
Wins by 4+ goals18.79%
Wins by 5+ goals8.33%
Wins by 6+ goals3.19%
Wins by 7+ goals1.06%
Wins by 8+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Aarhus
Midtjylland
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal4.84%
Wins by 2 goals1.14%
Wins by 3 goals0.19%
Midtjylland
Wins by 1 goal21.49%
Wins by 2 goals22.62%
Wins by 3 goals17.40%
Wins by 4 goals10.46%
Wins by 5 goals5.14%
Wins by 6 goals2.13%
Wins by 7 goals0.76%
Wins by 8 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.74%4.26%
1.582.30%17.70%
2.561.09%38.91%
3.538.77%61.23%
4.521.16%78.84%
5.510.05%89.95%
6.54.20%95.80%
7.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.04%55.96%
1.511.55%88.45%
2.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Midtjylland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.39%7.61%
1.572.79%27.21%
2.547.55%52.45%
3.525.87%74.13%
4.511.92%88.08%
5.54.73%95.27%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.81%23.19%
1.542.92%57.08%
2.518.15%81.85%
3.56.09%93.91%
4.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aarhus
Midtjylland
Score012345
0
4.26%
10.97%
14.13%
12.13%
7.81%
4.02%
1
2.47%
6.37%
8.20%
7.04%
4.53%
2.34%
2
0.72%
1.85%
2.38%
2.04%
1.32%
0.68%
3
0.14%
0.36%
0.46%
0.40%
0.25%
0.13%
Aarhus
1-02.47%
2-00.72%
2-11.85%
3-00.14%
3-10.36%
3-20.46%
Draw
0-04.26%
1-16.37%
2-22.38%
3-30.40%
Midtjylland
0-110.97%
0-214.13%
1-28.20%
0-312.13%
1-37.04%
2-32.04%
0-47.81%
1-44.53%
2-41.32%
3-40.25%
0-54.02%
1-52.34%
2-50.68%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Aarhus
Midtjylland
Score012345
0
23.19%
27.66%
16.49%
6.56%
1.95%
0.47%
1
6.23%
7.43%
4.43%
1.76%
0.53%
0.13%
2
0.84%
1.00%
0.60%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
Aarhus
1-06.23%
2-00.84%
2-11.00%
Draw
0-023.19%
1-17.43%
2-20.60%
Midtjylland
0-127.66%
0-216.49%
1-24.43%
0-36.56%
1-31.76%
2-30.24%
0-41.95%
1-40.53%
0-50.47%
1-50.13%