Aarhus at Brondby

Updated

Aarhus

30.9%26.8%42.3%
Aarhus WinDrawBrondby Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.37
0Final Score 1

Brondby

Last 5 Games

Aarhus
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Nordsjaelland+165
L 0-1 at Viborg+440
L 0-1 at Vejle+185
T 1-1 vs Sonderjyske+110
L 0-1 at Odense+295
Brondby
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Silkeborg-125
W 3-1 at Aalborg+240
T 2-2 at Midtjylland+455
T 1-1 vs FC Copenhagen+285
L 1-2 at Randers+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+300+330+345+325+326+345+345+358.0
Brondby-105-110-107+101-107-107+101+100.9
Draw+230+220+240+236+227+240+240+252.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+300----+330+330+358.0
Brondby+100-----110-110+100.9
Draw+235----+240+240+252.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 30.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 10.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +336 to +326
Brondby ML moved from -105 to -111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 30.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +345 to +290
Brondby ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2¼-102o2¼-113o2½+121-o2¼-113o2¼-102o2½+128
Underu2½-115u2¼-118u2¼-107u2½-136-u2¼-107u2½-136u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+128
Under-----u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.26%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 413.31%
Exactly 62.76%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.60%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 56.64%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 032.40%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.58%
Exactly 37.73%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Brondby
Exactly 025.51%
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 310.84%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.53%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 42.33%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 38.08%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 059.35%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 28.08%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brondby
Exactly 053.12%
Exactly 133.60%
Exactly 210.63%
Exactly 32.24%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals12.21%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Brondby
Wins by 2+ goals19.71%
Wins by 3+ goals7.19%
Wins by 4+ goals2.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Aarhus
Brondby
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal18.58%
Wins by 2 goals8.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Brondby
Wins by 1 goal22.52%
Wins by 2 goals12.52%
Wins by 3 goals5.09%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.74%8.26%
1.571.13%28.87%
2.545.45%54.55%
3.524.10%75.90%
4.510.79%89.21%
5.54.16%95.84%
6.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.60%32.40%
1.531.08%68.92%
2.510.51%89.49%
3.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Brondby Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.49%25.51%
1.539.65%60.35%
2.515.84%84.16%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.47%31.53%
1.532.08%67.92%
2.511.08%88.92%
3.52.99%97.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aarhus
Brondby
Score012345
0
8.26%
11.29%
7.71%
3.51%
1.20%
0.33%
1
9.31%
12.72%
8.69%
3.96%
1.35%
0.37%
2
5.25%
7.17%
4.90%
2.23%
0.76%
0.21%
3
1.97%
2.69%
1.84%
0.84%
0.29%
0.08%
4
0.56%
0.76%
0.52%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.17%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Aarhus
1-09.31%
2-05.25%
2-17.17%
3-01.97%
3-12.69%
3-21.84%
4-00.56%
4-10.76%
4-20.52%
4-30.24%
5-00.13%
5-10.17%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-08.26%
1-112.72%
2-24.90%
3-30.84%
Brondby
0-111.29%
0-27.71%
1-28.69%
0-33.51%
1-33.96%
2-32.23%
0-41.20%
1-41.35%
2-40.76%
3-40.29%
0-50.33%
1-50.37%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Aarhus
Brondby
Score01234
0
31.53%
19.94%
6.31%
1.33%
0.21%
1
16.45%
10.41%
3.29%
0.69%
0.11%
2
4.29%
2.71%
0.86%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.75%
0.47%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Aarhus
1-016.45%
2-04.29%
2-12.71%
3-00.75%
3-10.47%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-031.53%
1-110.41%
2-20.86%
Brondby
0-119.94%
0-26.31%
1-23.29%
0-31.33%
1-30.69%
2-30.18%
0-40.21%
1-40.11%