Aarhus at Nordsjaelland

Updated

Aarhus

24.2%24.6%51.2%
Aarhus WinDrawNordsjaelland Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.64
2Final Score 7

Nordsjaelland

Last 5 Games

Aarhus
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Brondby+420
L 1-0 vs Midtjylland+290
T 2-2 at Silkeborg+215
T 1-1 vs Odense-125
L 3-2 vs Midtjylland+220
Nordsjaelland
Money Line
W 1-0 at Silkeborg-115
W 1-2 vs FC Copenhagen+170
W 3-2 at Midtjylland+210
T 1-1 vs Randers-175
W 2-1 at Hvidovre IF-370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+310+471+460+450+451+450+471+477.6
Nordsjaelland-125-165-170-162-172-162-162-143.2
Draw+270+312+295+300+306+300+312+320.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+400----+460+460+477.6
Nordsjaelland-150-----165-165-143.2
Draw+300----+300+300+320.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nordsjaelland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 30.0%
Nordsjaelland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aarhus: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Nordsjaelland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +465 to +451
Nordsjaelland ML moved from -165 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nordsjaelland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 30.0%
Nordsjaelland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aarhus: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Nordsjaelland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +455 to +445
Nordsjaelland ML moved from -155 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-115o2½-115o2½-106o2½-111o2½-106o2½-106o2½+104
Underu2¾-108u2½-103u2½-105u2½-114u2½-109u2½-114u2½-103u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-108 to u2½-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%
 
No47.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.79%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 414.81%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.26%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.97%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 035.03%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.27%
Exactly 36.74%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Nordsjaelland
Exactly 019.37%
Exactly 131.80%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 314.28%
Exactly 45.86%
Exactly 51.92%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.78%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 061.53%
Exactly 129.88%
Exactly 27.26%
Exactly 31.17%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nordsjaelland
Exactly 046.77%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 213.50%
Exactly 33.42%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals8.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
Nordsjaelland
Wins by 2+ goals27.25%
Wins by 3+ goals11.59%
Wins by 4+ goals4.03%
Wins by 5+ goals1.16%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Aarhus
Nordsjaelland
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal15.28%
Wins by 2 goals6.39%
Wins by 3 goals1.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Nordsjaelland
Wins by 1 goal23.91%
Wins by 2 goals15.66%
Wins by 3 goals7.56%
Wins by 4 goals2.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.89%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.21%6.79%
1.574.95%25.05%
2.550.40%49.60%
3.528.37%71.63%
4.513.56%86.44%
5.55.59%94.41%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.97%35.03%
1.528.22%71.78%
2.58.95%91.05%
3.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Nordsjaelland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.63%19.37%
1.548.83%51.17%
2.522.74%77.26%
3.58.46%91.54%
4.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.22%28.78%
1.535.38%64.62%
2.513.05%86.95%
3.53.79%96.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aarhus
Nordsjaelland
Score012345
0
6.79%
11.14%
9.14%
5.00%
2.05%
0.67%
1
7.12%
11.68%
9.59%
5.25%
2.15%
0.71%
2
3.73%
6.13%
5.03%
2.75%
1.13%
0.37%
3
1.31%
2.14%
1.76%
0.96%
0.39%
0.13%
4
0.34%
0.56%
0.46%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
Aarhus
1-07.12%
2-03.73%
2-16.13%
3-01.31%
3-12.14%
3-21.76%
4-00.34%
4-10.56%
4-20.46%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-06.79%
1-111.68%
2-25.03%
3-30.96%
4-40.10%
Nordsjaelland
0-111.14%
0-29.14%
1-29.59%
0-35.00%
1-35.25%
2-32.75%
0-42.05%
1-42.15%
2-41.13%
3-40.39%
0-50.67%
1-50.71%
2-50.37%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Aarhus
Nordsjaelland
Score01234
0
28.78%
21.87%
8.31%
2.10%
0.40%
1
13.98%
10.62%
4.04%
1.02%
0.19%
2
3.39%
2.58%
0.98%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.55%
0.42%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Aarhus
1-013.98%
2-03.39%
2-12.58%
3-00.55%
3-10.42%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-028.78%
1-110.62%
2-20.98%
Nordsjaelland
0-121.87%
0-28.31%
1-24.04%
0-32.10%
1-31.02%
2-30.25%
0-40.40%
1-40.19%
Midtjylland at Brondby
Vejle at Lyngby