Mainz 05 at Hertha BSC

Updated

Mainz 05

39.7%25.5%34.8%
Mainz 05 WinDrawHertha BSC Win
1.42Projected Goals 1.32
0Final Score 3

Hertha BSC

Last Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich+510
W 3-0 at FC Erzgebirge Aue
L 1-3 at VfL Bochum+105
W 2-3 vs Arminia Bielefeld-230
Hertha BSC
Money Line
W 5-0 at FC Carl Zeiss Jena-210
L 5-6 at Eintracht Braunschweig-115
L 3-2 vs Union Berlin+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+136+126+125+128+128+128+128+146.5
Hertha BSC+203+195+175+174+174+174+195+196.3
Draw+249+287+265+260+260+260+287+289.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+135---+110-+110+146.5
Hertha BSC+145---+170-+170+196.3
Draw+240---+260-+260+289.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hertha BSC: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hertha BSC: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hertha BSC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +138 to +128
Hertha BSC ML moved from +165 to +158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hertha BSC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hertha BSC: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hertha BSC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +130 to +110
No Steam Moves On Hertha BSC ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o3-123o3-118o3-110o3-110o3-110o3-110o3+100
Underu2½-110u3+103u3-102u3-110u3-110u3-110u3+103u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105---o3-115-o3-115o3+100
Underu3-125---u3-115-u3-115u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-116 to o3-107
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.6%
 
No44.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.44%
Exactly 224.22%
Exactly 415.18%
Exactly 63.81%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.66%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 58.33%
Exactly 71.49%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 024.05%
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 311.60%
Exactly 44.13%
Exactly 51.18%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Hertha BSC
Exactly 026.78%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 223.25%
Exactly 310.21%
Exactly 43.36%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.09%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 43.04%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 39.59%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 051.69%
Exactly 134.11%
Exactly 211.25%
Exactly 32.47%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hertha BSC
Exactly 054.33%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 210.11%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals18.66%
Wins by 3+ goals6.94%
Wins by 4+ goals2.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%
Hertha BSC
Wins by 2+ goals15.36%
Wins by 3+ goals5.33%
Wins by 4+ goals1.49%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Hertha BSC
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal20.95%
Wins by 2 goals11.72%
Wins by 3 goals4.87%
Wins by 4 goals1.59%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%
Hertha BSC
Wins by 1 goal19.37%
Wins by 2 goals10.02%
Wins by 3 goals3.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.56%6.44%
1.575.90%24.10%
2.551.68%48.32%
3.529.54%70.46%
4.514.35%85.65%
5.56.02%93.98%
6.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.95%24.05%
1.541.68%58.32%
2.517.26%82.74%
3.55.66%94.34%
4.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Hertha BSC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.22%26.78%
1.537.94%62.06%
2.514.70%85.30%
3.54.49%95.51%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.91%28.09%
1.536.25%63.75%
2.513.60%86.40%
3.54.02%95.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Hertha BSC
Score012345
0
6.44%
8.48%
5.59%
2.46%
0.81%
0.21%
1
9.18%
12.09%
7.97%
3.50%
1.15%
0.30%
2
6.54%
8.62%
5.68%
2.49%
0.82%
0.22%
3
3.11%
4.09%
2.70%
1.18%
0.39%
0.10%
4
1.11%
1.46%
0.96%
0.42%
0.14%
0.04%
5
0.32%
0.42%
0.27%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Mainz 05
1-09.18%
2-06.54%
2-18.62%
3-03.11%
3-14.09%
3-22.70%
4-01.11%
4-11.46%
4-20.96%
4-30.42%
5-00.32%
5-10.42%
5-20.27%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.44%
1-112.09%
2-25.68%
3-31.18%
4-40.14%
Hertha BSC
0-18.48%
0-25.59%
1-27.97%
0-32.46%
1-33.50%
2-32.49%
0-40.81%
1-41.15%
2-40.82%
3-40.39%
0-50.21%
1-50.30%
2-50.22%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Hertha BSC
Score01234
0
28.09%
17.13%
5.23%
1.06%
0.16%
1
18.53%
11.31%
3.45%
0.70%
0.11%
2
6.11%
3.73%
1.14%
0.23%
0.04%
3
1.34%
0.82%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.22%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-018.53%
2-06.11%
2-13.73%
3-01.34%
3-10.82%
3-20.25%
4-00.22%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-028.09%
1-111.31%
2-21.14%
Hertha BSC
0-117.13%
0-25.23%
1-23.45%
0-31.06%
1-30.70%
2-30.23%
0-40.16%
1-40.11%