DFB-Pokal Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich 		8.3%
78.4%		13.2%
+900
-390
+845
-360
0.84
2.85		3.69
o4-110
u4-110
o4-110
u4-110
Games for Feb 10, 2026
Games for Feb 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Freiburg
Hertha BSC		42.9%
31.8%		25.3%
+160
+175
+160
+175
5
4		-1.00378-1.00120-0.84709
VfB Stuttgart
Holstein Kiel		62.4%
18.0%		19.6%
-245
+618
-250
+630
3
0		-0.39245-0.36904-0.47183
FC St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		8.0%
79.1%		12.8%
+670
-250
+725
-260
0
3		-0.38681-0.36417-0.23384
Bayern Munich
Union Berlin		77.8%
8.3%		13.8%
-340
+860
-325
+800
3
2		-0.30738-0.31680-0.25071
Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV		12.2%
72.0%		15.8%
+340
-134
+340
-135
4
2		-1.53035-1.53206-2.10291
Darmstadt 98
Freiburg		11.3%
72.7%		16.0%
+433
-162
+435
-165
0
2		-0.52770-0.52307-0.31913
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Bochum		60.5%
18.9%		20.7%
-178
+425
-200
+475
2
0		-0.49515-0.45531-0.50277
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund		24.9%
52.6%		22.5%
+347
-133
+335
-135
1
0		-1.54398-1.52015-1.39147
FC Magdeburg
RB Leipzig		7.7%
79.3%		13.1%
+910
-385
+900
-420
1
3		-0.27767-0.26289-0.23251
FC Kaiserslautern
Hertha BSC		23.4%
53.3%		23.2%
+275
-105
+280
-110
1
6		-0.71701-0.69555-0.62848
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Monchengladbach		17.0%
63.9%		19.0%
+379
-136
+400
-135
2
1		-1.61561-1.66036-1.76967
Bayern Munich
FC Koln		67.2%
14.9%		18.0%
-445
+1000

4
1		-0.24131-0.39794
Schalke 04
Darmstadt 98		16.9%
63.8%		19.4%
+200
+131
+170
+125
0
4		-0.89997-0.93077-0.45008
Freiburg
Dusseldorf		40.3%
33.5%		26.2%
-137
+396
-130
+265
3
1		-0.58352-0.68824-0.90867
Arminia Bielefeld
Union Berlin		28.9%
44.9%		26.2%
+398
-146
+295
-160
1
2		-0.55361-0.61874-0.79973
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Paderborn 07		63.3%
17.1%		19.7%
-133
+345
-160
+290
4
2		-0.59822-0.60908-0.45790
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-1.00378 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-1.00120 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.84709
0.15669
0.15411

Predictions Methodology

The DFB-Pokal is the top German Cup put on by the German Football Association. The 64 team competition consists of all the teams from the Bundesliga and 2. Bundesliga and some teams from the German lower divisions. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues