Hamburger SV at Arminia

Updated

Hamburger SV

33.6%25.7%40.7%
Hamburger SV WinDrawArminia Win
1.28Projected Goals 1.43
4Final Score 3

Arminia Bielefeld

Last 3 Games

Hamburger SV
Money Line
L 0-4 at RB Leipzig+560
L 3-1 vs Freiburg+195
W 2-3 vs Karlsruher SC-170
Arminia Bielefeld
Money Line
W 1-4 vs VfL Bochum+275
L 0-6 at VfB Stuttgart
L 2-3 at Mainz 05+490

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hamburger SV-144-128-135-123-130-123-123-104.1
Arminia+383+305+280+250+260+250+305+278.4
Draw+311+333+310+310+315+310+333+343.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hamburger SV-215----210--210-104.1
Arminia+400---+390-+390+278.4
Draw+305---+305-+305+343.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hamburger SV: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Arminia: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hamburger SV: 0.0%
Arminia: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hamburger SV: 0.0%
Arminia: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hamburger SV ML moved from -204 to -215
Arminia ML moved from +260 to +250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hamburger SV: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Arminia: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hamburger SV: 0.0%
Arminia: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hamburger SV: 0.0%
Arminia: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Hamburger SV ML
Arminia ML moved from +400 to +390

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3½-108o3½-108o3½-106o3½-108o3½-106o3½-106o3½+104
Underu2½+118u3½-108u3½-112u3½-114u3½-112u3½-114u3½-108u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135---o3½+105-o3½+105o3½+104
Underu3+105---u3½-135-u3½-135u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%
 
No45.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.68%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 414.93%
Exactly 63.64%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.07%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.08%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Hamburger SV
Exactly 027.93%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 222.72%
Exactly 39.66%
Exactly 43.08%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Arminia Bielefeld
Exactly 023.91%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 51.20%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.56%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 39.37%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hamburger SV
Exactly 055.40%
Exactly 132.72%
Exactly 29.66%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arminia Bielefeld
Exactly 051.56%
Exactly 134.16%
Exactly 211.31%
Exactly 32.50%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hamburger SV
Wins by 2+ goals14.49%
Wins by 3+ goals4.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Arminia Bielefeld
Wins by 2+ goals19.29%
Wins by 3+ goals7.22%
Wins by 4+ goals2.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Hamburger SV
Arminia Bielefeld
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Hamburger SV
Wins by 1 goal19.05%
Wins by 2 goals9.59%
Wins by 3 goals3.57%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Arminia Bielefeld
Wins by 1 goal21.37%
Wins by 2 goals12.07%
Wins by 3 goals5.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.32%6.68%
1.575.25%24.75%
2.550.79%49.21%
3.528.73%71.27%
4.513.80%86.20%
5.55.72%94.28%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Hamburger SV Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.07%27.93%
1.536.45%63.55%
2.513.73%86.27%
3.54.07%95.93%

Total Goals Arminia Bielefeld Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.09%23.91%
1.541.88%58.12%
2.517.40%82.60%
3.55.73%94.27%
4.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.44%28.56%
1.535.65%64.35%
2.513.22%86.78%
3.53.86%96.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hamburger SV
Arminia Bielefeld
Score012345
0
6.68%
9.56%
6.84%
3.26%
1.17%
0.33%
1
8.52%
12.19%
8.72%
4.16%
1.49%
0.43%
2
5.43%
7.77%
5.56%
2.65%
0.95%
0.27%
3
2.31%
3.30%
2.36%
1.13%
0.40%
0.12%
4
0.74%
1.05%
0.75%
0.36%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.19%
0.27%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Hamburger SV
1-08.52%
2-05.43%
2-17.77%
3-02.31%
3-13.30%
3-22.36%
4-00.74%
4-11.05%
4-20.75%
4-30.36%
5-00.19%
5-10.27%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-06.68%
1-112.19%
2-25.56%
3-31.13%
4-40.13%
Arminia Bielefeld
0-19.56%
0-26.84%
1-28.72%
0-33.26%
1-34.16%
2-32.65%
0-41.17%
1-41.49%
2-40.95%
3-40.40%
0-50.33%
1-50.43%
2-50.27%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Hamburger SV
Arminia Bielefeld
Score01234
0
28.56%
18.92%
6.27%
1.38%
0.23%
1
16.87%
11.18%
3.70%
0.82%
0.14%
2
4.98%
3.30%
1.09%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.98%
0.65%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Hamburger SV
1-016.87%
2-04.98%
2-13.30%
3-00.98%
3-10.65%
3-20.22%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-028.56%
1-111.18%
2-21.09%
Arminia Bielefeld
0-118.92%
0-26.27%
1-23.70%
0-31.38%
1-30.82%
2-30.24%
0-40.23%
1-40.14%