Dortmund at RB Leipzig

Updated

Dortmund

26.6%23.3%50.1%
Dortmund WinDrawRB Leipzig Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.78
0Final Score 2

RB Leipzig

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 2-1 at VfL Bochum-150
W 2-0 at Hannover 96-300
W 3-0 at 1860 Munich
W 3-0 at SV Wehen Wiesbaden
W 4-1 at RB Leipzig+165
RB Leipzig
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Hoffenheim-230
W 0-4 vs Hamburger SV-310
W 4-2 at Freiburg-103
W 1-2 vs Union Berlin-210
W 4-0 at Hannover 96-225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+185+280+250+278+282+278+282+296.3
RB Leipzig+125-101+100-108+101-108+101+101.9
Draw+250+266+235+278+275+278+278+296.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+185---+220+260+260+296.3
RB Leipzig+135----110-105-105+101.9
Draw+265---+245+280+280+296.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +265 to +255
RB Leipzig ML moved from -102 to -108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML
RB Leipzig ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o2½-133o2¾-105o2¾-116o3+134o2¾-116o2½-133o2¾-105
Underu3¼-122u2½+113u2¾-115u2¾-104u3-149u2¾-104u3-137u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120---o3-115o2½-130o2½-130o2¾-105
Underu3+100---u3-115u2½+110u3-115u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-113 to u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-115 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.9%
 
No41.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.93%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 416.86%
Exactly 65.09%
Exactly 80.82%
 
Exactly 114.83%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.15%
Exactly 72.19%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 029.08%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 222.18%
Exactly 39.13%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - RB Leipzig
Exactly 016.94%
Exactly 130.08%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 315.80%
Exactly 47.01%
Exactly 52.49%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.81%
Exactly 224.10%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.58%
Exactly 311.20%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 056.45%
Exactly 132.28%
Exactly 29.23%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RB Leipzig
Exactly 043.95%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.85%
Exactly 34.07%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals10.89%
Wins by 3+ goals3.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 2+ goals27.47%
Wins by 3+ goals12.22%
Wins by 4+ goals4.48%
Wins by 5+ goals1.37%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
RB Leipzig
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal15.69%
Wins by 2 goals7.38%
Wins by 3 goals2.60%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 1 goal22.56%
Wins by 2 goals15.25%
Wins by 3 goals7.74%
Wins by 4 goals3.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.03%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.07%4.93%
1.580.24%19.76%
2.557.92%42.08%
3.535.52%64.48%
4.518.65%81.35%
5.58.50%91.50%
6.53.40%96.60%
7.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.92%29.08%
1.535.00%65.00%
2.512.82%87.18%
3.53.69%96.31%

Total Goals RB Leipzig Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.06%16.94%
1.552.98%47.02%
2.526.28%73.72%
3.510.48%89.52%
4.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.19%24.81%
1.540.61%59.39%
2.516.50%83.50%
3.55.30%94.70%
4.51.40%98.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Score012345
0
4.93%
8.75%
7.76%
4.60%
2.04%
0.72%
1
6.08%
10.80%
9.59%
5.68%
2.52%
0.89%
2
3.76%
6.67%
5.92%
3.51%
1.56%
0.55%
3
1.55%
2.75%
2.44%
1.44%
0.64%
0.23%
4
0.48%
0.85%
0.75%
0.45%
0.20%
0.07%
5
0.12%
0.21%
0.19%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Dortmund
1-06.08%
2-03.76%
2-16.67%
3-01.55%
3-12.75%
3-22.44%
4-00.48%
4-10.85%
4-20.75%
4-30.45%
5-00.12%
5-10.21%
5-20.19%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-04.93%
1-110.80%
2-25.92%
3-31.44%
4-40.20%
RB Leipzig
0-18.75%
0-27.76%
1-29.59%
0-34.60%
1-35.68%
2-33.51%
0-42.04%
1-42.52%
2-41.56%
3-40.64%
0-50.72%
1-50.89%
2-50.55%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Score01234
0
24.81%
20.40%
8.38%
2.30%
0.47%
1
14.19%
11.66%
4.79%
1.31%
0.27%
2
4.06%
3.33%
1.37%
0.38%
0.08%
3
0.77%
0.64%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-014.19%
2-04.06%
2-13.33%
3-00.77%
3-10.64%
3-20.26%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-024.81%
1-111.66%
2-21.37%
RB Leipzig
0-120.40%
0-28.38%
1-24.79%
0-32.30%
1-31.31%
2-30.38%
0-40.47%
1-40.27%