St. Pauli at Freiburg

Updated

FC St. Pauli

7.5%12.5%79.9%
WinDrawFreiburg Win
0.82Projected Goals 2.92
1Final Score 2

Freiburg

Last Games

FC St. Pauli
Money Line
L 1-2 at Union Berlin+400
Freiburg
Money Line
W 2-1 at FC Kaiserslautern-155
L 4-2 vs RB Leipzig+310
W 3-1 at Hamburger SV+150
W 2-1 at VfL Bochum+130
W 4-1 at Hoffenheim+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:11.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+589+412+360+440-+440+440+457.5
Freiburg-209-156-160-157--157-156-140.1
Draw+357+325+310+295-+295+325+321.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+575---+575-+575+457.5
Freiburg-275----275--275-140.1
Draw+305---+305-+305+321.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Freiburg: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

St. Pauli: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 10.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +380 to +360
Freiburg ML moved from -164 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Freiburg: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

St. Pauli: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 80.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On St. Pauli ML
No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-118o3-120o3-118-o3-118o3-118o3-101
Underu3-103u3+100u3+100u3-102-u3-102u3+100u3+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125---o3-130-o3-130o3-101
Underu3-105---u3+100-u3+100u3+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%
 
No47.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.38%
Exactly 216.63%
Exactly 419.36%
Exactly 69.02%
Exactly 82.25%
Exactly 100.35%
 
Exactly 18.90%
Exactly 320.72%
Exactly 514.47%
Exactly 74.81%
Exactly 90.93%
Exactly 110.12%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 044.08%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.79%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 05.40%
Exactly 115.77%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 416.33%
Exactly 59.53%
Exactly 64.64%
Exactly 71.93%
Exactly 80.70%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.72%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 46.62%
Exactly 60.66%
 
Exactly 130.66%
Exactly 315.30%
Exactly 52.29%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 068.44%
Exactly 125.96%
Exactly 24.92%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 025.89%
Exactly 134.99%
Exactly 223.64%
Exactly 310.65%
Exactly 43.60%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals2.11%
Wins by 3+ goals0.45%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals60.52%
Wins by 3+ goals39.46%
Wins by 4+ goals22.09%
Wins by 5+ goals10.68%
Wins by 6+ goals4.49%
Wins by 7+ goals1.63%
Wins by 8+ goals0.49%
Wins by 9+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

FC St. Pauli
Freiburg
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal5.42%
Wins by 2 goals1.66%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal19.31%
Wins by 2 goals21.06%
Wins by 3 goals17.37%
Wins by 4 goals11.41%
Wins by 5 goals6.19%
Wins by 6 goals2.85%
Wins by 7 goals1.14%
Wins by 8 goals0.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.62%2.38%
1.588.72%11.28%
2.572.09%27.91%
3.551.36%48.64%
4.532.00%68.00%
5.517.53%82.47%
6.58.52%91.48%
7.53.70%96.30%
8.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.92%44.08%
1.519.81%80.19%
2.55.02%94.98%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.60%5.40%
1.578.83%21.17%
2.555.83%44.17%
3.533.45%66.55%
4.517.12%82.88%
5.57.59%92.41%
6.52.96%97.04%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.28%17.72%
1.551.62%48.38%
2.525.08%74.92%
3.59.78%90.22%
4.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

St. Pauli
Freiburg
Score012345
0
2.38%
6.95%
10.14%
9.86%
7.20%
4.20%
1
1.95%
5.69%
8.31%
8.08%
5.90%
3.44%
2
0.80%
2.33%
3.40%
3.31%
2.41%
1.41%
3
0.22%
0.64%
0.93%
0.90%
0.66%
0.38%
FC St. Pauli
1-01.95%
2-00.80%
2-12.33%
3-00.22%
3-10.64%
3-20.93%
Draw
0-02.38%
1-15.69%
2-23.40%
3-30.90%
4-40.14%
Freiburg
0-16.95%
0-210.14%
1-28.31%
0-39.86%
1-38.08%
2-33.31%
0-47.20%
1-45.90%
2-42.41%
3-40.66%
0-54.20%
1-53.44%
2-51.41%
3-50.38%

Correct Score - First Half

St. Pauli
Freiburg
Score0123456
0
17.72%
23.94%
16.18%
7.29%
2.46%
0.67%
0.15%
1
6.72%
9.08%
6.14%
2.76%
0.93%
0.25%
0.06%
2
1.27%
1.72%
1.16%
0.52%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.22%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
FC St. Pauli
1-06.72%
2-01.27%
2-11.72%
3-00.16%
3-10.22%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-017.72%
1-19.08%
2-21.16%
Freiburg
0-123.94%
0-216.18%
1-26.14%
0-37.29%
1-32.76%
2-30.52%
0-42.46%
1-40.93%
2-40.18%
0-50.67%
1-50.25%
0-60.15%
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