West Brom at Derby County

Updated

West Bromwich Albion

37.8%29.2%33.0%
West Brom WinDrawDerby County Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.05
0Final Score 1

Derby County

Last Games

West Bromwich Albion
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United+125
L 6-0 vs Arsenal
Derby County
Money Line
W 2-1 at Mansfield Town+170
L 1-2 at Sheffield United+450
W 3-5 vs Salford City+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
West Brom+120+122+120+115+114+115+122+139.9
Derby County+215+243+235+255+235+255+255+252.6
Draw+245+236+220+230+240+230+240+233.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
West Brom+105---+100-+100+139.9
Derby County+210---+215-+215+252.6
Draw+215---+220-+220+233.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

West Brom ML moved from +125 to +115
Derby County ML moved from +202 to +192

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

West Brom ML moved from +120 to +100
Derby County ML moved from +225 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-104o2½+104o2¼-122o2¼-119-o2¼-119o2¼-119o2½+116
Underu2½-114u2½-124u2¼+102u2¼-101-u2¼-101u2½-124u2½-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105---o2½+105-o2½+105o2½+116
Underu2½-135---u2½-135-u2½-135u2½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.19%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 410.73%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.51%
Exactly 319.59%
Exactly 54.70%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 031.92%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.81%
Exactly 37.92%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 035.06%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.26%
Exactly 36.73%
Exactly 41.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.28%
Exactly 218.65%
Exactly 41.60%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.30%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 058.93%
Exactly 131.16%
Exactly 28.24%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.55%
Exactly 129.87%
Exactly 27.25%
Exactly 31.17%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 2+ goals15.55%
Wins by 3+ goals4.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals12.68%
Wins by 3+ goals3.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

West Bromwich Albion
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 1 goal22.11%
Wins by 2 goals10.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal20.30%
Wins by 2 goals9.00%
Wins by 3 goals2.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.81%11.19%
1.564.30%35.70%
2.537.46%62.54%
3.517.87%82.13%
4.57.14%92.86%
5.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals West Bromwich Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.08%31.92%
1.531.63%68.37%
2.510.82%89.18%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.94%35.06%
1.528.19%71.81%
2.58.94%91.06%
3.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.72%36.28%
1.526.94%73.06%
2.58.29%91.71%
3.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

West Brom
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.19%
11.73%
6.15%
2.15%
0.56%
0.12%
1
12.78%
13.39%
7.02%
2.45%
0.64%
0.13%
2
7.30%
7.65%
4.01%
1.40%
0.37%
0.08%
3
2.78%
2.91%
1.53%
0.53%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.79%
0.83%
0.44%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
West Bromwich Albion
1-012.78%
2-07.30%
2-17.65%
3-02.78%
3-12.91%
3-21.53%
4-00.79%
4-10.83%
4-20.44%
4-30.15%
5-00.18%
5-10.19%
Draw
0-011.19%
1-113.39%
2-24.01%
3-30.53%
Derby County
0-111.73%
0-26.15%
1-27.02%
0-32.15%
1-32.45%
2-31.40%
0-40.56%
1-40.64%
2-40.37%
3-40.14%
0-50.12%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

West Brom
Derby County
Score0123
0
36.28%
17.60%
4.27%
0.69%
1
19.18%
9.31%
2.26%
0.37%
2
5.07%
2.46%
0.60%
0.10%
3
0.89%
0.43%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
West Bromwich Albion
1-019.18%
2-05.07%
2-12.46%
3-00.89%
3-10.43%
3-20.11%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-036.28%
1-19.31%
2-20.60%
Derby County
0-117.60%
0-24.27%
1-22.26%
0-30.69%
1-30.37%