Liverpool at Manchester City

Updated

Liverpool

13.0%18.6%68.3%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.21
2Final Score 3

Manchester City

Last Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Derby County-225
W 11-10 at Chelsea+115
W 2-0 at Arsenal+180
T 0-0 vs Arsenal-155
W 4-5 vs Leicester City+160
Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Chelsea-260
L 3-5 at West Ham United-235
W 1-6 vs Wycombe Wanderers
W 1-0 at Tottenham-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+310+429+400+450+389+450+450+411.6
Manchester City-125-171-180-182-153-182-153-137.0
Draw+275+354+360+370+322+370+370+341.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+260---+320+400+400+411.6
Manchester City-110----160-170-160-137.0
Draw+300---+270+350+350+341.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +400 to +390
Manchester City ML moved from -165 to -171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +375 to +360
Manchester City ML moved from -160 to -170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3½-101o3¼-122o3¼-121o3-141o3¼-121o3-141o3-132
Underu3-115u3½-117u3¼+102u3¼+101u3+126u3¼+101u3½-117u3+132
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105---o3½+100o3-145o3-145o3-132
Underu3-115---u3½-130u3+125u3½-130u3+132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-115 to o3½+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.72%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 417.09%
Exactly 65.31%
Exactly 80.88%
 
Exactly 114.42%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.44%
Exactly 72.32%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 042.90%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 215.36%
Exactly 34.33%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 011.01%
Exactly 124.29%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 319.71%
Exactly 410.87%
Exactly 54.80%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 70.56%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.33%
Exactly 224.30%
Exactly 44.05%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.39%
Exactly 311.45%
Exactly 51.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 067.58%
Exactly 126.48%
Exactly 25.19%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 036.00%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.79%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals3.92%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals44.61%
Wins by 3+ goals24.06%
Wins by 4+ goals10.84%
Wins by 5+ goals4.13%
Wins by 6+ goals1.34%
Wins by 7+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal9.09%
Wins by 2 goals3.02%
Wins by 3 goals0.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.70%
Wins by 2 goals20.55%
Wins by 3 goals13.22%
Wins by 4 goals6.70%
Wins by 5 goals2.79%
Wins by 6 goals0.98%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.28%4.72%
1.580.86%19.14%
2.558.85%41.15%
3.536.46%63.54%
4.519.37%80.63%
5.58.93%91.07%
6.53.62%96.38%
7.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.10%42.90%
1.520.79%79.21%
2.55.43%94.57%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.99%11.01%
1.564.70%35.30%
2.537.91%62.09%
3.518.20%81.80%
4.57.32%92.68%
5.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.67%24.33%
1.541.28%58.72%
2.516.98%83.02%
3.55.53%94.47%
4.51.48%98.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Manchester City
Score012345
0
4.72%
10.42%
11.50%
8.46%
4.67%
2.06%
1
4.00%
8.82%
9.73%
7.16%
3.95%
1.74%
2
1.69%
3.73%
4.12%
3.03%
1.67%
0.74%
3
0.48%
1.05%
1.16%
0.85%
0.47%
0.21%
4
0.10%
0.22%
0.25%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
Liverpool
1-04.00%
2-01.69%
2-13.73%
3-00.48%
3-11.05%
3-21.16%
4-00.10%
4-10.22%
4-20.25%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-04.72%
1-18.82%
2-24.12%
3-30.85%
Manchester City
0-110.42%
0-211.50%
1-29.73%
0-38.46%
1-37.16%
2-33.03%
0-44.67%
1-43.95%
2-41.67%
3-40.47%
0-52.06%
1-51.74%
2-50.74%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Manchester City
Score012345
0
24.33%
24.86%
12.70%
4.32%
1.10%
0.23%
1
9.53%
9.74%
4.97%
1.69%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.87%
1.91%
0.97%
0.33%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.25%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-09.53%
2-01.87%
2-11.91%
3-00.24%
3-10.25%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-024.33%
1-19.74%
2-20.97%
Manchester City
0-124.86%
0-212.70%
1-24.97%
0-34.32%
1-31.69%
2-30.33%
0-41.10%
1-40.43%
0-50.23%