Derby County at Liverpool

Updated

Derby County

2.2%6.7%91.1%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.45Projected Goals 3.43
2Final Score 3

Liverpool

Last Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+215
W 2-1 at Mansfield Town+170
L 1-2 at Sheffield United+450
W 3-5 vs Salford City+140
Liverpool
Money Line
W 11-10 at Chelsea+115
W 2-0 at Arsenal+180
T 0-0 vs Arsenal-155
W 4-5 vs Leicester City+160
W 2-0 at Preston North End-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+1663+444+390+400+498+415+498+519.4
Liverpool-580-165-165-170-178-175-165-161.9
Draw+667+329+320+355+338+355+355+353.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+380---+400-+400+519.4
Liverpool-210----225--225-161.9
Draw+310---+325-+325+353.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Liverpool: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +499 to +487
Liverpool ML moved from -261 to -269

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Liverpool: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
Liverpool ML moved from -210 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o3-108o3-108o3-108o3-104o3-108o3-104o3+103
Underu3½-120u3-110u3-112u3-112u3-111u3-112u3-110u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105---o3-105-o3-105o3+103
Underu3½-125---u3-125-u3-125u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-120 to u3-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-105 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.9%
 
No65.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.06%
Exactly 215.54%
Exactly 419.50%
Exactly 69.79%
Exactly 82.63%
Exactly 100.44%
 
Exactly 18.01%
Exactly 320.10%
Exactly 515.13%
Exactly 75.43%
Exactly 91.13%
Exactly 110.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 063.96%
Exactly 128.58%
Exactly 26.39%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 03.23%
Exactly 111.08%
Exactly 219.02%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 418.69%
Exactly 512.83%
Exactly 67.34%
Exactly 73.60%
Exactly 81.55%
Exactly 90.59%
Exactly 100.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.59%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 47.20%
Exactly 60.77%
 
Exactly 129.80%
Exactly 316.03%
Exactly 52.59%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 081.31%
Exactly 116.82%
Exactly 21.74%
Exactly 30.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 020.40%
Exactly 132.43%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 313.66%
Exactly 45.43%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals0.38%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals76.91%
Wins by 3+ goals57.20%
Wins by 4+ goals37.04%
Wins by 5+ goals20.91%
Wins by 6+ goals10.35%
Wins by 7+ goals4.52%
Wins by 8+ goals1.74%
Wins by 9+ goals0.56%
Wins by 10+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal1.83%
Wins by 2 goals0.33%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal14.11%
Wins by 2 goals19.71%
Wins by 3 goals20.16%
Wins by 4 goals16.13%
Wins by 5 goals10.55%
Wins by 6 goals5.83%
Wins by 7 goals2.79%
Wins by 8 goals1.17%
Wins by 9 goals0.44%
Wins by 10 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.94%2.06%
1.589.93%10.07%
2.574.39%25.61%
3.554.28%45.72%
4.534.78%65.22%
5.519.65%80.35%
6.59.86%90.14%
7.54.43%95.57%
8.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.536.04%63.96%
1.57.45%92.55%
2.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.77%3.23%
1.585.69%14.31%
2.566.67%33.33%
3.544.90%55.10%
4.526.21%73.79%
5.513.37%86.63%
6.56.03%93.97%
7.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.41%16.59%
1.553.62%46.38%
2.526.85%73.15%
3.510.82%89.18%
4.53.62%96.38%
5.51.03%98.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Liverpool
Score012345
0
2.06%
7.09%
12.17%
13.93%
11.95%
8.21%
1
0.92%
3.17%
5.44%
6.22%
5.34%
3.67%
2
0.21%
0.71%
1.21%
1.39%
1.19%
0.82%
Derby County
1-00.92%
2-00.21%
2-10.71%
Draw
0-02.06%
1-13.17%
2-21.21%
3-30.21%
Liverpool
0-17.09%
0-212.17%
1-25.44%
0-313.93%
1-36.22%
2-31.39%
0-411.95%
1-45.34%
2-41.19%
3-40.18%
0-58.21%
1-53.67%
2-50.82%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
16.59%
26.37%
20.96%
11.11%
4.41%
1.40%
0.37%
1
3.43%
5.46%
4.34%
2.30%
0.91%
0.29%
0.08%
2
0.35%
0.56%
0.45%
0.24%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-03.43%
2-00.35%
2-10.56%
Draw
0-016.59%
1-15.46%
2-20.45%
Liverpool
0-126.37%
0-220.96%
1-24.34%
0-311.11%
1-32.30%
2-30.24%
0-44.41%
1-40.91%
0-51.40%
1-50.29%
0-60.37%