Middlesbrough at Chelsea

Updated

Middlesbrough

5.6%12.2%82.2%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.59Projected Goals 2.75
1Final Score 6

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Chelsea+560
W 3-0 at Port Vale-125
W 3-2 at Exeter City-210
W 3-1 at Bolton Wanderers-130
W 3-2 at Huddersfield-105
Chelsea
Money Line
L 0-1 at Middlesbrough-200
W 2-4 vs Newcastle United-150
W 0-2 vs Blackburn-875
W 0-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+120
W 1-2 vs AFC Wimbledon

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+950+1341+1100+1250+1242+1250+1341+1316.3
Chelsea-410-521-550-560-568-560-521-422.9
Draw+560+660+600+690+668+690+690+728.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+810-+1360--+1450+1450+1316.3
Chelsea-375--590---700-590-422.9
Draw+530-+675--+800+800+728.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Chelsea: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +1200 to +1150
Chelsea ML moved from -543 to -568

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +940 to +910
Chelsea ML moved from -575 to -700

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-116o3½-104o3½-105o3½-105o3½-103o3½-105o3½-103o3½+104
Underu3¼-104u3½-114u3½-115u3½-115u3½-117u3½-115u3½-114u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+120-o3½+100-o3½+105o3½+100o3½+105o3½+104
Underu3½-140-u3½-120-u3½-135u3½-120u3½-120u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-115 to o3½-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+120 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.54%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 418.38%
Exactly 66.84%
Exactly 81.36%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.83%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 512.28%
Exactly 73.26%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 055.18%
Exactly 132.81%
Exactly 29.76%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 06.42%
Exactly 117.62%
Exactly 224.20%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 415.21%
Exactly 58.35%
Exactly 63.82%
Exactly 71.50%
Exactly 80.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.29%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 45.08%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 313.13%
Exactly 51.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 075.93%
Exactly 120.91%
Exactly 22.88%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 028.04%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 222.67%
Exactly 39.61%
Exactly 43.05%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals62.03%
Wins by 3+ goals39.75%
Wins by 4+ goals21.65%
Wins by 5+ goals10.11%
Wins by 6+ goals4.09%
Wins by 7+ goals1.43%
Wins by 8+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal4.36%
Wins by 2 goals1.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal20.14%
Wins by 2 goals22.27%
Wins by 3 goals18.11%
Wins by 4 goals11.54%
Wins by 5 goals6.02%
Wins by 6 goals2.66%
Wins by 7 goals1.01%
Wins by 8 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.46%3.54%
1.584.63%15.37%
2.564.87%35.13%
3.542.87%57.13%
4.524.49%75.51%
5.512.21%87.79%
6.55.37%94.63%
7.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.82%55.18%
1.512.01%87.99%
2.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.58%6.42%
1.575.96%24.04%
2.551.77%48.23%
3.529.62%70.38%
4.514.41%85.59%
5.56.05%93.95%
6.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.71%21.29%
1.545.77%54.23%
2.520.30%79.70%
3.57.17%92.83%
4.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Chelsea
Score012345
0
3.54%
9.72%
13.35%
12.22%
8.39%
4.61%
1
2.11%
5.78%
7.94%
7.27%
4.99%
2.74%
2
0.63%
1.72%
2.36%
2.16%
1.48%
0.81%
3
0.12%
0.34%
0.47%
0.43%
0.29%
0.16%
Middlesbrough
1-02.11%
2-00.63%
2-11.72%
3-00.12%
3-10.34%
3-20.47%
Draw
0-03.54%
1-15.78%
2-22.36%
3-30.43%
Chelsea
0-19.72%
0-213.35%
1-27.94%
0-312.22%
1-37.27%
2-32.16%
0-48.39%
1-44.99%
2-41.48%
3-40.29%
0-54.61%
1-52.74%
2-50.81%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Chelsea
Score0123456
0
21.29%
27.07%
17.21%
7.30%
2.32%
0.59%
0.13%
1
5.86%
7.45%
4.74%
2.01%
0.64%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.81%
1.03%
0.65%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-05.86%
2-00.81%
2-11.03%
Draw
0-021.29%
1-17.45%
2-20.65%
Chelsea
0-127.07%
0-217.21%
1-24.74%
0-37.30%
1-32.01%
2-30.28%
0-42.32%
1-40.64%
0-50.59%
1-50.16%
0-60.13%