England Championship Predictions

Updated 3 hr ago

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Games for May 23, 2025

Games for May 25, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/24/2025 02:00 PM	Sunderland Sheffield United	29.6% 41.9%	28.5%	+252 +138 +250 +135	2 1	-1.29536-1.30177	-1.21838
05/13/2025 07:00 PM	Coventry City Sunderland	22.3% 52.4%	25.3%	+203 +137 +210 +145	1 1	-1.28768-1.27931	-1.37591
05/12/2025 07:00 PM	Bristol City Sheffield United	26.8% 46.1%	27.1%	+340 -116 +330 -118	0 3	-0.65639-0.66053	-0.77520
05/09/2025 07:00 PM	Sunderland Coventry City	30.0% 42.0%	28.0%	+255 +125 +235 +130	2 1	-1.29128-1.24911	-1.20411
05/08/2025 07:00 PM	Sheffield United Bristol City	25.3% 48.2%	26.5%	+156 +220 +155 +210	3 0	-0.97157-0.97782	-1.37508
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Sheffield Wednesday Watford	34.5% 36.4%	29.1%	+162 +165 +140 +180	1 1	-1.32317-1.33124	-1.23460
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Middlesbrough Coventry City	22.6% 52.2%	25.2%	+218 +118 +215 +115	0 2	-0.81771-0.81353	-0.65072
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Oxford United Swansea City	18.2% 60.1%	21.8%	+455 -162 +400 -150	3 3	-1.46369-1.43511	-1.52537
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Hull City Portsmouth	39.3% 32.8%	27.9%	+126 +220 +135 +190	1 1	-1.31111-1.31770	-1.27576
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Preston North End Bristol City	16.9% 61.0%	22.0%	+322 -107 +325 -120	2 2	-1.29160-1.35810	-1.51258
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Queens Park Rangers Sunderland	15.4% 64.0%	20.6%	+580 -200 +475 -170	1 0	-1.94799-1.80139	-1.86976
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Stoke City Derby County	27.3% 45.2%	27.6%	+323 +125 +330 +115	0 0	-1.09237-1.10633	-1.28895
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Leeds United Plymouth Argyle	70.0% 12.4%	17.5%	-372 +949 -375 +910	2 1	-0.27751-0.28748	-0.35623
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Luton Town West Bromwich Albion	41.0% 30.8%	28.2%	+134 +215 +135 +200	3 5	-1.18394-1.14621	-1.17860
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Blackburn Sheffield United	22.8% 51.5%	25.7%	+183 +150 +205 +135	1 1	-1.29521-1.25956	-1.35810
05/03/2025 11:30 AM	Cardiff City Norwich City	17.3% 60.3%	22.4%	+446 -177 +375 -165	2 4	-0.48438-0.52538	-0.50580

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	1	0-1-0 (0.000)	0	-1.29536
Sportsbooks	1	0-1-0 (0.000)	0	-1.30177
DRatings	1	0-1-0 (0.000)	0	-1.21838	0.07698 0.08339

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/05/25

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
1	Leeds United (29-4-13, 100 pts)	29.0	4.0	13.0	100.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Burnley (28-2-16, 100 pts)	28.0	2.0	16.0	100.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Sheffield United (28-10-8, 92 pts)	28.0	10.0	8.0	92.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
4	Sunderland (21-12-13, 76 pts)	21.0	12.0	13.0	76.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
5	Coventry City (20-17-9, 69 pts)	20.0	17.0	9.0	69.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	Bristol City (17-12-17, 68 pts)	17.0	12.0	17.0	68.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
7	Blackburn (19-18-9, 66 pts)	19.0	18.0	9.0	66.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Millwall (18-16-12, 66 pts)	18.0	16.0	12.0	66.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	West Bromwich Albion (15-12-19, 64 pts)	15.0	12.0	19.0	64.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Middlesbrough (18-18-10, 64 pts)	18.0	18.0	10.0	64.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Swansea City (17-19-10, 61 pts)	17.0	19.0	10.0	61.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Sheffield Wednesday (15-18-13, 58 pts)	15.0	18.0	13.0	58.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Norwich City (14-17-15, 57 pts)	14.0	17.0	15.0	57.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Watford (16-21-9, 57 pts)	16.0	21.0	9.0	57.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Queens Park Rangers (14-18-14, 56 pts)	14.0	18.0	14.0	56.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Portsmouth (14-20-12, 54 pts)	14.0	20.0	12.0	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	Oxford United (13-19-14, 53 pts)	13.0	19.0	14.0	53.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	Stoke City (12-19-15, 51 pts)	12.0	19.0	15.0	51.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
19	Derby County (13-22-11, 50 pts)	13.0	22.0	11.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
20	Preston North End (10-16-20, 50 pts)	10.0	16.0	20.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
21	Hull City (12-21-13, 49 pts)	12.0	21.0	13.0	49.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
22	Luton Town (13-23-10, 49 pts)	13.0	23.0	10.0	49.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
23	Plymouth Argyle (11-22-13, 46 pts)	11.0	22.0	13.0	46.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
24	Cardiff City (9-20-17, 44 pts)	9.0	20.0	17.0	44.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.