England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Millwall
Burnley 		14.0%
64.6%		21.4%
+474
-157
+465
-165
0.75
1.89		2.64
o2¼-118
u2½-131

Cardiff City
Norwich City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+385
-154
+370
-165
0.86
1.84		2.70
o3+106
u2¾+116

Blackburn
Sheffield United 		22.8%
51.5%		25.7%
+210
+129
+205
+130
0.92
1.54		2.46
o2½+100
u2½-118

Luton Town
West Bromwich Albion 		41.0%
30.8%		28.2%
+136
+209
+135
+200
1.25
1.05		2.30
o2¼-122
u2½-125

Volatility Bet Value Active
Leeds United
Plymouth Argyle 		70.0%
12.4%		17.5%
-344
+905
-350
+810
2.34
0.88		3.22
o3-110
u3-104

Stoke City
Derby County 		27.3%
45.2%		27.6%
+354
+111
+400
+105
0.98
1.35		2.33
o2-114
u2-102

Queens Park Rangers
Sunderland 		15.4%
64.0%		20.6%
+470
-156
+515
-170
0.87
2.02		2.89
o2½+102
u2½-118

Preston North End
Bristol City 		16.9%
61.0%		22.0%
+365
-124
+350
-125
0.87
1.88		2.75
o2¼-118
u2½-133

Hull City
Portsmouth 		39.3%
32.8%		27.9%
+120
+218
+120
+210
1.24
1.11		2.35
o2½-107
u2½-108

Oxford United
Swansea City 		18.2%
60.1%		21.8%
+407
-147
+390
-155
0.95
1.93		2.88
o2½-105
u2½-111

Middlesbrough
Coventry City 		22.6%
52.2%		25.2%
+221
+117
+225
+110
0.95
1.58		2.53
o3+110
u3-118

Sheffield Wednesday
Watford 		34.5%
36.4%		29.1%
+153
+175
+150
+170
1.08
1.12		2.20
o2¾-118
u2¾+103

Games for May 2, 2025
Games for May 4, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bristol City
Leeds United		13.5%
68.0%		18.5%
+718
-254
+725
-260
0
4		-0.37096-0.37589-0.38619
Sunderland
Oxford United		53.2%
22.6%		24.2%
+125
+251
+120
+250
0
2		-1.29015-1.30420-1.48691
West Bromwich Albion
Cardiff City		37.3%
34.3%		28.4%
+250
+120
+260
+110
0
0		-1.24486-1.26012-1.25959
Swansea City
Millwall		24.0%
50.1%		25.9%
+231
+136
+225
+135
0
1		-0.89255-0.90387-0.69071
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday		20.7%
55.3%		24.0%
+315
-120
+265
-110
1
1		-1.42962-1.42341-1.42716
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End		19.3%
57.8%		22.9%
+372
-123
+365
-130
2
1		-1.58998-1.58621-1.64481
Derby County
Hull City		16.9%
60.8%		22.3%
+250
+136
+255
+135
1
0		-1.28735-1.31770-1.77910
Watford
Blackburn		19.4%
57.0%		23.6%
+457
-154
+440
-150
1
2		-0.53741-0.56138-0.56242
Norwich City
Middlesbrough		26.9%
46.2%		26.9%
+412
-161
+440
-175
0
0		-1.51855-1.52033-1.31126
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers		45.8%
27.6%		26.6%
-125
+420
-115
+320
5
0		-0.61537-0.67523-0.78043
Coventry City
Luton Town		36.2%
34.5%		29.3%
+215
+144
+190
+150
0
1		-0.91659-0.96748-1.06375
Sheffield United
Stoke City		39.3%
31.4%		29.3%
+209
+140
+210
+135
2
0		-1.16709-1.18127-0.93417
Sheffield United
Burnley		21.2%
53.0%		25.8%
+328
-107
+335
-110
1
2		-0.69870-0.69752-0.63456
Stoke City
Leeds United		7.7%
78.1%		14.1%
+1015
-352
+1100
-410
0
6		-0.28786-0.26946-0.24732
Derby County
West Bromwich Albion		15.0%
63.5%		21.5%
+336
+105
+355
-115
3
1		-1.49246-1.56695-1.89712
Preston North End
Hull City		20.0%
56.1%		23.9%
+340
-110
+315
-105
1
2		-0.68355-0.71943-0.57771
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/28/25
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Leeds United (28-4-13, 97 pts)28.74.113.299.386.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Burnley (27-2-16, 97 pts)27.42.316.398.413.4%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Sheffield United (28-10-7, 91 pts)28.310.47.392.30.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Sunderland (21-11-13, 76 pts)21.411.313.377.50.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Bristol City (17-12-16, 67 pts)17.312.316.368.40.0%0.0%71.8%0.0%
6Coventry City (19-17-9, 66 pts)19.317.49.367.20.0%0.0%48.0%0.0%
7Millwall (18-15-12, 66 pts)18.315.412.367.30.0%0.0%28.9%0.0%
8Blackburn (19-18-8, 65 pts)19.418.38.366.40.0%0.0%28.2%0.0%
9Middlesbrough (18-17-10, 64 pts)18.417.310.365.50.0%0.0%23.1%0.0%
10West Bromwich Albion (14-12-19, 61 pts)14.212.519.361.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Swansea City (17-19-9, 60 pts)17.419.39.361.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Sheffield Wednesday (15-18-12, 57 pts)15.518.212.358.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Watford (16-21-8, 56 pts)16.221.58.357.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Norwich City (13-17-15, 54 pts)13.417.315.355.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Queens Park Rangers (13-18-14, 53 pts)13.318.414.354.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Portsmouth (14-20-11, 53 pts)14.220.611.253.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Oxford United (13-19-13, 52 pts)13.319.413.353.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Stoke City (12-19-14, 50 pts)12.419.314.351.60.0%0.0%0.0%5.8%
19Derby County (13-22-10, 49 pts)13.322.410.350.20.0%0.0%0.0%19.1%
20Preston North End (10-16-19, 49 pts)10.316.319.350.30.0%0.0%0.0%24.8%
21Luton Town (13-22-10, 49 pts)13.522.210.350.90.0%0.0%0.0%22.2%
22Hull City (12-21-12, 48 pts)12.621.212.249.90.0%0.0%0.0%28.1%
23Plymouth Argyle (11-21-13, 46 pts)11.121.713.246.50.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
24Cardiff City (9-19-17, 44 pts)9.319.417.345.30.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.