England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 20, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Barnsley
Middlesbrough
31.9%
40.1%
28.0%
+365
-112
+355
-120
1.02
1.29
2.31
o2¼-111
u2½-138

Birmingham City
Huddersfield
31.4%
41.1%
27.4%
+200
+165
+195
+155
1.03
1.34
2.37
o2-138
u2¼-119

Coventry City
Preston North End
28.5%
44.9%
26.6%
+186
+177
+180
+170
0.92
1.46
2.38
o2¼-102
u2¼-110

West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City
37.8%
33.8%
28.4%
+124
+280
+115
+270
1.20
1.08
2.28
o2¼-109
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Peterborough United
Hull City
27.0%
51.0%
21.9%
+291
+105
+285
+100
1.02
1.92
2.94
o2½+106
u2½-120

Cardiff City
Fulham
22.2%
57.3%
20.5%
+650
-209
+615
-220
0.76
1.98
2.74
o2½-122
u2¾-110

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackpool
Reading
30.6%
42.5%
26.9%
+244
+123
+240
+115
1.01
1.40
2.41
o2¼-122
u2½-112

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Oct 19, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Bournemouth
Stoke City
39.2%
32.7%
28.1%
+183
+171
+175
+175
1
0
-1.06268-1.04597-0.93634
Nottingham Forest
Bristol City
29.6%
42.7%
27.7%
+165
+200
+150
+190
2
1
-0.98728-0.96748-1.21733
Luton Town
Derby County
30.5%
42.3%
27.2%
+167
+202
+155
+200
2
2
-1.06651-1.06432-1.02426
Millwall
Sheffield United
21.7%
55.3%
23.0%
+362
-115
+360
-115
2
1
-1.55984-1.57562-1.52625
Blackburn
Queens Park Rangers
29.9%
45.7%
24.4%
+260
+124
+245
+110
0
1
-0.80847-0.79239-0.78220
Cardiff City
Swansea City
27.7%
47.7%
24.6%
+233
+146
+230
+135
0
3
-0.92415-0.90429-0.74001
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks52-2-1 (0.500)0-1.09696 
Sportsbooks52-1-1 (0.500)0-1.08916 
DRatings52-2-1 (0.500)0-1.09728
-0.00032
-0.00812

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/17/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Bournemouth (8-0-4, 28 pts)23.88.813.484.932.3%66.9%30.6%0.0%
2West Bromwich Albion (7-1-4, 25 pts)24.38.812.885.944.2%72.9%25.1%0.0%
3Fulham (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.411.411.181.421.5%47.9%47.2%0.0%
4Coventry City (7-3-2, 23 pts)18.116.311.765.90.2%2.3%31.0%1.8%
5Stoke City (6-3-3, 21 pts)18.414.712.968.10.5%2.1%41.8%0.4%
6Huddersfield (6-4-2, 20 pts)15.918.411.659.40.0%0.1%9.9%7.8%
7Reading (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.517.710.963.30.0%0.2%21.5%3.4%
8Queens Park Rangers (5-4-3, 18 pts)16.616.812.562.40.0%0.3%19.2%5.1%
9Blackburn (4-3-5, 17 pts)15.515.714.861.30.0%0.2%15.8%5.2%
10Luton Town (4-3-5, 17 pts)14.616.514.858.70.0%0.2%8.6%10.3%
11Bristol City (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.717.513.857.80.0%0.1%6.0%15.7%
12Middlesbrough (4-5-3, 15 pts)15.118.012.958.20.0%0.6%9.3%12.6%
13Sheffield United (4-5-3, 15 pts)18.614.912.568.21.1%3.5%44.1%0.3%
14Derby County (3-3-6, 15 pts)13.117.315.654.80.0%0.1%3.7%24.8%
15Millwall (3-3-6, 15 pts)14.715.515.860.00.0%0.3%11.2%8.7%
16Blackpool (4-5-3, 15 pts)16.017.212.860.70.1%0.3%12.6%7.2%
17Nottingham Forest (4-6-2, 14 pts)14.719.611.655.80.0%0.2%4.8%18.9%
18Swansea City (3-4-5, 14 pts)17.114.414.665.80.1%1.6%33.1%1.0%
19Preston North End (2-4-6, 12 pts)13.316.815.955.80.0%0.0%4.2%19.2%
20Birmingham City (3-6-3, 12 pts)13.519.812.753.30.0%0.0%2.6%31.9%
21Cardiff City (3-7-2, 11 pts)16.318.011.860.60.0%0.2%13.2%7.5%
22Hull City (2-7-3, 9 pts)13.519.612.853.40.0%0.0%1.1%29.5%
23Barnsley (1-6-5, 8 pts)13.418.014.654.90.0%0.0%3.3%22.3%
24Peterborough United (2-8-2, 8 pts)12.022.311.747.60.0%0.0%0.1%66.4%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.