England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Coventry City 		19.1%
57.3%		23.5%
+203
+140
+195
+125
0.89
1.74		2.63
o2¾-115
u3-127

Games for Apr 23, 2024
Games for Apr 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Southampton
Leicester City		26.8%
48.8%		24.4%
+256
-103
+240
-105
0
5		-0.71666-0.72091-0.71715
Leeds United
Middlesbrough		36.7%
35.7%		27.6%
-157
+426
-160
+400
4
3		-0.52224-0.53495-1.00218
Sheffield Wednesday
Blackburn		21.8%
53.7%		24.5%
+246
+118
+245
+115
3
1		-1.27026-1.28222-1.52207
Preston North End
Queens Park Rangers		26.5%
47.4%		26.1%
+327
-105
+310
-105
0
1		-0.70064-0.71803-0.74598
Swansea City
Huddersfield		34.4%
37.3%		28.4%
+247
+114
+240
+110
4
0		-1.27465-1.27447-1.06799
Southampton
Cardiff City		52.1%
23.7%		24.1%
-328
+884
-330
+850
1
2		-2.32126-2.29979-1.43797
Birmingham City
Rotherham United		26.5%
46.5%		27.0%
-146
+426
-155
+430
0
0		-1.40409-1.42221-1.30856
Plymouth Argyle
Stoke City		15.3%
64.0%		20.7%
+380
-130
+375
-130
0
3		-0.60860-0.61906-0.44599
Hull City
Watford		18.4%
58.4%		23.2%
+152
+190
+140
+190
0
0		-1.28388-1.28844-1.46300
Bristol City
Norwich City		22.8%
52.1%		25.1%
+392
-140
+415
-160
1
1		-1.41840-1.47238-1.38234
Millwall
Sunderland		35.2%
35.2%		29.6%
+258
+121
+265
+115
1
0		-1.31230-1.34504-1.04378
West Bromwich Albion
Leicester City		21.3%
55.3%		23.4%
+534
-178
+520
-190
1
2		-0.48521-0.47332-0.59247
Preston North End
Southampton		9.7%
74.2%		16.1%
+880
-304
+900
-340
0
3		-0.31633-0.30341-0.29822
Watford
Southampton		15.3%
64.0%		20.6%
+609
-236
+600
-255
2
3		-0.39019-0.38296-0.44607
Rotherham United
Swansea City		18.0%
59.2%		22.8%
+782
-277
+775
-295
0
1		-0.34752-0.34222-0.52494
Sunderland
West Bromwich Albion		11.2%
70.5%		18.3%
+314
-105
+320
-105
1
0		-1.45098-1.47854-2.19015
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71666 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.72091 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71715
-0.00049
0.00376

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/21/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Leicester City (29-10-4, 91 pts)30.310.94.895.870.5%92.4%7.6%0.0%
2Ipswich Town (26-6-11, 89 pts)27.36.811.993.819.6%64.4%35.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (26-8-9, 87 pts)27.58.89.892.19.4%40.2%59.8%0.0%
4Southampton (25-9-9, 84 pts)26.29.99.988.40.5%3.0%97.0%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (20-12-12, 72 pts)21.012.512.575.50.0%0.0%98.5%0.0%
6Norwich City (21-14-9, 72 pts)21.714.79.674.70.0%0.0%94.8%0.0%
7Hull City (18-13-12, 66 pts)19.014.112.969.90.0%0.0%2.6%0.0%
8Coventry City (17-13-12, 63 pts)18.414.413.268.50.0%0.0%4.1%0.0%
9Middlesbrough (18-16-9, 63 pts)19.117.19.867.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Preston North End (18-17-9, 63 pts)18.518.09.564.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Cardiff City (19-20-5, 62 pts)19.620.85.564.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Bristol City (16-17-11, 59 pts)16.717.811.661.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Sunderland (16-20-8, 56 pts)16.620.88.658.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Swansea City (15-18-11, 56 pts)15.718.611.658.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Watford (12-15-17, 53 pts)12.715.717.655.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Millwall (14-19-11, 53 pts)14.719.611.655.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Stoke City (13-20-11, 50 pts)13.720.711.652.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
18Queens Park Rangers (13-20-11, 50 pts)13.521.011.552.00.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%
19Blackburn (13-21-10, 49 pts)13.621.910.651.20.0%0.0%0.0%6.4%
20Plymouth Argyle (12-20-12, 48 pts)12.620.812.650.40.0%0.0%0.0%10.6%
21Sheffield Wednesday (13-23-8, 47 pts)13.623.88.549.40.0%0.0%0.0%44.8%
22Birmingham City (12-22-10, 46 pts)12.722.810.648.60.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%
23Huddersfield (9-18-17, 44 pts)9.618.817.646.50.0%0.0%0.0%86.5%
24Rotherham United (4-28-12, 24 pts)4.728.712.626.60.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.