England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedRotherham United
Brentford 		23.5%
56.1%		20.4%
+650
-213

0.85
2.02		2.87
o2½-120
u2½+101

Games for Mar 5, 2021
Games for Mar 7, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Swansea City		24.0%
52.9%		23.0%
+217
+153
+215
+150
1
2		-0.58674-0.58426-0.37452
Queens Park Rangers
Bristol City		30.1%
45.0%		24.9%
+127
+230
+120
+235
2
0		-0.52347-0.50484-0.91422
Derby County
Coventry City		32.3%
38.2%		29.5%
+200
+159
+205
+155
0
1		-0.62237-0.60763-0.61314
Blackburn
Millwall		35.4%
35.6%		29.1%
+212
+142
+220
+135
2
0		-0.82823-0.85939-0.69665
Luton Town
Norwich City		22.7%
55.5%		21.9%
+825
-294
+900
-300
0
3		-0.13530-0.12517-0.34260
Bournemouth
Preston North End		44.8%
29.1%		26.0%
+112
+275
+105
+270
1
1		-0.73326-0.73611-0.71618
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks108-1-1 (0.850)0-0.47850 
Sportsbooks108-1-1 (0.850)0-0.47151 
DRatings107-2-1 (0.750)0-0.54237
-0.06386
-0.07086

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 03/06/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Norwich City (23-5-7, 76 pts)28.07.910.194.181.5%97.2%2.8%0.0%
2Watford (19-7-9, 66 pts)23.810.112.183.43.4%23.9%75.4%0.0%
3Swansea City (19-6-8, 65 pts)25.19.311.687.012.9%55.1%44.7%0.0%
4Brentford (18-7-9, 63 pts)23.710.112.383.32.2%22.8%76.4%0.0%
5Reading (18-11-6, 60 pts)22.114.89.175.50.0%0.8%73.0%0.0%
6Barnsley (17-11-6, 57 pts)21.115.49.572.70.0%0.1%43.7%0.0%
7Bournemouth (15-9-11, 56 pts)19.712.114.173.40.0%0.1%57.6%0.0%
8Cardiff City (15-11-9, 54 pts)19.014.912.169.20.0%0.0%20.9%0.0%
9Middlesbrough (14-13-8, 50 pts)17.617.311.263.90.0%0.0%2.3%0.0%
10Stoke City (12-11-12, 48 pts)16.214.615.263.80.0%0.0%1.8%0.0%
11Millwall (10-9-16, 46 pts)13.813.019.260.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.3%
12Bristol City (14-18-3, 45 pts)18.121.76.260.50.0%0.0%0.3%0.3%
13Preston North End (13-17-5, 44 pts)16.921.08.158.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%
14Luton Town (12-14-8, 44 pts)15.818.711.458.90.0%0.0%0.2%0.6%
15Blackburn (12-15-7, 43 pts)16.519.010.560.00.0%0.0%0.6%0.2%
16Queens Park Rangers (11-12-10, 43 pts)15.017.213.858.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.2%
17Nottingham Forest (10-15-10, 40 pts)13.819.113.154.40.0%0.0%0.0%3.9%
18Huddersfield (10-17-8, 38 pts)13.121.711.150.50.0%0.0%0.0%24.6%
19Derby County (10-16-8, 38 pts)13.920.711.553.10.0%0.0%0.0%11.2%
20Coventry City (9-15-11, 38 pts)12.818.914.352.80.0%0.0%0.0%12.4%
21Birmingham City (8-16-11, 35 pts)10.621.414.045.80.0%0.0%0.0%71.6%
22Sheffield Wednesday (9-18-7, 34 pts)12.623.010.348.20.0%0.0%0.0%51.5%
23Rotherham United (9-18-5, 32 pts)13.922.89.251.00.0%0.0%0.0%22.1%
24Wycombe Wanderers (5-21-8, 23 pts)8.226.511.435.90.0%0.0%0.0%99.6%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.