England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 2, 2023

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leicester City
West Bromwich Albion 		34.4%
38.0%		27.6%
+138
+215
+140
+200
1.17
1.24		2.41
o2¼-121
u2½-124

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sunderland
Millwall 		17.8%
58.7%		23.5%
+128
+226
+130
+210
0.84
1.73		2.57
o2½+104
u2½-114

Cardiff City
Southampton 		14.0%
66.8%		19.1%
+445
-153
+390
-150
0.89
2.17		3.06
o2½-118
u2¾-120

Rotherham United
Birmingham City 		25.6%
47.7%		26.7%
+426
-143
+420
-140
0.97
1.44		2.41
o2½-110
u2½-102

Stoke City
Plymouth Argyle 		37.3%
34.6%		28.1%
+166
+164
+160
+160
1.20
1.14		2.34
o2¾-112
u3-136

Watford
Hull City 		36.7%
34.4%		28.8%
+245
+118
+255
+110
1.15
1.09		2.24
o2¼-115
u2½-124

Volatility Bet Value Active
Huddersfield
Swansea City 		18.9%
58.1%		23.0%
+294
-103
+300
-110
0.91
1.79		2.70
o2½-110
u2½-104

Coventry City
Ipswich Town 		21.2%
53.8%		25.0%
+329
-122
+310
-125
0.90
1.60		2.50
o2¾-120
u3-125

Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday 		24.0%
50.5%		25.4%
+154
+179
+150
+185
0.99
1.56		2.55
o2½-136
u2¾-112

Middlesbrough
Leeds United 		17.5%
61.2%		21.3%
+386
-141
+370
-150
0.95
1.97		2.92
o2¾-110
u3-137

Games for Dec 1, 2023
Games for Dec 3, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Queens Park Rangers
Preston North End		25.9%
48.1%		26.0%
+274
+118
+260
+120
2
0		-1.34692-1.32950-1.35100
Millwall
Ipswich Town		21.9%
52.4%		25.7%
+451
-160
+420
-155
1
3		-0.52378-0.54678-0.64640
Birmingham City
Blackburn		27.1%
46.1%		26.8%
+342
-125
+340
-130
2
4		-0.61787-0.61828-0.77340
Leicester City
Sheffield Wednesday		50.9%
24.5%		24.5%
-156
+488
-170
+500
1
1		-1.41717-1.42205-1.40535
Swansea City
Leeds United		11.9%
70.6%		17.5%
+840
-310
+800
-315
1
3		-0.31592-0.32327-0.34801
Huddersfield
Sunderland		29.7%
42.6%		27.6%
+517
-182
+500
-195
2
1		-1.85591-1.84042-1.21409
Bristol City
Southampton		15.9%
64.0%		20.1%
+437
-154
+425
-155
0
1		-0.53905-0.54504-0.44568
Norwich City
Watford		23.6%
49.9%		26.5%
+229
+120
+235
+115
2
3		-0.82784-0.81362-0.69453
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers		36.8%
35.1%		28.2%
+168
+187
+175
+200
2
4		-1.09357-1.12316-1.04805
Preston North End
Middlesbrough		12.5%
68.1%		19.3%
+417
-141
+435
-155
0
4		-0.57618-0.54775-0.38365
Rotherham United
Hull City		25.0%
48.8%		26.1%
+641
-208
+600
-210
1
4		-0.43194-0.43841-0.71695
West Bromwich Albion
Cardiff City		43.7%
29.2%		27.1%
+126
+249
+140
+215
1
0		-0.84690-0.92576-0.82860
Plymouth Argyle
Coventry City		20.1%
56.4%		23.4%
+392
-145
+385
-155
0
1		-0.54663-0.54599-0.57196
Ipswich Town
West Bromwich Albion		23.0%
51.4%		25.6%
+188
+146
+190
+145
0
2		-0.93964-0.94631-0.66604
Watford
Leicester City		16.7%
62.0%		21.2%
+455
-154
+425
-155
0
2		-0.53926-0.54804-0.47796
Southampton
Huddersfield		39.9%
32.9%		27.2%
-124
+356
-130
+350
1
1		-1.36051-1.37444-1.30089
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.34692 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.32950 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.35100
-0.00408
-0.02150

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/13/23
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Leicester City (13-3-0, 39 pts)27.410.58.090.359.1%82.5%17.5%0.0%
2Ipswich Town (12-1-3, 39 pts)23.511.011.681.912.5%33.0%61.2%0.0%
3Leeds United (9-3-4, 31 pts)24.79.711.685.624.5%64.4%33.0%0.0%
4Southampton (9-4-3, 30 pts)21.313.011.675.61.9%8.7%66.5%0.1%
5Preston North End (8-4-4, 28 pts)17.216.212.664.10.0%0.0%14.4%1.0%
6Sunderland (8-6-2, 26 pts)16.918.610.661.20.0%0.1%7.2%2.6%
7West Bromwich Albion (7-4-5, 26 pts)19.513.013.572.11.5%5.0%54.7%0.1%
8Hull City (7-4-5, 26 pts)16.615.713.763.50.0%0.3%13.2%1.3%
9Cardiff City (7-6-3, 24 pts)16.218.311.560.10.0%0.4%8.3%3.4%
10Middlesbrough (7-6-3, 24 pts)20.114.511.471.80.4%4.6%48.8%0.1%
11Bristol City (6-6-4, 22 pts)15.517.812.759.10.0%0.1%4.7%5.8%
12Blackburn (7-8-1, 22 pts)16.120.39.657.80.0%0.0%2.5%7.8%
13Watford (5-5-6, 21 pts)16.714.514.864.80.0%0.3%19.7%0.6%
14Stoke City (6-7-3, 21 pts)17.616.911.664.30.0%0.0%16.1%0.7%
15Millwall (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.816.513.761.00.1%0.5%8.4%2.3%
16Norwich City (6-8-2, 20 pts)17.218.110.862.20.0%0.1%11.0%1.5%
17Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)16.017.312.760.60.0%0.0%7.9%2.1%
18Birmingham City (5-7-4, 19 pts)14.419.012.655.70.0%0.0%1.8%11.8%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.220.212.652.20.0%0.0%0.6%25.0%
20Coventry City (3-6-7, 16 pts)13.316.815.955.70.0%0.0%2.1%11.4%
21Huddersfield (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.518.714.852.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.5%
22Rotherham United (2-9-5, 11 pts)11.221.213.647.10.0%0.0%0.0%56.0%
23Queens Park Rangers (2-10-4, 10 pts)11.022.312.845.70.0%0.0%0.0%62.2%
24Sheffield Wednesday (1-12-3, 6 pts)10.623.711.743.40.0%0.0%0.0%73.7%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.