England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 24, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Sheffield United 		13.0%
66.9%		20.1%
+464
-156
+400
-180
0.75
2.02		2.77
o2½+100
u2½-113

Games for Jan 23, 2025
Games for Jan 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Burnley
Plymouth Argyle		55.9%
20.5%		23.6%
-160
+484
-170
+490
5
0		-0.52514-0.51058-0.58189
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday		30.2%
42.8%		27.0%
+222
+139
+210
+140
2
2		-1.21682-1.21362-1.30837
Stoke City
Portsmouth		34.4%
37.0%		28.6%
+211
+150
+200
+155
1
3		-0.94788-0.98305-0.99377
Norwich City
Leeds United		13.3%
67.5%		19.2%
+839
-286
+850
-300
0
2		-0.33776-0.33774-0.39340
Cardiff City
Millwall		24.2%
49.9%		26.0%
+294
+128
+290
+125
2
2		-1.10127-1.10936-1.34788
Preston North End
Watford		25.9%
46.9%		27.2%
+273
+110
+250
+115
2
1		-1.35577-1.30092-1.35093
Sheffield United
Swansea City		33.9%
36.9%		29.1%
+177
+171
+180
+165
2
1		-1.05768-1.08028-1.08125
Luton Town
Oxford United		38.9%
33.3%		27.8%
+138
+235
+140
+225
2
3		-1.24643-1.21963-1.10045
West Bromwich Albion
Middlesbrough		19.1%
57.6%		23.2%
+310
-108
+335
-120
0
2		-0.69111-0.65427-0.55118
Queens Park Rangers
Hull City		23.5%
52.1%		24.4%
+255
+128
+255
+115
2
1		-1.29000-1.31557-1.44745
Sunderland
Derby County		38.4%
32.6%		28.9%
-107
+309
+100
+290
1
0		-0.69832-0.74244-0.95649
Coventry City
Blackburn		33.9%
37.4%		28.6%
+190
+153
+190
+150
2
0		-1.10343-1.11590-1.08043
Sheffield Wednesday
Leeds United		8.9%
76.0%		15.2%
+680
-246
+790
-290
0
3		-0.37955-0.34699-0.27483
Stoke City
West Bromwich Albion		21.0%
54.4%		24.7%
+305
-104
+335
-115
1
1		-1.29847-1.30203-1.39995
Norwich City
Sheffield United		19.4%
55.7%		24.9%
+290
+105
+290
+100
0
2		-0.74813-0.74244-0.58469
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth		53.8%
22.0%		24.3%
-110
+306
-115
+300
1
2		-1.43868-1.43658-1.51631
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.75690 
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.76125 
DRatings43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.81936
-0.06246
-0.05811

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/20/25
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (17-4-6, 57 pts)25.69.111.388.130.8%70.1%29.9%0.0%
2Leeds United (16-3-8, 56 pts)26.07.112.990.859.8%88.3%11.7%0.0%
3Burnley (14-2-11, 53 pts)22.27.616.382.77.2%29.2%69.8%0.0%
4Sunderland (14-4-9, 51 pts)21.69.914.579.42.2%11.7%83.2%0.0%
5Blackburn (12-9-6, 42 pts)18.815.711.567.80.0%0.0%34.6%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (9-4-14, 41 pts)16.510.019.568.90.0%0.1%42.2%0.0%
7Middlesbrough (11-8-8, 41 pts)19.613.113.372.00.0%0.6%68.0%0.0%
8Watford (12-10-5, 41 pts)18.417.110.565.60.0%0.0%20.2%0.2%
9Bristol City (9-8-10, 37 pts)15.515.115.561.90.0%0.0%8.4%0.0%
10Sheffield Wednesday (10-10-7, 37 pts)16.317.212.461.50.0%0.0%5.3%0.9%
11Norwich City (9-9-9, 36 pts)16.415.114.663.60.0%0.0%12.5%0.0%
12Queens Park Rangers (8-8-11, 35 pts)13.616.016.457.20.0%0.0%1.5%3.6%
13Swansea City (9-11-7, 34 pts)16.217.412.461.00.0%0.0%5.2%0.6%
14Coventry City (8-11-8, 32 pts)15.816.913.260.70.0%0.0%5.5%1.2%
15Oxford United (8-11-8, 32 pts)13.119.613.352.60.0%0.0%0.1%18.1%
16Preston North End (6-8-13, 31 pts)12.515.018.555.90.0%0.0%0.8%6.8%
17Millwall (7-10-9, 30 pts)13.517.714.855.30.0%0.0%0.6%6.3%
18Stoke City (6-11-10, 28 pts)12.817.815.453.90.0%0.0%0.3%12.8%
19Derby County (7-14-6, 27 pts)12.921.811.350.10.0%0.0%0.1%29.5%
20Cardiff City (6-12-9, 27 pts)12.019.514.550.50.0%0.0%0.0%29.5%
21Hull City (6-13-8, 26 pts)12.320.113.650.50.0%0.0%0.1%29.6%
22Portsmouth (6-12-8, 26 pts)11.820.613.749.00.0%0.0%0.0%41.6%
23Luton Town (7-15-5, 26 pts)13.721.910.451.60.0%0.0%0.0%22.9%
24Plymouth Argyle (4-14-9, 21 pts)8.323.813.938.80.0%0.0%0.0%96.4%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.