English Premier League Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jun 14, 2025
Games for Jun 16, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Crystal Palace
Liverpool		8.3%
76.6%		15.1%
+602
-270
+650
-285
1
1		-1.85751-1.85202-1.88948
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest		43.2%
28.7%		28.1%
+114
+244
+105
+250
1
0		-0.77838-0.75385-0.83877
Manchester City
Fulham		49.4%
25.3%		25.3%
-191
+520
-180
+525
2
0		-0.45102-0.46660-0.70605
Leicester City
Bournemouth		7.2%
79.4%		13.4%
+740
-280
+780
-320
0
2		-0.33475-0.31737-0.23021
West Ham United
Ipswich Town		39.9%
32.3%		27.8%
+121
+225
+120
+215
3
1		-0.82442-0.82986-0.91789
Brighton and Hove Albion
Tottenham		30.8%
42.7%		26.4%
-111
+279
-115
+340
4
1		-0.67331-0.61508-1.17707
Arsenal
Southampton		74.3%
10.0%		15.8%
-397
+1150
-417
+1050
2
1		-0.25123-0.26125-0.29772
Brentford
Wolverhampton		31.5%
39.7%		28.8%
+134
+199
+130
+190
1
1		-1.35965-1.37690-1.24441
Aston Villa
Manchester United		27.3%
47.1%		25.6%
-148
+375
-155
+400
0
2		-1.59209-1.64393-0.75330
Everton
Newcastle United		16.8%
61.8%		21.4%
+1050
-373
+1150
-360
1
0		-2.46899-2.53970-1.78588
Bournemouth
Manchester City		15.5%
63.7%		20.7%
+755
-290
+785
-300
1
3		-0.33014-0.32392-0.45055
Wolverhampton
Crystal Palace		18.7%
56.9%		24.4%
+223
+138
+209
+135
2
4		-0.88489-0.90098-0.56461
Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion		53.1%
22.6%		24.3%
+196
+128
+195
+120
2
3		-0.84725-0.83409-1.48642
Newcastle United
Arsenal		16.0%
63.2%		20.8%
+315
-110
+310
-110
0
1		-0.67283-0.67704-0.45868
Fulham
Brentford		28.2%
44.9%		26.9%
+261
+103
+260
+100
3
2		-1.31595-1.31453-1.26695
Ipswich Town
Leicester City		27.8%
46.3%		25.9%
+213
+127
+205
+128
0
2		-0.85320-0.86748-0.77091
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/25/25
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (25-4-9, 84 pts)25.04.09.084.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Arsenal (20-4-14, 74 pts)20.04.014.074.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Manchester City (21-9-8, 71 pts)21.09.08.071.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Chelsea (20-9-9, 69 pts)20.09.09.069.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Newcastle United (20-12-6, 66 pts)20.012.06.066.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
6Aston Villa (19-10-9, 66 pts)19.010.09.066.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (19-11-8, 65 pts)19.011.08.065.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Brighton and Hove Albion (16-9-13, 61 pts)16.09.013.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Bournemouth (15-12-11, 56 pts)15.012.011.056.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Brentford (16-14-8, 56 pts)16.014.08.056.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Fulham (15-14-9, 54 pts)15.014.09.054.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Crystal Palace (13-11-14, 53 pts)13.011.014.053.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Everton (11-12-15, 48 pts)11.012.015.048.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14West Ham United (11-17-10, 43 pts)11.017.010.043.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Manchester United (11-18-9, 42 pts)11.018.09.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Wolverhampton (12-20-6, 42 pts)12.020.06.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Tottenham (11-22-5, 38 pts)11.022.05.038.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Leicester City (6-25-7, 25 pts)6.025.07.025.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
19Ipswich Town (4-24-10, 22 pts)4.024.010.022.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Southampton (2-30-6, 12 pts)2.030.06.012.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.