English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 27, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Aston Villa
Leeds United 		38.0%
35.1%		27.0%
+206
+128
+203
+125
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3-110
u3-105
o3-101
u3-105
Wolverhampton
Newcastle United 		41.8%
31.1%		27.2%
+126
+260
+125
+248
1.37
1.02		2.39
o2-130
u2+110
o2-129
u2+110
Games for Feb 26, 2021
Games for Feb 28, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
Line		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Brighton and Hove Albion
West Bromwich Albion 		46.3%
28.4%		25.3%
-120
+370
-121
+375
2.54
o2½+105
u2½-121
o2½+115
u2½-125
1st H
12:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Manchester City		15.7%
72.1%		12.3%
+1082
-375
+1100
-390
1
2		-0.10180-0.09957-0.19654
Southampton
Leeds United		38.4%
34.6%		27.0%
+235
+116
+233
+115
0
3		-0.49761-0.49812-0.74703
Crystal Palace
Brighton and Hove Albion		32.3%
38.3%		29.4%
+450
-127
+436
-130
2
1		-1.40535-1.39364-0.78067
Newcastle United
Manchester United		17.3%
68.6%		14.1%
+850
-290
+875
-300
1
3		-0.13239-0.12817-0.23993
Manchester City
Arsenal		55.1%
23.9%		21.0%
-205
+625
-215
+580
1
0		-0.18665-0.19513-0.40228
Leicester City
Aston Villa		44.1%
30.8%		25.1%
+100
+270
+120
+260
2
1		-0.43214-0.47692-0.60900
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.10180 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.09957 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.19654
-0.09474
-0.09697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/23/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (18-2-5, 59 pts)25.94.37.885.698.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (14-4-7, 49 pts)20.37.310.471.31.6%88.2%6.1%0.0%
3Leicester City (15-6-4, 49 pts)20.69.97.569.20.4%77.0%13.3%0.0%
4West Ham United (13-6-6, 45 pts)17.610.99.562.20.0%21.4%15.5%0.0%
5Chelsea (12-6-7, 43 pts)17.89.710.563.80.0%39.9%18.4%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-7-7, 40 pts)18.39.610.165.00.0%49.3%19.1%0.0%
7Everton (12-8-4, 40 pts)17.312.88.059.70.0%10.4%9.4%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-9-3, 36 pts)16.015.07.055.10.0%3.2%2.8%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-8-6, 36 pts)16.311.89.958.70.0%8.4%10.9%0.0%
10Leeds United (11-12-2, 35 pts)14.917.75.450.10.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
11Arsenal (10-11-4, 34 pts)15.814.67.654.90.0%2.0%4.2%0.0%
12Wolverhampton (9-10-6, 33 pts)13.814.79.550.80.0%0.2%0.2%0.0%
13Crystal Palace (9-11-5, 32 pts)12.517.18.445.80.0%0.0%0.0%1.5%
14Southampton (8-11-6, 30 pts)12.615.89.747.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.9%
15Burnley (7-11-7, 28 pts)10.716.810.642.50.0%0.0%0.0%5.5%
16Brighton and Hove Albion (5-9-11, 26 pts)8.914.614.541.20.0%0.0%0.0%7.5%
17Newcastle United (7-14-4, 25 pts)10.719.97.439.50.0%0.0%0.0%19.5%
18Fulham (4-11-10, 22 pts)7.117.613.434.60.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19West Bromwich Albion (2-15-8, 14 pts)4.722.111.325.30.0%0.0%0.0%99.5%
20Sheffield United (3-20-2, 11 pts)6.625.85.525.40.0%0.0%0.0%98.9%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.