English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 13, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arsenal
Brentford 		52.1%
25.1%		22.8%
-110
+290

1.81
0.87		2.68
o2¾-102
u2¾-115

Games for Aug 12, 2021
Games for Aug 14, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Manchester United
Wolverhampton		49.9%
26.6%		23.5%
+225
+140
+223
+135
2
1		-1.20567-1.20992-0.69425
Southampton
West Ham United		33.8%
39.9%		26.3%
+365
-125
+350
-130
0
3		-0.61127-0.61990-0.91967
Burnley
Sheffield United		33.0%
36.1%		30.9%
+155
+180
+150
+177
0
1		-1.06016-1.06450-1.01915
Everton
Manchester City		17.6%
68.1%		14.3%
+964
-325
+875
-350
0
5		-0.28578-0.29335-0.38353
Crystal Palace
Liverpool		16.4%
68.6%		15.0%
+1690
-550
+1600
-580
0
2		-0.17890-0.18672-0.37704
Tottenham
Leicester City		33.9%
39.6%		26.4%
+320
-120
+320
-115
4
2		-1.44894-1.45179-1.08031
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (0-0-0, 0 pts)24.46.07.680.879.7%98.8%0.5%0.0%
2Liverpool (0-0-0, 0 pts)19.58.89.768.18.8%77.9%6.9%0.1%
3Chelsea (0-0-0, 0 pts)18.69.69.965.65.7%62.9%12.2%0.1%
4Manchester United (0-0-0, 0 pts)18.19.910.164.33.6%59.4%11.1%0.0%
5Arsenal (0-0-0, 0 pts)16.311.410.359.20.7%31.2%13.5%0.6%
6Leicester City (0-0-0, 0 pts)15.411.810.857.10.8%22.7%13.1%1.1%
7Tottenham (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.912.410.755.40.1%15.0%10.7%1.1%
8West Ham United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.113.410.552.70.3%9.5%7.5%3.5%
9Leeds United (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.913.510.652.30.1%7.4%7.8%4.0%
10Everton (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.613.810.651.40.2%6.2%5.4%4.5%
11Southampton (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.215.210.747.20.0%2.1%1.6%12.6%
12Aston Villa (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.115.410.546.70.0%1.4%2.2%15.1%
13Wolverhampton (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.815.710.545.90.0%1.8%2.3%15.7%
14Brighton and Hove Albion (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.415.910.745.00.0%1.3%1.6%18.4%
15Newcastle United (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.316.310.544.30.0%0.9%1.0%20.6%
16Burnley (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.216.310.544.20.0%0.8%1.0%20.3%
17Watford (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.216.310.544.10.0%0.6%1.1%21.3%
18Brentford (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.618.410.038.70.0%0.0%0.2%46.7%
19Crystal Palace (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.318.99.937.70.0%0.1%0.1%56.8%
20Norwich City (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.118.99.937.30.0%0.0%0.2%57.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.