English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 1, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tottenham
Arsenal
27.4%
47.7%
25.0%
+265
+105

1.14
1.58
2.72
o2¾-112
u3-137

Chelsea
Crystal Palace
43.9%
28.7%
27.4%
-117
+360

1.35
1.03
2.38
o2½+102
u2½-114

Everton
Southampton
28.3%
46.3%
25.4%
+254
+117

1.14
1.53
2.67
o2½+100
u2½-112

Newcastle United
Fulham
31.9%
40.3%
27.9%
+135
+220

1.09
1.26
2.35
o2½-108
u2½-105

Brentford
Bournemouth
33.4%
38.3%
28.3%
+120
+245

1.10
1.20
2.30
o2½+102
u2½-118

Brighton and Hove Albion
Liverpool
7.8%
77.2%
15.0%
+806
-268

0.65
2.46
3.11
o3+102
u3-112

Wolverhampton
West Ham United
20.5%
55.2%
24.2%
+315
-105

0.92
1.67
2.59
o2¼-115
u2½-126

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 30, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Everton
32.4%
40.8%
26.7%
+155
+194
+148
+190
0
1
-1.10030-1.11021-0.89580
Arsenal
Brentford
44.2%
28.8%
27.0%
-125
+351
-130
+350
3
0
-0.61471-0.61345-0.81572
Leicester City
Tottenham
13.7%
68.3%
18.0%
+545
-192
+550
-210
2
6
-0.44879-0.43697-0.38167
Bournemouth
Newcastle United
19.5%
57.2%
23.3%
+690
-235
+675
-240
1
1
-1.64512-1.59583-1.45655
Manchester City
Wolverhampton
72.7%
10.0%
17.3%
-297
+850
-315
+825
3
0
-0.31712-0.32256-0.31906
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
33.2%
36.9%
30.0%
+161
+183
+165
+185
3
2
-0.98214-1.00095-1.10374
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/17/22
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Arsenal (6-1-0, 18 pts)18.810.78.564.81.7%49.8%20.8%0.0%
2Manchester City (5-0-2, 17 pts)24.35.28.481.475.5%99.0%0.7%0.0%
3Tottenham (5-0-2, 17 pts)19.18.710.267.65.7%68.5%14.7%0.0%
4Brighton and Hove Albion (4-1-1, 13 pts)14.513.69.953.40.0%7.0%8.5%1.7%
5Manchester United (4-2-0, 12 pts)17.711.58.862.00.8%32.4%18.3%0.2%
6Fulham (3-2-2, 11 pts)11.516.110.445.00.0%0.4%0.5%16.6%
7Chelsea (3-2-1, 10 pts)18.610.09.465.22.1%52.9%17.1%0.0%
8Liverpool (2-1-3, 9 pts)20.67.210.271.914.2%84.7%7.6%0.0%
9Brentford (2-2-3, 9 pts)11.614.811.546.50.0%1.2%1.5%11.0%
10Newcastle United (1-1-5, 8 pts)10.713.713.645.60.0%0.4%1.3%14.1%
11Leeds United (2-2-2, 8 pts)11.315.810.944.90.0%0.2%1.0%15.6%
12Bournemouth (2-3-2, 8 pts)10.517.110.442.00.0%0.2%0.4%31.6%
13Everton (1-2-4, 7 pts)10.714.612.744.70.0%0.2%0.7%17.2%
14Aston Villa (2-4-1, 7 pts)12.216.09.746.50.0%0.9%1.4%13.0%
15Southampton (2-4-1, 7 pts)11.117.59.442.70.0%0.2%0.3%27.4%
16Crystal Palace (1-2-3, 6 pts)11.614.511.946.70.0%0.7%1.9%11.7%
17Wolverhampton (1-3-3, 6 pts)11.115.211.745.00.0%0.5%0.8%17.6%
18West Ham United (1-5-1, 4 pts)11.916.49.745.50.0%0.7%1.7%15.5%
19Nottingham Forest (1-5-1, 4 pts)8.320.88.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%77.2%
20Leicester City (0-6-1, 1 pts)10.817.69.642.10.0%0.1%0.8%29.6%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.