English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 2, 2023

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Games for Jun 1, 2023
Games for Jun 3, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Liverpool
Southampton		70.3%
12.2%		17.5%
-198
+515
-210
+485
4
4		-1.66776-1.68854-1.74348
Fulham
Manchester United		9.2%
75.0%		15.8%
+505
-201
+495
-195
1
2		-0.43442-0.44501-0.28770
West Ham United
Leicester City		12.8%
69.6%		17.6%
+236
+107
+230
+110
1
2		-0.75362-0.77694-0.36243
Tottenham
Leeds United		44.1%
30.4%		25.5%
+142
+180
+140
+170
4
1		-0.91018-0.91799-0.81864
Bournemouth
Everton		16.6%
61.8%		21.6%
+444
-157
+455
-170
0
1		-0.52295-0.51106-0.48174
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace		15.4%
62.0%		22.6%
+478
-158
+415
-155
1
1		-1.45831-1.47438-1.48687
Newcastle United
Chelsea		25.0%
49.4%		25.6%
+145
+186
+140
+195
1
1		-1.35577-1.34381-1.36406
Manchester City
Brentford		71.9%
11.0%		17.1%
+123
+238
+115
+235
0
1		-1.23970-1.24587-2.20891
Brighton and Hove Albion
Aston Villa		36.9%
34.5%		28.6%
+293
-108
+275
-115
1
2		-0.67283-0.67188-1.06334
Wolverhampton
Arsenal		8.2%
76.1%		15.6%
+920
-330
+825
-320
0
5		-0.28692-0.29930-0.27260
Chelsea
Manchester United		20.7%
55.8%		23.4%
+540
-178
+470
-180
1
4		-0.45967-0.48639-0.58279
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion		55.2%
20.6%		24.2%
-110
+290
-120
+285
1
1		-1.44223-1.45895-1.42018
Leicester City
Newcastle United		17.0%
62.2%		20.8%
+854
-310
+800
-320
0
0		-1.81899-1.81088-1.57075
Chelsea
Manchester City		9.3%
74.9%		15.7%
+500
-164
+450
-165
0
1		-0.49686-0.51547-0.28862
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion		9.4%
74.4%		16.1%
+1219
-445
+1100
-470
1
3		-0.22288-0.24049-0.29567
Leeds United
West Ham United		35.9%
36.6%		27.5%
+173
+168
+163
+160
1
3		-1.00062-0.99358-1.00378
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/28/23
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (28-5-5, 89 pts)28.05.05.089.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Arsenal (26-6-6, 84 pts)26.06.06.084.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Manchester United (23-9-6, 75 pts)23.09.06.075.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Newcastle United (19-5-14, 71 pts)19.05.014.071.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Liverpool (19-9-10, 67 pts)19.09.010.067.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Brighton and Hove Albion (18-12-8, 62 pts)18.012.08.062.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Aston Villa (18-13-7, 61 pts)18.013.07.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Tottenham (18-14-6, 60 pts)18.014.06.060.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Brentford (15-9-14, 59 pts)15.09.014.059.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Fulham (15-16-7, 52 pts)15.016.07.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Crystal Palace (11-15-12, 45 pts)11.015.012.045.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Chelsea (11-16-11, 44 pts)11.016.011.044.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Wolverhampton (11-19-8, 41 pts)11.019.08.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14West Ham United (11-20-7, 40 pts)11.020.07.040.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Bournemouth (11-21-6, 39 pts)11.021.06.039.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Nottingham Forest (9-18-11, 38 pts)9.018.011.038.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Everton (8-18-12, 36 pts)8.018.012.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Leicester City (9-22-7, 34 pts)9.022.07.034.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
19Leeds United (7-21-10, 31 pts)7.021.010.031.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Southampton (6-25-7, 25 pts)6.025.07.025.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.