English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 12, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Liverpool
Everton 		66.5%
14.1%		19.4%
-225
+660
-250
+675
2.15
0.87		3.02
o2¾-112
u3-137
o2½-145
u3-135
Games for Feb 11, 2025
Games for Feb 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Chelsea		8.8%
75.7%		15.5%
+850
-340
+925
-368
1
2		-0.29033-0.27743-0.27876
Manchester City
Arsenal		27.7%
46.5%		25.7%
+294
-110
+300
-110
1
5		-0.67205-0.67641-0.76505
Tottenham
Brentford		33.4%
39.7%		26.9%
+245
+100
+235
+100
2
0		-1.26592-1.24765-1.09787
Crystal Palace
Manchester United		20.7%
55.2%		24.1%
+384
-123
+360
-115
2
0		-1.60147-1.54834-1.57306
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton		46.9%
26.5%		26.6%
+137
+211
+135
+215
0
2		-1.16742-1.17974-1.32704
Leicester City
Everton		23.3%
52.9%		23.8%
+345
-105
+345
-110
0
4		-0.69961-0.68029-0.63705
Southampton
Ipswich Town		23.9%
51.3%		24.7%
+300
-106
+293
+100
2
1		-1.41704-1.39667-1.43000
Liverpool
Bournemouth		65.8%
14.4%		19.8%
-138
+360
-145
+360
2
0		-0.56921-0.56391-0.41838
Fulham
Newcastle United		18.9%
58.2%		22.9%
+400
-135
+405
-140
2
1		-1.63363-1.65026-1.66860
Brighton and Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest		35.2%
35.1%		29.7%
+174
+167
+185
+155
0
7		-1.01346-0.96845-1.04794
Manchester United
Fulham		39.4%
33.0%		27.6%
+214
+136
+215
+135
1
0		-1.17176-1.18384-0.93113
West Ham United
Aston Villa		14.0%
66.8%		19.2%
+580
-207
+590
-235
1
1		-1.61435-1.63851-1.64792
Brentford
Crystal Palace		20.5%
55.1%		24.4%
+282
-103
+290
+100
2
1		-1.37007-1.38729-1.58275
Leicester City
Tottenham		10.8%
73.4%		15.8%
+470
-190
+450
-195
2
1		-1.76311-1.74109-2.22498
Chelsea
Manchester City		19.9%
56.8%		23.3%
+186
+137
+215
+130
1
3		-0.89375-0.84153-0.56572
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth		26.4%
46.3%		27.3%
+283
+100
+285
-105
0
5		-0.72054-0.71756-0.76977
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/03/25
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (17-1-5, 56 pts)25.44.08.684.789.4%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Arsenal (14-2-8, 50 pts)21.65.011.476.310.4%99.3%0.6%0.0%
3Nottingham Forest (14-5-5, 47 pts)18.211.08.863.30.0%31.0%26.0%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-5-7, 43 pts)18.78.510.866.80.0%68.7%16.6%0.0%
5Manchester City (12-7-5, 41 pts)19.510.18.467.00.2%69.2%15.5%0.0%
6Newcastle United (12-7-5, 41 pts)17.411.69.061.20.0%19.2%21.8%0.0%
7Bournemouth (11-6-7, 40 pts)15.511.610.957.50.0%5.8%7.9%0.0%
8Aston Villa (10-7-7, 37 pts)15.311.810.956.80.0%3.9%5.6%0.0%
9Fulham (9-6-9, 36 pts)13.711.412.954.00.0%2.0%2.3%0.0%
10Brighton and Hove Albion (8-6-10, 34 pts)13.111.013.953.10.0%0.7%2.0%0.0%
11Brentford (9-11-4, 31 pts)13.916.37.849.50.0%0.0%0.7%0.0%
12Crystal Palace (7-8-9, 30 pts)12.012.913.149.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.1%
13Manchester United (8-11-5, 29 pts)14.015.28.850.90.0%0.2%0.8%0.0%
14Tottenham (8-13-3, 27 pts)13.217.87.046.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15West Ham United (7-11-6, 27 pts)11.216.99.943.50.0%0.0%0.0%2.5%
16Everton (6-9-8, 26 pts)10.415.612.043.10.0%0.0%0.0%2.6%
17Wolverhampton (5-15-4, 19 pts)8.921.37.834.50.0%0.0%0.0%40.8%
18Leicester City (4-15-5, 17 pts)8.021.38.732.70.0%0.0%0.0%67.3%
19Ipswich Town (3-14-7, 16 pts)6.420.910.729.80.0%0.0%0.0%86.8%
20Southampton (2-19-3, 9 pts)4.826.86.420.90.0%0.0%0.0%99.8%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.