English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 18, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
18.4%
64.6%
17.0%
+463
-145
+444
-150
0.64
2.25
2.89
o2½-109
u2½-101
o2½-110
u2½+100
Games for Oct 17, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tottenham
Newcastle United
45.3%
30.2%
24.4%
+125
+280
+105
+251
3
2
-0.78559-0.76710-0.79109
West Ham United
Everton
30.5%
44.2%
25.3%
+170
+191
+165
+175
1
0
-1.00482-1.02574-1.18800
Chelsea
Brentford
57.2%
22.5%
20.3%
-144
+504
-150
+460
1
0
-0.53941-0.55507-0.55855
Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
26.9%
49.1%
24.0%
+300
+129
+288
+120
3
2
-1.37318-1.37468-1.31130
Leeds United
Southampton
35.9%
36.6%
27.5%
+245
+121
+237
+115
0
1
-0.80553-0.80359-1.00488
Brighton and Hove Albion
Norwich City
37.1%
33.3%
29.6%
+109
+320
+110
+306
0
0
-1.07510-1.06726-1.04511
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/17/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Chelsea (6-1-1, 19 pts)21.18.28.872.015.3%91.0%5.1%0.0%
2Liverpool (5-0-3, 18 pts)19.67.411.069.912.3%82.7%8.1%0.0%
3Manchester City (5-1-2, 17 pts)23.95.98.280.068.0%99.1%0.7%0.0%
4Brighton and Hove Albion (4-1-3, 15 pts)13.513.111.452.00.0%3.2%6.2%1.1%
5Tottenham (5-3-0, 15 pts)17.012.78.459.30.4%22.3%17.0%0.1%
6Manchester United (4-2-2, 14 pts)18.79.69.765.83.7%63.7%13.4%0.0%
7West Ham United (4-2-2, 14 pts)14.912.710.355.10.0%9.6%11.3%0.9%
8Everton (4-2-2, 14 pts)14.812.910.454.70.0%7.6%10.2%0.5%
9Brentford (3-2-3, 12 pts)11.315.511.245.20.0%0.3%1.3%11.2%
10Wolverhampton (4-4-0, 12 pts)12.917.08.146.90.0%0.8%1.4%8.3%
11Leicester City (3-3-2, 11 pts)15.112.510.455.80.2%11.4%12.1%0.2%
12Aston Villa (3-4-1, 10 pts)12.815.89.447.70.0%1.2%1.9%5.4%
13Arsenal (3-3-1, 10 pts)14.313.99.952.70.1%5.5%6.7%1.7%
14Crystal Palace (1-2-4, 7 pts)8.817.112.138.40.0%0.2%0.1%45.3%
15Southampton (1-3-4, 7 pts)11.114.512.445.70.0%0.2%1.8%9.6%
16Watford (2-5-1, 7 pts)10.318.69.140.00.0%0.0%0.3%37.3%
17Leeds United (1-4-3, 6 pts)12.513.911.549.10.0%1.2%2.4%4.0%
18Burnley (0-5-3, 3 pts)9.217.611.338.80.0%0.0%0.0%39.8%
19Newcastle United (0-5-3, 3 pts)8.019.011.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%61.9%
20Norwich City (0-6-2, 2 pts)7.920.110.033.70.0%0.0%0.0%72.7%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.