English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 5, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arsenal
Crystal Palace 		47.3%
26.0%		26.6%
+116
+278

1.44
0.99		2.43
o2½-104
u2½-109

Games for Aug 4, 2022
Games for Aug 6, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tottenham
Norwich City		63.3%
16.1%		20.7%
-280
+850
-310
+880
5
0		-0.33033-0.32534-0.45774
Aston Villa
Manchester City		6.7%
80.7%		12.6%
+1647
-576
+1600
-650
2
3		-0.18342-0.19236-0.21422
Wolverhampton
Liverpool		5.1%
83.1%		11.8%
+1889
-688
+1700
-720
1
3		-0.15882-0.16818-0.18478
Southampton
Leicester City		22.7%
54.5%		22.7%
+380
-140
+365
-140
1
4		-0.56345-0.57212-0.60669
Manchester United
Crystal Palace		49.4%
24.7%		25.9%
+164
+181
+153
+175
0
1		-1.04939-1.05524-1.39736
Watford
Chelsea		4.1%
85.7%		10.2%
+1520
-490
+1550
-550
1
2		-0.20677-0.20636-0.15443
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/22/22
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (29-3-6, 93 pts)29.03.06.093.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Liverpool (28-2-8, 92 pts)28.02.08.092.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Chelsea (21-6-11, 74 pts)21.06.011.074.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Tottenham (22-11-5, 71 pts)22.011.05.071.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Arsenal (22-13-3, 69 pts)22.013.03.069.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Manchester United (16-12-10, 58 pts)16.012.010.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7West Ham United (16-14-8, 56 pts)16.014.08.056.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Leicester City (14-14-10, 52 pts)14.014.010.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Brighton and Hove Albion (12-11-15, 51 pts)12.011.015.051.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Wolverhampton (15-17-6, 51 pts)15.017.06.051.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Newcastle United (13-15-10, 49 pts)13.015.010.049.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Crystal Palace (11-12-15, 48 pts)11.012.015.048.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brentford (13-18-7, 46 pts)13.018.07.046.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Aston Villa (13-19-6, 45 pts)13.019.06.045.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Southampton (9-16-13, 40 pts)9.016.013.040.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Everton (11-21-6, 39 pts)11.021.06.039.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Leeds United (9-18-11, 38 pts)9.018.011.038.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Burnley (7-17-14, 35 pts)7.017.014.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
19Watford (6-27-5, 23 pts)6.027.05.023.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Norwich City (5-26-7, 22 pts)5.026.07.022.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.