English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 21, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Norwich City
Watford 		26.0%
48.2%		25.8%
+270
+110
+270
+105
0.83
1.53		2.36
o2½-111
u2½-104
o2½-111
u2½-105
Games for Jan 20, 2022
Games for Jan 22, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Manchester United
Brentford		54.3%
24.0%		21.7%
-122
+385
-132
+375
3
1		-0.61074-0.60906-0.61148
Tottenham
Leicester City		28.8%
48.0%		23.2%
+127
+240
+130
+225
3
2		-0.83598-0.86555-1.24424
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion		47.1%
27.6%		25.3%
-148
+545
-175
+535
1
1		-1.19196-1.19616-1.02010
Brentford
Liverpool		11.0%
80.0%		9.0%
+1023
-345
+975
-365
0
3		-0.28110-0.28742-0.22296
Leeds United
West Ham United		25.7%
52.2%		22.1%
+407
-144
+390
-150
3
2		-1.64631-1.63609-1.35782
Manchester United
Aston Villa		48.3%
28.1%		23.6%
+195
+150
+185
+150
2
2		-1.01567-1.01774-0.99812
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/16/22
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (18-2-2, 56 pts)28.74.35.091.196.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Liverpool (13-2-6, 45 pts)22.45.510.177.43.8%98.9%1.0%0.0%
3Chelsea (12-3-7, 43 pts)20.76.411.072.90.1%95.5%3.0%0.0%
4West Ham United (11-7-4, 37 pts)17.612.08.561.20.0%22.2%24.1%0.0%
5Arsenal (11-7-2, 35 pts)18.112.87.161.30.0%24.8%20.3%0.0%
6Tottenham (10-5-3, 33 pts)17.511.88.761.20.0%20.4%19.6%0.0%
7Manchester United (9-6-5, 32 pts)17.510.69.962.50.0%31.7%21.9%0.0%
8Wolverhampton (9-7-4, 31 pts)14.414.59.152.40.0%1.1%2.5%0.1%
9Brighton and Hove Albion (6-4-10, 28 pts)11.711.315.050.10.0%0.2%0.8%0.1%
10Leicester City (7-7-4, 25 pts)15.113.39.754.90.0%5.0%6.1%0.1%
11Crystal Palace (5-7-9, 24 pts)9.814.813.442.90.0%0.0%0.1%4.7%
12Southampton (5-7-9, 24 pts)10.713.613.845.70.0%0.0%0.4%1.6%
13Aston Villa (7-11-2, 23 pts)12.818.17.245.50.0%0.0%0.1%2.5%
14Brentford (6-10-5, 23 pts)10.517.99.641.00.0%0.0%0.0%10.3%
15Leeds United (5-8-7, 22 pts)11.714.411.946.90.0%0.1%0.1%1.3%
16Everton (5-10-4, 19 pts)11.517.29.243.80.0%0.1%0.0%4.9%
17Watford (4-13-2, 14 pts)9.121.77.234.50.0%0.0%0.0%51.7%
18Norwich City (3-14-4, 13 pts)7.022.68.429.40.0%0.0%0.0%88.2%
19Newcastle United (1-10-9, 12 pts)5.518.813.730.20.0%0.0%0.0%84.3%
20Burnley (1-8-8, 11 pts)6.917.513.634.30.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.