Southampton at Leeds United

Updated

Southampton

22.0%22.8%55.1%
Southampton WinDrawLeeds United Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.83
2Final Score 1

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Stoke City-130
L 0-5 at Leicester City+240
L 1-2 at Cardiff City-330
W 0-3 vs Preston North End-340
W 2-3 vs Watford-255
Leeds United
Money Line
L 0-4 at Queens Park Rangers-170
W 4-3 at Middlesbrough-160
L 1-0 vs Blackburn-340
T 0-0 vs Sunderland-300
L 1-2 at Coventry City-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+295+358+370+375+378+375+378+412.0
Leeds United-125-145-160-175-158-175-145-144.1
Draw+300+333+320+333+345+333+345+366.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+435---+390+425+425+412.0
Leeds United-175----200-175-175-144.1
Draw+340---+295+345+345+366.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +350 to +340
Leeds United ML moved from -149 to -156

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Southampton: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 50.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +445 to +425
No Steam Moves On Leeds United ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115o3½+112o3¼-110o3¼-115o3¼-115o3¼-115o3¼-110o3¼-104
Underu3¼-105u3½-132u3¼-110u3¼-105u3¼-103u3¼-105u3½-132u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-104
Under-----u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-118 to o3½-105
The Under moved from u3¼-105 to u3-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.3%
 
No44.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.47%
Exactly 223.10%
Exactly 416.25%
Exactly 64.57%
Exactly 80.69%
 
Exactly 115.90%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.44%
Exactly 71.90%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 034.21%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.68%
Exactly 37.04%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 016.00%
Exactly 129.32%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 316.41%
Exactly 47.52%
Exactly 52.76%
Exactly 60.84%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.05%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 310.57%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 060.85%
Exactly 130.23%
Exactly 27.51%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 042.81%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 215.41%
Exactly 34.36%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals8.06%
Wins by 3+ goals2.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals31.38%
Wins by 3+ goals14.48%
Wins by 4+ goals5.50%
Wins by 5+ goals1.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Leeds United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal13.87%
Wins by 2 goals5.79%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal23.70%
Wins by 2 goals16.90%
Wins by 3 goals8.98%
Wins by 4 goals3.76%
Wins by 5 goals1.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.53%5.47%
1.578.62%21.38%
2.555.52%44.48%
3.533.15%66.85%
4.516.91%83.09%
5.57.47%92.53%
6.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.79%34.21%
1.529.10%70.90%
2.59.42%90.58%
3.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.00%16.00%
1.554.67%45.33%
2.527.81%72.19%
3.511.40%88.60%
4.53.88%96.12%
5.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.95%26.05%
1.538.91%61.09%
2.515.34%84.66%
3.54.77%95.23%
4.51.22%98.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Leeds United
Score012345
0
5.47%
10.03%
9.19%
5.61%
2.57%
0.94%
1
5.87%
10.76%
9.86%
6.02%
2.76%
1.01%
2
3.15%
5.77%
5.29%
3.23%
1.48%
0.54%
3
1.13%
2.06%
1.89%
1.15%
0.53%
0.19%
4
0.30%
0.55%
0.51%
0.31%
0.14%
0.05%
Southampton
1-05.87%
2-03.15%
2-15.77%
3-01.13%
3-12.06%
3-21.89%
4-00.30%
4-10.55%
4-20.51%
4-30.31%
Draw
0-05.47%
1-110.76%
2-25.29%
3-31.15%
4-40.14%
Leeds United
0-110.03%
0-29.19%
1-29.86%
0-35.61%
1-36.02%
2-33.23%
0-42.57%
1-42.76%
2-41.48%
3-40.53%
0-50.94%
1-51.01%
2-50.54%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Leeds United
Score01234
0
26.05%
22.10%
9.38%
2.65%
0.56%
1
12.94%
10.98%
4.66%
1.32%
0.28%
2
3.21%
2.73%
1.16%
0.33%
0.07%
3
0.53%
0.45%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Southampton
1-012.94%
2-03.21%
2-12.73%
3-00.53%
3-10.45%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-026.05%
1-110.98%
2-21.16%
Leeds United
0-122.10%
0-29.38%
1-24.66%
0-32.65%
1-31.32%
2-30.33%
0-40.56%
1-40.28%
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