Millwall at Swansea City

Updated

Millwall

23.8%25.9%50.3%
Millwall WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.52
1Final Score 0

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Plymouth Argyle+110
W 1-0 at Sunderland+265
W 1-3 vs Cardiff City-110
W 0-1 vs Leicester City+450
L 0-1 at Huddersfield+215
Swansea City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Norwich City+370
W 4-0 at Huddersfield+240
W 0-1 vs Rotherham United-295
W 0-3 vs Stoke City+165
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+235+267+280+225+259+225+280+254.5
Swansea City+115+105-105+101+103+101+105+119.3
Draw+220+258+250+250+263+250+263+281.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+265---+235+270+270+254.5
Swansea City+105----110+100+100+119.3
Draw+245---+230+255+255+281.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 40.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +267 to +259
Swansea City ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½-117o2½-120o2½-114o2½-116o2½-114o2½-114o2½-104
Underu2¼+102u2½-101u2½+100u2½-106u2½-102u2½-106u2½+100u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.41%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.16%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.52%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 038.37%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.60%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 021.92%
Exactly 133.27%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 312.77%
Exactly 44.85%
Exactly 51.47%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 064.18%
Exactly 128.46%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 049.52%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 212.23%
Exactly 32.86%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals8.28%
Wins by 3+ goals2.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals25.60%
Wins by 3+ goals10.27%
Wins by 4+ goals3.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.84%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal15.52%
Wins by 2 goals6.10%
Wins by 3 goals1.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.59%
Wins by 2 goals15.32%
Wins by 3 goals6.96%
Wins by 4 goals2.47%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.59%8.41%
1.570.77%29.23%
2.545.00%55.00%
3.523.73%76.27%
4.510.56%89.44%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.63%38.37%
1.524.88%75.12%
2.57.27%92.73%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.08%21.92%
1.544.81%55.19%
2.519.56%80.44%
3.56.79%93.21%
4.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.79%68.21%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Swansea City
Score012345
0
8.41%
12.76%
9.69%
4.90%
1.86%
0.56%
1
8.06%
12.23%
9.28%
4.70%
1.78%
0.54%
2
3.86%
5.86%
4.44%
2.25%
0.85%
0.26%
3
1.23%
1.87%
1.42%
0.72%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.30%
0.45%
0.34%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Millwall
1-08.06%
2-03.86%
2-15.86%
3-01.23%
3-11.87%
3-21.42%
4-00.30%
4-10.45%
4-20.34%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-08.41%
1-112.23%
2-24.44%
3-30.72%
Swansea City
0-112.76%
0-29.69%
1-29.28%
0-34.90%
1-34.70%
2-32.25%
0-41.86%
1-41.78%
2-40.85%
3-40.27%
0-50.56%
1-50.54%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Swansea City
Score01234
0
31.78%
22.33%
7.85%
1.84%
0.32%
1
14.10%
9.91%
3.48%
0.82%
0.14%
2
3.13%
2.20%
0.77%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.46%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Millwall
1-014.10%
2-03.13%
2-12.20%
3-00.46%
3-10.32%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.78%
1-19.91%
2-20.77%
Swansea City
0-122.33%
0-27.85%
1-23.48%
0-31.84%
1-30.82%
2-30.18%
0-40.32%
1-40.14%