Derby County at Watford

Updated

Derby County

25.2%26.3%48.4%
Derby County WinDrawWatford Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.47
0Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Swansea City+155
L 2-1 vs Ipswich Town+285
W 5-0 at Bristol City+245
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+160
W 2-1 at Charlton Athletic+175
Watford
Money Line
T 2-2 at Preston North End+155
L 0-1 at Southampton+310
T 0-0 at Hull City+220
L 2-0 vs Swansea City+110
T 1-1 at Blackburn+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+225+265+250+280+280+280+280+296.7
Watford+114+109+101+102+102+102+109+110.9
Draw+225+250+235+250+250+250+250+265.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+240----+245+245+296.7
Watford+115----+115+115+110.9
Draw+235----+240+240+265.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +290 to +280
Watford ML moved from +101 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2¼-118o2¼-122o2¼-123o2¼-123o2¼-123o2¼-118o2¼-112
Underu2¼-108u2¼+105u2¼+102u2¼+103u2¼+103u2¼+103u2¼+105u2¼+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-112
Under-----u2¼+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.59%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 412.99%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.09%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 56.38%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 037.41%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.08%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 022.97%
Exactly 133.79%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 312.18%
Exactly 44.48%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.10%
Exactly 220.72%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 063.43%
Exactly 128.88%
Exactly 26.57%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 050.61%
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 211.74%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals8.98%
Wins by 3+ goals2.42%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals24.09%
Wins by 3+ goals9.42%
Wins by 4+ goals2.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal16.22%
Wins by 2 goals6.55%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.27%
Wins by 2 goals14.67%
Wins by 3 goals6.46%
Wins by 4 goals2.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.41%8.59%
1.570.32%29.68%
2.544.44%55.56%
3.523.27%76.73%
4.510.28%89.72%
5.53.90%96.10%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.59%37.41%
1.525.81%74.19%
2.57.73%92.27%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.03%22.97%
1.543.24%56.76%
2.518.39%81.61%
3.56.20%93.80%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.90%32.10%
1.531.42%68.58%
2.510.70%89.30%
3.52.85%97.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Watford
Score012345
0
8.59%
12.64%
9.30%
4.56%
1.68%
0.49%
1
8.45%
12.43%
9.14%
4.48%
1.65%
0.48%
2
4.15%
6.11%
4.49%
2.20%
0.81%
0.24%
3
1.36%
2.00%
1.47%
0.72%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.33%
0.49%
0.36%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-08.45%
2-04.15%
2-16.11%
3-01.36%
3-12.00%
3-21.47%
4-00.33%
4-10.49%
4-20.36%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.59%
1-112.43%
2-24.49%
3-30.72%
Watford
0-112.64%
0-29.30%
1-29.14%
0-34.56%
1-34.48%
2-32.20%
0-41.68%
1-41.65%
2-40.81%
3-40.27%
0-50.49%
1-50.48%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Watford
Score01234
0
32.10%
21.86%
7.44%
1.69%
0.29%
1
14.61%
9.95%
3.39%
0.77%
0.13%
2
3.33%
2.27%
0.77%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.50%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Derby County
1-014.61%
2-03.33%
2-12.27%
3-00.50%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-032.10%
1-19.95%
2-20.77%
Watford
0-121.86%
0-27.44%
1-23.39%
0-31.69%
1-30.77%
2-30.18%
0-40.29%
1-40.13%
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