Derby County at Bristol City

Updated

Derby County

23.9%25.6%50.5%
Derby County WinDrawBristol City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.54
0Final Score 1

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 2-4 at Sheffield Wednesday+300
L 1-0 vs Leeds United+480
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+190
L 1-2 at Luton Town+250
W 0-4 vs Portsmouth+110
Bristol City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Plymouth Argyle-125
W 0-3 vs Portsmouth-160
W 0-1 vs Luton Town+115
L 0-2 at West Bromwich Albion+265
T 1-1 vs Queens Park Rangers-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+280+383+350-+376-+383+364.7
Bristol City+105-124-120--130--124-103.5
Draw+210+258+235-+252-+258+262.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+320---+275+360+360+364.7
Bristol City-105----120-115-115-103.5
Draw+235---+220+235+235+262.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 20.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +345 to +335
Bristol City ML moved from -120 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Bristol City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2½+113o2¼-115o2¼-114o2¼-112o2¼-114o2¼-112o2¼-104
Underu2¼-112u2½-133u2¼-105u2¼-106u2¼-108u2¼-106u2½-133u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-141 to o2½+121
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.04%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 413.52%
Exactly 62.86%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.27%
Exactly 321.46%
Exactly 56.82%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 037.69%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.94%
Exactly 35.84%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 021.34%
Exactly 132.96%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 313.11%
Exactly 45.06%
Exactly 51.56%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.13%
Exactly 221.20%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.24%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 063.65%
Exactly 128.75%
Exactly 26.49%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 048.91%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.51%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals8.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals25.97%
Wins by 3+ goals10.55%
Wins by 4+ goals3.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.89%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Bristol City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal15.45%
Wins by 2 goals6.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals15.42%
Wins by 3 goals7.11%
Wins by 4 goals2.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.74%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.96%8.04%
1.571.68%28.32%
2.546.14%53.86%
3.524.68%75.32%
4.511.15%88.85%
5.54.34%95.66%
6.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.31%37.69%
1.525.53%74.47%
2.57.59%92.41%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.66%21.34%
1.545.70%54.30%
2.520.24%79.76%
3.57.14%92.86%
4.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.87%31.13%
1.532.54%67.46%
2.511.34%88.66%
3.53.10%96.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Bristol City
Score012345
0
8.04%
12.42%
9.59%
4.94%
1.91%
0.59%
1
7.85%
12.12%
9.36%
4.82%
1.86%
0.57%
2
3.83%
5.91%
4.57%
2.35%
0.91%
0.28%
3
1.25%
1.92%
1.49%
0.76%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.30%
0.47%
0.36%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-07.85%
2-03.83%
2-15.91%
3-01.25%
3-11.92%
3-21.49%
4-00.30%
4-10.47%
4-20.36%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.04%
1-112.12%
2-24.57%
3-30.76%
Bristol City
0-112.42%
0-29.59%
1-29.36%
0-34.94%
1-34.82%
2-32.35%
0-41.91%
1-41.86%
2-40.91%
3-40.30%
0-50.59%
1-50.57%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Bristol City
Score01234
0
31.13%
22.26%
7.96%
1.90%
0.34%
1
14.06%
10.06%
3.60%
0.86%
0.15%
2
3.18%
2.27%
0.81%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.48%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-014.06%
2-03.18%
2-12.27%
3-00.48%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.13%
1-110.06%
2-20.81%
Bristol City
0-122.26%
0-27.96%
1-23.60%
0-31.90%
1-30.86%
2-30.19%
0-40.34%
1-40.15%
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