Stoke City at Birmingham City

Updated

Stoke City

14.7%21.1%64.1%
WinDrawBirmingham City Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.94
1Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Middlesbrough+210
T 0-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+110
W 2-0 at Norwich City+255
W 1-0 at Hull City+230
L 2-1 vs Sheffield United+180
Birmingham City
Money Line
W 2-0 at Sheffield Wednesday-220
T 1-1 at Swansea City+175
W 2-3 vs Coventry City+160
L 0-3 at Watford+210
T 1-1 vs Southampton+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+280+380+350+355+355+355+380+377.6
Birmingham City-121-137-147-138-138-138-137-123.4
Draw+265+295+275+300+300+300+300+319.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+305----+350+350+377.6
Birmingham City-115-----130-130-123.4
Draw+270----+280+280+319.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 10.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +340 to +325
Birmingham City ML moved from -132 to -138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Birmingham City ML moved from -115 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½-109o2½-112o2¾+118o2¾+118o2¾+118o2½-109o2¾+126
Underu2¼+102u2½-103u2½-108u2¾-138u2¾-138u2¾-138u2½-103u2¾-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+126
Under-----u2¾-126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-134 to o2¾+118
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.47%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 415.15%
Exactly 63.79%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.71%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 58.30%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 044.91%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 214.39%
Exactly 33.84%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 014.40%
Exactly 127.91%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.47%
Exactly 48.46%
Exactly 53.28%
Exactly 61.06%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.15%
Exactly 222.62%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 39.56%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 069.03%
Exactly 125.58%
Exactly 24.74%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 040.77%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.41%
Exactly 34.91%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals4.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals38.93%
Wins by 3+ goals19.15%
Wins by 4+ goals7.75%
Wins by 5+ goals2.61%
Wins by 6+ goals0.71%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Birmingham City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal10.38%
Wins by 2 goals3.37%
Wins by 3 goals0.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal25.12%
Wins by 2 goals19.78%
Wins by 3 goals11.40%
Wins by 4 goals5.14%
Wins by 5 goals1.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.58%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.53%6.47%
1.575.82%24.18%
2.551.57%48.43%
3.529.43%70.57%
4.514.28%85.72%
5.55.98%94.02%
6.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.09%44.91%
1.519.14%80.86%
2.54.75%95.25%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.60%14.40%
1.557.69%42.31%
2.530.65%69.35%
3.513.18%86.82%
4.54.72%95.28%
5.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.85%28.15%
1.536.17%63.83%
2.513.55%86.45%
3.53.99%96.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
6.47%
12.54%
12.14%
7.84%
3.80%
1.47%
1
5.18%
10.03%
9.72%
6.28%
3.04%
1.18%
2
2.07%
4.02%
3.89%
2.51%
1.22%
0.47%
3
0.55%
1.07%
1.04%
0.67%
0.32%
0.13%
4
0.11%
0.21%
0.21%
0.13%
0.06%
0.03%
Stoke City
1-05.18%
2-02.07%
2-14.02%
3-00.55%
3-11.07%
3-21.04%
4-00.11%
4-10.21%
4-20.21%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-06.47%
1-110.03%
2-23.89%
3-30.67%
Birmingham City
0-112.54%
0-212.14%
1-29.72%
0-37.84%
1-36.28%
2-32.51%
0-43.80%
1-43.04%
2-41.22%
3-40.32%
0-51.47%
1-51.18%
2-50.47%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
28.15%
25.25%
11.33%
3.39%
0.76%
0.14%
1
10.43%
9.36%
4.20%
1.26%
0.28%
0.05%
2
1.93%
1.73%
0.78%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.21%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-010.43%
2-01.93%
2-11.73%
3-00.24%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-028.15%
1-19.36%
2-20.78%
Birmingham City
0-125.25%
0-211.33%
1-24.20%
0-33.39%
1-31.26%
2-30.23%
0-40.76%
1-40.28%
0-50.14%
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