Swansea City at Cardiff City

Updated

Swansea City

39.1%27.6%33.3%
Swansea City WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.14
0Final Score 3

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+155
L 0-4 at Portsmouth+120
W 1-2 vs Luton Town+100
W 0-3 vs Queens Park Rangers-110
L 1-2 at Hull City+175
Cardiff City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Watford+130
T 1-1 at Middlesbrough+475
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+225
W 2-1 at Watford+375
L 2-3 at Oxford United+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+160+181+170+157+168+164+181+185.1
Cardiff City+157+173+170+160+176+172+176+193.7
Draw+225+215+195+215+206+200+215+223.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+150---+145+165+165+185.1
Cardiff City+155---+170+190+190+193.7
Draw+205---+185+205+205+223.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 10.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +180 to +170
Cardiff City ML moved from +167 to +161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +160 to +145
No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-116o2-128o2-118o2-130o2-118o2-130o2-118o2-119
Underu2¼-104u2+109u2-102u2+110u2-102u2+110u2+110u2+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-119
Under-----u2+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.09%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 412.52%
Exactly 62.40%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.80%
Exactly 320.89%
Exactly 56.01%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 028.39%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 032.02%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.76%
Exactly 37.88%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.95%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.51%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 055.83%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.49%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 059.02%
Exactly 131.12%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals17.21%
Wins by 3+ goals5.88%
Wins by 4+ goals1.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals13.39%
Wins by 3+ goals4.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal21.86%
Wins by 2 goals11.33%
Wins by 3 goals4.28%
Wins by 4 goals1.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal19.78%
Wins by 2 goals9.27%
Wins by 3 goals3.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.91%9.09%
1.569.11%30.89%
2.542.97%57.03%
3.522.08%77.92%
4.59.56%90.44%
5.53.55%96.45%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.61%28.39%
1.535.86%64.14%
2.513.36%86.64%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.98%32.02%
1.531.52%68.48%
2.510.75%89.25%
3.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.05%32.95%
1.530.47%69.53%
2.510.16%89.84%
3.52.65%97.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
9.09%
10.35%
5.90%
2.24%
0.64%
0.15%
1
11.45%
13.04%
7.42%
2.82%
0.80%
0.18%
2
7.21%
8.21%
4.67%
1.77%
0.50%
0.12%
3
3.02%
3.44%
1.96%
0.74%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.95%
1.08%
0.62%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.24%
0.27%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-011.45%
2-07.21%
2-18.21%
3-03.02%
3-13.44%
3-21.96%
4-00.95%
4-11.08%
4-20.62%
4-30.23%
5-00.24%
5-10.27%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.09%
1-113.04%
2-24.67%
3-30.74%
Cardiff City
0-110.35%
0-25.90%
1-27.42%
0-32.24%
1-32.82%
2-31.77%
0-40.64%
1-40.80%
2-40.50%
3-40.21%
0-50.15%
1-50.18%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
32.95%
17.37%
4.58%
0.81%
0.11%
1
19.21%
10.13%
2.67%
0.47%
0.06%
2
5.60%
2.95%
0.78%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.09%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-019.21%
2-05.60%
2-12.95%
3-01.09%
3-10.57%
3-20.15%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-032.95%
1-110.13%
2-20.78%
Cardiff City
0-117.37%
0-24.58%
1-22.67%
0-30.81%
1-30.47%
2-30.14%
0-40.11%
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