Leicester City at Southampton

Updated

Leicester City

27.8%24.8%47.5%
Leicester City WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.60
0Final Score 3

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Leicester City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Stoke City+110
W 2-1 at Norwich City+125
T 1-1 vs Middlesbrough+120
L 2-0 vs Blackburn-130
L 0-1 at Millwall+160
Southampton
Money Line
W 5-1 at Charlton Athletic+165
W 1-3 vs Sheffield Wednesday-210
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+160
L 2-0 vs Preston North End-140
L 1-2 at Blackburn+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leicester City+235-+300+265+265+265+300+296.0
Southampton+106--123-116-116-116-116+102.0
Draw+235-+255+265+265+265+265+296.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leicester City+245---+255+300+300+296.0
Southampton+110----120-110-110+102.0
Draw+250---+230+260+260+296.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leicester City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Leicester City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leicester City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leicester City ML moved from +265 to +255
Southampton ML moved from -104 to -111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leicester City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Leicester City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leicester City: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leicester City ML moved from +265 to +255
Southampton ML moved from -110 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108-o2½-115o2½-116o2½-116o2½-116o2½-115o2½-105
Underu2½-112-u2½-105u2½-104u2½-104u2½-104u2½-104u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-105
Under-----u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%
 
No45.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.30%
Exactly 224.07%
Exactly 415.34%
Exactly 63.91%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.41%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.48%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Leicester City
Exactly 031.20%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.17%
Exactly 38.22%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 020.18%
Exactly 132.30%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 313.79%
Exactly 45.52%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.79%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 39.72%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leicester City
Exactly 058.31%
Exactly 131.45%
Exactly 28.48%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 047.66%
Exactly 135.32%
Exactly 213.09%
Exactly 33.23%
Exactly 40.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leicester City
Wins by 2+ goals11.08%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals24.56%
Wins by 3+ goals10.16%
Wins by 4+ goals3.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.96%
Wins by 6+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Leicester City
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Leicester City
Wins by 1 goal16.66%
Wins by 2 goals7.63%
Wins by 3 goals2.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal22.88%
Wins by 2 goals14.40%
Wins by 3 goals6.72%
Wins by 4 goals2.47%
Wins by 5 goals0.74%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.70%6.30%
1.576.29%23.71%
2.552.22%47.78%
3.530.04%69.96%
4.514.70%85.30%
5.56.21%93.79%
6.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Leicester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.80%31.20%
1.532.46%67.54%
2.511.30%88.70%
3.53.08%96.92%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.82%20.18%
1.547.52%52.48%
2.521.68%78.32%
3.57.89%92.11%
4.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.21%27.79%
1.536.62%63.38%
2.513.84%86.16%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.00%99.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leicester City
Southampton
Score012345
0
6.30%
10.08%
8.06%
4.30%
1.72%
0.55%
1
7.33%
11.74%
9.39%
5.01%
2.00%
0.64%
2
4.27%
6.84%
5.47%
2.92%
1.17%
0.37%
3
1.66%
2.65%
2.12%
1.13%
0.45%
0.15%
4
0.48%
0.77%
0.62%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.11%
0.18%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Leicester City
1-07.33%
2-04.27%
2-16.84%
3-01.66%
3-12.65%
3-22.12%
4-00.48%
4-10.77%
4-20.62%
4-30.33%
5-00.11%
5-10.18%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-06.30%
1-111.74%
2-25.47%
3-31.13%
4-40.13%
Southampton
0-110.08%
0-28.06%
1-29.39%
0-34.30%
1-35.01%
2-32.92%
0-41.72%
1-42.00%
2-41.17%
3-40.45%
0-50.55%
1-50.64%
2-50.37%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Leicester City
Southampton
Score01234
0
27.79%
20.60%
7.63%
1.88%
0.35%
1
14.99%
11.11%
4.12%
1.02%
0.19%
2
4.04%
3.00%
1.11%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.73%
0.54%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Leicester City
1-014.99%
2-04.04%
2-13.00%
3-00.73%
3-10.54%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-027.79%
1-111.11%
2-21.11%
Southampton
0-120.60%
0-27.63%
1-24.12%
0-31.88%
1-31.02%
2-30.27%
0-40.35%
1-40.19%
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