Watford at Birmingham City

Updated

Watford

14.6%21.3%64.1%
WinDrawBirmingham City Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.92
1Final Score 2

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Preston North End-125
W 3-2 at Derby County+205
T 1-1 vs Bristol City+110
T 1-1 at Ipswich Town+410
W 0-3 vs Middlesbrough+170
Birmingham City
Money Line
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+160
W 1-4 vs Norwich City-140
L 1-2 at Middlesbrough+195
W 0-4 vs Millwall-140
W 0-4 vs Portsmouth-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:7.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+295-+330+320+320+320+330+355.6
Birmingham City-120--134-132-132-132-132-110.3
Draw+250-+255+260+260+260+260+290.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+350---+340+345+345+355.6
Birmingham City-125----150-125-125-110.3
Draw+265---+235+270+270+290.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +350 to +320
Birmingham City ML moved from -125 to -132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +335 to +310
Birmingham City ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120-o2½-102o2½-103o2½-103o2½-103o2½-102o2½+106
Underu2¼+100-u2½-118u2½-117u2½-117u2½-117u2½-117u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+106
Under-----u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.73%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 414.87%
Exactly 63.61%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.16%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.03%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 045.69%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 214.01%
Exactly 33.66%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 014.73%
Exactly 128.21%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.25%
Exactly 48.26%
Exactly 53.16%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.66%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 069.58%
Exactly 125.23%
Exactly 24.58%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 041.19%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.20%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals4.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.15%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals38.71%
Wins by 3+ goals18.91%
Wins by 4+ goals7.59%
Wins by 5+ goals2.53%
Wins by 6+ goals0.69%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Birmingham City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Watford
Wins by 1 goal10.35%
Wins by 2 goals3.31%
Wins by 3 goals0.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal25.30%
Wins by 2 goals19.80%
Wins by 3 goals11.32%
Wins by 4 goals5.06%
Wins by 5 goals1.85%
Wins by 6 goals0.56%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.27%6.73%
1.575.11%24.89%
2.550.61%49.39%
3.528.56%71.44%
4.513.69%86.31%
5.55.66%94.34%
6.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.31%45.69%
1.518.52%81.48%
2.54.50%95.50%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.27%14.73%
1.557.06%42.94%
2.530.05%69.95%
3.512.80%87.20%
4.54.54%95.46%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.34%28.66%
1.535.52%64.48%
2.513.14%86.86%
3.53.82%96.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
6.73%
12.89%
12.35%
7.88%
3.77%
1.45%
1
5.27%
10.10%
9.67%
6.17%
2.96%
1.13%
2
2.06%
3.95%
3.79%
2.42%
1.16%
0.44%
3
0.54%
1.03%
0.99%
0.63%
0.30%
0.12%
4
0.11%
0.20%
0.19%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
Watford
1-05.27%
2-02.06%
2-13.95%
3-00.54%
3-11.03%
3-20.99%
4-00.11%
4-10.20%
4-20.19%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-06.73%
1-110.10%
2-23.79%
3-30.63%
Birmingham City
0-112.89%
0-212.35%
1-29.67%
0-37.88%
1-36.17%
2-32.42%
0-43.77%
1-42.96%
2-41.16%
3-40.30%
0-51.45%
1-51.13%
2-50.44%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
28.66%
25.42%
11.27%
3.33%
0.74%
0.13%
1
10.39%
9.22%
4.09%
1.21%
0.27%
0.05%
2
1.88%
1.67%
0.74%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.23%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-010.39%
2-01.88%
2-11.67%
3-00.23%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-028.66%
1-19.22%
2-20.74%
Birmingham City
0-125.42%
0-211.27%
1-24.09%
0-33.33%
1-31.21%
2-30.22%
0-40.74%
1-40.27%
0-50.13%
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