Derby County at Leeds United

Updated

Derby County

8.5%15.2%76.3%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.49
0Final Score 2

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+165
L 2-1 vs Swansea City+170
T 1-1 at Preston North End+225
T 1-1 vs Plymouth Argyle-140
W 2-1 at Coventry City+460
Leeds United
Money Line
L 0-1 at Blackburn-145
W 0-3 vs Luton Town-225
W 4-3 at Swansea City-120
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers-420
L 0-1 at Millwall-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+660+818+750+650+760+650+818+710.1
Leeds United-270-262-275-263-274-263-262-203.8
Draw+350+382+360+350+373+350+382+386.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+785---+700+785+785+710.1
Leeds United-280----345-280-280-203.8
Draw+395---+340+395+395+386.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Leeds United: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +784 to +760
Leeds United ML moved from -286 to -294

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Leeds United: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Leeds United ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-106o2½-102o2½-106o2½-104o2½-106o2½-102o2½+104
Underu2½-118u2½-111u2½-118u2½-114u2½-116u2½-114u2½-111u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.11%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 417.78%
Exactly 66.04%
Exactly 81.10%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.11%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 511.35%
Exactly 72.75%
Exactly 90.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 049.38%
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 212.30%
Exactly 32.89%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 08.32%
Exactly 120.68%
Exactly 225.72%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 413.26%
Exactly 56.59%
Exactly 62.73%
Exactly 70.97%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.80%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 44.54%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.71%
Exactly 312.28%
Exactly 51.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 072.13%
Exactly 123.57%
Exactly 23.85%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 031.62%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.96%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals2.14%
Wins by 3+ goals0.39%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals54.00%
Wins by 3+ goals32.04%
Wins by 4+ goals16.00%
Wins by 5+ goals6.79%
Wins by 6+ goals2.46%
Wins by 7+ goals0.73%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Leeds United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal6.29%
Wins by 2 goals1.75%
Wins by 3 goals0.35%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal22.21%
Wins by 2 goals21.96%
Wins by 3 goals16.04%
Wins by 4 goals9.21%
Wins by 5 goals4.34%
Wins by 6 goals1.72%
Wins by 7 goals0.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.89%4.11%
1.582.78%17.22%
2.561.86%38.14%
3.539.59%60.41%
4.521.81%78.19%
5.510.46%89.54%
6.54.42%95.58%
7.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.62%49.38%
1.515.78%84.22%
2.53.48%96.52%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.68%8.32%
1.571.00%29.00%
2.545.28%54.72%
3.523.96%76.04%
4.510.71%89.29%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.20%22.80%
1.543.49%56.51%
2.518.57%81.43%
3.56.29%93.71%
4.51.76%98.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Leeds United
Score012345
0
4.11%
10.21%
12.70%
10.53%
6.55%
3.26%
1
2.90%
7.21%
8.96%
7.43%
4.62%
2.30%
2
1.02%
2.54%
3.16%
2.62%
1.63%
0.81%
3
0.24%
0.60%
0.74%
0.62%
0.38%
0.19%
Derby County
1-02.90%
2-01.02%
2-12.54%
3-00.24%
3-10.60%
3-20.74%
Draw
0-04.11%
1-17.21%
2-23.16%
3-30.62%
Leeds United
0-110.21%
0-212.70%
1-28.96%
0-310.53%
1-37.43%
2-32.62%
0-46.55%
1-44.62%
2-41.63%
3-40.38%
0-53.26%
1-52.30%
2-50.81%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Leeds United
Score012345
0
22.80%
26.26%
15.12%
5.80%
1.67%
0.38%
1
7.45%
8.58%
4.94%
1.90%
0.55%
0.13%
2
1.22%
1.40%
0.81%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-07.45%
2-01.22%
2-11.40%
3-00.13%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-022.80%
1-18.58%
2-20.81%
Leeds United
0-126.26%
0-215.12%
1-24.94%
0-35.80%
1-31.90%
2-30.31%
0-41.67%
1-40.55%
0-50.38%
1-50.13%
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