Swansea City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Swansea City

20.7%23.6%55.7%
Swansea City WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.74
0Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Oxford United-150
L 0-1 at Millwall+225
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+175
W 0-1 vs Hull City+135
W 1-0 at Sunderland+380
Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 0-2 at Coventry City+215
T 0-0 vs Norwich City-175
L 1-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+105
W 1-2 vs Plymouth Argyle-260
L 0-1 at Millwall+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+285+279+260+225+262+225+279+253.3
Middlesbrough+100+108+103+112+106+112+112+130.5
Draw+257+239+215+225+235+225+239+253.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+265---+205+300+300+253.3
Middlesbrough+105---+100-105+100+130.5
Draw+245---+235+245+245+253.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 40.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +235 to +225
Middlesbrough ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 50.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +315 to +300
Middlesbrough ML moved from +105 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-103o2½+117o2¼-120o2¼-115o2¼-112o2¼-115o2¼-112o2¼-104
Underu2½-113u2½-138u2¼+100u2¼-105u2¼-108u2¼-105u2½-138u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.67%
Exactly 224.45%
Exactly 414.93%
Exactly 63.65%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.06%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.09%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 038.10%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 017.51%
Exactly 130.51%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 315.44%
Exactly 46.73%
Exactly 52.34%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.55%
Exactly 222.43%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 39.37%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 063.97%
Exactly 128.58%
Exactly 26.38%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 044.63%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 214.52%
Exactly 33.91%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals7.11%
Wins by 3+ goals1.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals31.07%
Wins by 3+ goals13.93%
Wins by 4+ goals5.11%
Wins by 5+ goals1.56%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal13.59%
Wins by 2 goals5.25%
Wins by 3 goals1.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal24.55%
Wins by 2 goals17.14%
Wins by 3 goals8.81%
Wins by 4 goals3.55%
Wins by 5 goals1.17%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.33%6.67%
1.575.27%24.73%
2.550.82%49.18%
3.528.75%71.25%
4.513.82%86.18%
5.55.73%94.27%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.90%38.10%
1.525.13%74.87%
2.57.40%92.60%
3.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.49%17.51%
1.551.98%48.02%
2.525.40%74.60%
3.59.97%90.03%
4.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.45%28.55%
1.535.66%64.34%
2.513.23%86.77%
3.53.86%96.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
6.67%
11.62%
10.13%
5.88%
2.56%
0.89%
1
6.44%
11.22%
9.77%
5.68%
2.47%
0.86%
2
3.11%
5.41%
4.71%
2.74%
1.19%
0.42%
3
1.00%
1.74%
1.52%
0.88%
0.38%
0.13%
4
0.24%
0.42%
0.37%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
Swansea City
1-06.44%
2-03.11%
2-15.41%
3-01.00%
3-11.74%
3-21.52%
4-00.24%
4-10.42%
4-20.37%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-06.67%
1-111.22%
2-24.71%
3-30.88%
Middlesbrough
0-111.62%
0-210.13%
1-29.77%
0-35.88%
1-35.68%
2-32.74%
0-42.56%
1-42.47%
2-41.19%
3-40.38%
0-50.89%
1-50.86%
2-50.42%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
28.55%
23.03%
9.29%
2.50%
0.50%
1
12.75%
10.29%
4.15%
1.12%
0.23%
2
2.85%
2.30%
0.93%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.42%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-012.75%
2-02.85%
2-12.30%
3-00.42%
3-10.34%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-028.55%
1-110.29%
2-20.93%
Middlesbrough
0-123.03%
0-29.29%
1-24.15%
0-32.50%
1-31.12%
2-30.25%
0-40.50%
1-40.23%
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